Originally Posted by
Marko
Latest NJA upgrades are right at 13 yrs longevity. That will probably increase over the next year or so before it starts coming down relatively quickly. I think it will be under 10 yrs for anyone hired now, but I use a cracked aviation crystal ball for forecasting.
Yea it will drop eventually, however no other company in the industry is referred to upgrades with a level of hopes and dreams added in. Every airline is going to be hiring pilots like mad, but nobody is saying "yea upgrades will drop to 2 years at United in like 3 years so just keep crossing fingers"
If upgrades are 13 years right now, then it takes 13 years to upgrade. There is really nothing to indicate with any solid amount of certainty that upgrades will significantly drop in the future.