Quote:
Originally Posted by FR8Dingo
If they furlough 165, that's to seniority number 1440. In ANC that would be 53 (55%) of the FOs. That's ETOPs training as well a fair amount $$ for moves to ANC unless they significantly decrease the domicile.
|
Not a factor, I suspect. Most of the pilots displaced to ANC will NOT move there. They'll commute until they can hold SEA/LAX again. I'm sure the Company is counting on this and has empirical data to support it. Given the MD ANC base experience very few people will actually take advantage of the contractual moving expenses.
Quote:
|
I suspect the 165 number has more to do with contract negotiations/mediation than to do with 5% reductions.
|
Now they're talking 11-12% sked reductions and 165 would be about an equal staffing reduction.
Quote:
Originally Posted by QCappy
There has been no talk of furloughing out of seniority. The contract does not allow for it. They know all the ramifications of furloughing with the ETPOS guys being most of the furloughs. It is a bluff, pure and simple. There could be a few just to prove that they are willing to do it, but there is no way they would furlough 11% of thier pilots.
|
I'm not so sure about that, Cappy. There are virtually NO ramifications of furloughing ETOPS guys. Two days of GS and you're good to go. Send a Check Airman on your first overwater leg and its done. The only hitch would be the moving expenses that the Company would be exposed to in a displacement bid and see above for why they're not worried.
Quote:
|
If you guys notice in all the mention of furloughs they always say "up to 165". They have no clue how many they are going to send letters to since they have not even put out the incentive package for the over 60 guys or the 12 and 24 month leave offer. They have to wait and see how many guys take the offers and then decide how many people to furlough to prove their point.
|
Probably true. If a significant number of the guys who are over 60 and turn 60 in the next couple years take the early out, the number of furloughs could be significantly reduced.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Moose
Isn't ETOPS training a two day class and then a check? The folks in the training dept said that would not be hard to spin up new ETOPS guys even with the MD guys clogging up the house. Saretsky said with the capacity cuts they would only really need 99 planes next year to fill the schedule.
|
In all my prior dealings with Saretsky I've found him to be intelligent and forthright. It always made me wonder how he managed to survive at Angle Lake.
Quote:
|
He may be full of BS but I am just relaying what he said. Maybe folks that are a bit smarter on this can comment. He also said their game now is cash preservation and holding market share with minor expansions where they make sense.
|
Makes sense to me.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Justin Case
but, but, but Saretsky told me I would upgrade in five years.
|
That's the Company line. They've been preaching that since I got hired. Some of you young guys may not remember it, but in '98/'99 they were all hot on "2000 (pilots) by 2000". There have been various versions of that projection back to the '80s.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ArcticDog
I heard from someone at todays roadshow in LAX that Saretsky said "it could be closer to 200 furloughs...but thats squishy
|
That just means they're waiting to see how many old-timers pull the ejection handle. If I was eligible, I probably would.
Quote:
Originally Posted by 757Driver
Jet-Blow,
Say no more.
|
No comment.