Originally Posted by
OhSnapAF
Not only does the IBI not stop attrition, it actually negatively affects upgrades and hiring.
Absolutely.
The ONLY reason upgrade time MIGHT shorten is the total lack of hiring for several years leading to a sudden change in relative seniority when the current 50-60 demographic (a substantial percentage of the list) begins to retire or lose their medical in the next decade.
The 2015 CBA and the IBI were designed to blunt the impact of those statistics and encourage more flying by fewer pilots. That will delay upgrades and hiring until, sooner or later, the numbers catch up.
Regardless, without a mandatory retirement age, it will always be a moving target.
Long story short, if you're under 40 and career earnings are important to you, look elsewhere. Same story, different day.