Originally Posted by
forgot to bid
CG, what I don't understand is why you lament what happened post 9/11 with RJ flying expanding at the expense of mainline but don't consider that with this TA you make that just as plausible a thing to do today as it was then.
50-seaters were profitable on 09SEP11, they're not now and wouldn't be even with 9/11 2.0. What is profitable now and post 9/11 2.0 would be 76-seaters.
If 9/11 2.0 happened today and Delta needed to cut capacity, they could cut a large portion of it from mainline without touching DCI, thanks to where the ratio minimum is and where we actually are.
The ratio for where we are right now is 1.35, the ratio in TA 2015 for where we are right now is 1.35. The 1.56 and new 1.81 are not in play.
Adding more 76-seaters makes DCI more profitable. The wisest thing we could have done to save transferring flying from here to there was to make them choke on their 50-seat fleet, instead, we let them expand their 76-seat fleet.
Yes but IF they take delivery of the 76 seaters they are allowed the min ratio goes up to either 1.56 (current max under the PWA) or 1.81 (Max under the TA.) It's a noose. It they want to pull tight, the noose tightens. Either deal provides us significantly better protections than what delta pilots had after 9/11 when they watch DCI grow at their expense. I don't want to go there again which is why the block hour ratios make sense.