Originally Posted by
eaglefly
I think you're becoming a bit hysterical. Try to temper your emotion a bit and you'll feel better. The fact is it failed last Summer. It was a BIG deal on EL too. What remedy was subsequently made doesn't change that fact.
Supposedly AA plans 750 new-hires next year and from what I hear everyone be it recall or another carriers flow is supposedly a new-hire, so you'd think that means 375 Envoy flows. But already, the projection has been lowered to "200-300", so it looks as though they already are lowering your expectations. Just weeks ago, all I heard was the trumpets blowing about 30/month starting in January or 360 next year, but that looks doubtful. If say 250 go next year, at that rate it will take till close to the end of 2017 just to get through the 824.
Will 30 go in January ?
I have my doubts. Although I'll take no pleasure in seeing hopeful Envoy pilots delayed in going to AA by a slower flow then hoped for, if it twists you into a pretzel as I'm sure it will, it will at least provide some mirth to an otherwise unfortunate situation. If something truly unforseen occurs stopping the flow like too many deferees, I expect you to collapse into a complete and total crack-up.
I think fantasy just may be your best friend in the future........use it well, my son.
Some deferees counts as NewHires, fact #1, so they have to apply flows for each one of them.
Fact 2...824 can be metered to 30 a month or 50% whichever is lower, at the end of the year it have to be equal to 50% regardless. The protections are depending on who you talk to. AA can say "I'm protecting 200, 300, 800, 10000 hires next year" and actually hire 1, 10, 100, 20.
Nothing in this industry is for sure. So how about if we stop talking hypothetically?
If AA hires 700 next year then, by the end of 2016 they had to flow 350. That's as simple as it is, it can be 30 a mont, it can be 20, it can be 1...its up to how many AA gets into class.