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Old 08-01-2007, 01:27 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Major Airline Retirements

I thought I would post this before it becomes obsolete. These are numbers I have dug up and collected from multiple threads. These numbers are between 3-6 months old, so they are not 100% accurate, but they should give a good glimpse into retirement numbers at major airlines.

Code:
Year 	AA           UAL             DAL             CAL
2007	281          263              30	     322	
2008	402	     234	      60	     246	
2009	405	     231	      70	     218	
2010	363	     201	      91	     210	
2011	318	     167	     132	     220	
2012	312	     228	     159	     217
2013	388	     245	     220	     194
2014	478	     237	     268	     210	
2015	571	     270	     335	     167
2016	628	     331	     475	     190
2017	683	     307	     558	     178	

Year	USAIR	     FedEx	     UPS	SWA
2007	271	     126	     89	     129
2008	223	     151	     61	     120
2009	279	     131	     60	     95
2010	246	     162	     45	     122
2011	290	     153	     52	     128
2012	332	     189	     62	     102
2013	334	     185	     65	     X
2014	366	     156	     79	     X
2015	358	     183	     98	     X
2016	360	     211	     96	     X
2017	321	     213	     97	     X
TOTALS
2007	1511
2008	1497
2009	1489
2010	1440
2011	1460
2012	1601
2013	1631
2014	1794
2015	1982
2016	2291
2017	2357
Once again, these are slightly old numbers and they cannot be verified. These are only numbers that people who work for these airlines have posted. I think they are still pretty useful. It is going to be interesting to see how a possible change to age 60 could shake this industry up.
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Last edited by aerospacepilot : 08-01-2007 at 01:32 PM.
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Old 08-01-2007, 06:34 PM   #2 (permalink)
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[quote=aerospacepilot;206814]I thought I would post this before it becomes obsolete. These are numbers I have dug up and collected from multiple threads. These numbers are between 3-6 months old, so they are not 100% accurate, but they should give a good glimpse into retirement numbers at major airlines.

NWA...what are our numbers?
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Old 08-01-2007, 08:37 PM   #3 (permalink)
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[quote=reddog25;206945]
Quote:
Originally Posted by aerospacepilot View Post
I thought I would post this before it becomes obsolete. These are numbers I have dug up and collected from multiple threads. These numbers are between 3-6 months old, so they are not 100% accurate, but they should give a good glimpse into retirement numbers at major airlines.

NWA...what are our numbers?
NWA has a few guys/gals retiring, too.


2008................... 239
2009................... 166
2010................... 188
2011................... 187
2012................... 207
2013................... 207
2014................... 239
2015................... 278
2016................... 260
2017................... 295

I think there are still 100 or so to go thru the end of this year, also.


Not exact numbers, but in the ballpark.

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Last edited by newKnow : 08-01-2007 at 08:39 PM. Reason: clarity
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Old 08-02-2007, 02:44 AM   #4 (permalink)
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Default FedEx Retirement Chart

Here is a FedEx retirement chart. It DOES NOT take into account any age 65 legislation.
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Old 08-02-2007, 03:47 AM   #5 (permalink)
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Speaking of that.....what is the current situation on the age 65 add on to the FAA reauth bill? Will it pass as is? or will someone strip it out? For another year or two?
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Old 08-02-2007, 06:45 AM   #6 (permalink)
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Default Retirements

Industry wide there are perhaps between 1000 to 1500 annual retirements over the next ten years or so at the majors. Unless they expand rapidly there will be slim pickings for those hoping to jump to the majors.


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Old 08-02-2007, 07:07 AM   #7 (permalink)
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Quote:
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Industry wide there are perhaps between 1000 to 1500 annual retirements over the next ten years or so at the majors. Unless they expand rapidly there will be slim pickings for those hoping to jump to the majors.


SkyHigh
Ah it doesn't matter what the thread, you're always handy with a wet blanket. I guess slim pickings are good as everyone I know who went looking in past two years has been picked up.

'Slim pickings' are a hell of an improvement from 'no one is hiring.'

Not that forecasts beyond maybe 12 months are worth anything anyway.

Go ahead and tell me I'm wrong.
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Old 08-02-2007, 07:12 AM   #8 (permalink)
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Default Forecast

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sputnik View Post
Ah it doesn't matter what the thread, you're always handy with a wet blanket. I guess slim pickings are good as everyone I know who went looking in past two years has been picked up.

'Slim pickings' are a hell of an improvement from 'no one is hiring.'

Not that forecasts beyond maybe 12 months are worth anything anyway.

Go ahead and tell me I'm wrong.
You are correct about the future. It is a wildcard. I expect that the legacies will continue to reduce over the next 10 years as 90 seat RJ's and LCC's continue to take all the domestic routes.

You might call my views as a wet blanket however I would refer to them as an honest evaluation. I am sure that you will reach your career goals. The next question will be it you will be able to hang on to them.

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Old 08-02-2007, 09:38 AM   #9 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bustinmins View Post
Here is a FedEx retirement chart. It DOES NOT take into account any age 65 legislation.

Yeah, so just shift everything to the right 5 years .
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Old 08-02-2007, 10:54 AM   #10 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dojetdriver View Post
Yeah, so just shift everything to the right 5 years .
I gotta ask since this is been discussed so much. Who's to say everyone would retire 5 years later w/the age 65 limit? Don't most companies allow for some form of early retirement? I'm new to the industry, so I honestly don't know.

I would think the age 65 rule will slow seniority somewhat, but not as much as folks would think.
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