Thread: Scope Breakdown
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Old 12-07-2012, 01:17 PM
  #7  
PilotAnalyst
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Joined APC: May 2012
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Ok here is the Regional scope comparison

American Airlines

United Airlines

The comparison compares different Scope Policy's. So the American Airlines or United Airlines comparison shows what American's/United's Regional Aircraft profile would look like if they applied Americans, Deltas, or United's TA policy.

It also takes these different policy's and applies three mainline growth models
  1. Mainline Fleet Shrinkage by 10% a year
  2. Mainline fleet stagnant year over year
  3. Mainline Fleet growth at 10% per year

There are charts/graphs that reflect these scenarios. It should be noted because of the difficulty of projecting block hours, it applies only fleet limits in the previously mentioned scenarios. Its likely United won't see regional fleet numbers beyond 650 if their current mainline fleet stays stagnant, due to the 120% block hour clause that is suppose to go into effect on signing. However, I feel the general representation of the different scope policy's effect on a given airline is accurate.

It should be noted that even though Delta's and United's policy look similar on paper, they come out drastically different in the model. This is due to Delta's Narrow-body purchase being contingent on the contract being signed, United's is not. Because of this, I apply the Narrow-body purchase portion of the Scope from Delta Policy and not to United's policy.

This is a small portion of the total scope, and it would be interesting to run a comparison on the rest of it.
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