Originally Posted by
rickair7777
There is certainly some basis for his numbers, but he is only addressing the demand side of the equation. You have to consider the supply side also...the flight colleges and puppy mills will still be doing their best to create five newly minted commercial pilots for every realistic projected job opening in the next thirty years.
Unless the pool of applicants to the puppy mills dries up, there will never be a real pilot shortage.
Good analysis.
Are most of these schools self financing? I know that many of the loan underwriters are done writing aviation training loans for a while. Perhaps, this will put a dent in the mill output.