I think you’re right. Between people not showing up for class, leaving for an airline shortly after arriving, or failing the training, the ratio of actual line qualified pilots versus original job offers hasn’t been very good.
Problem is, they are placing another hurdle in the way of filling classes when it is already becoming harder to find qualified applicants. The recently ratified IBB was designed to help take the pressure off by extracting more productivity out of the existing group. 18 months from now, I think we’ll be well under 2400 pilots on property.
How they meet the need beyond that should be interesting to watch.