I tend to agree that there will not be a pilot shortage at any legacy carrier in the near or far future.
As retirements increase at the legacy carriers I believe they will simply downsize their fleets accordingly, while continuing to outsource that flying to lower cost regional affiliates. There may be cyclical shortages at the regional level as companies will continue to need pilots willing to fly for regional wages and benefits. For example, McDonald's will always be hiring. Same for the bottom rung of the 121 airline ladder.
Just my opinion, but this will continue until the remaining core of the legacy air carrier business is international and a few select, profitable long-haul domestic routes.
For those of us who currently fly for a regional, I hope we like it. Because this is most likely where we will retire our careers, if we choose to remain in this industry. The reality is the 21st century airline business is very different than the 20th century airline business and it will never go back.
No sense moaning and complaining about it, just deal with it or don't deal with it. Lots of ways to make a buck in this life.
BTW, how long 'til you hit 65?
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