Originally Posted by
poorflyer
The only way the upgrade time will drop is if senior FOs leave, the upgrade rate increases, or the company grows.
True, but I think it's fair to say that we have always seen a decent amount of FO attrition, and the upgrades will increase (because they have to). And there will always be some degree of bypassing because of those commuters who need to wait in order to upgrade into a line... anyone who comes with 1000 ratp and maybe is a commuter will build time slower... those types of things will delay upgrades and make some measure of bypassing possible. I agree though, in general, people will go in order. When you add all of the above up... on could feasibly upgrade in 18-24 months if they live in base, fly a lot, and start bidding for it at 950hrs.... the fact that we all expect little to no reserve for new hires this year definitely shortens the overall upgrade time.