Thread: jetBlue Hiring
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Old 04-14-2019, 04:12 PM
  #11415  
BeatNavy
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Joined APC: Jun 2015
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If you look at upgrades they will remain at a similar historical percentage, with some anomalies along the way, as there are typically a percentage of pilots who bypass for QOL/seniority. The 190 plug will probably continue to go at 70-80%, the 320 plug probably 60-70%. So do the math on 85 new planes in the next 6 years, and 15-16 pilots per plane, and figure out percentages on where you are/will be for the next napkin math possibility. The unknown about 190 retirements, and the wildcard of a new fleet and how junior/senior it will go, will probably cause a lot of anomalies over the next few years. But if you got hired in the next few months and were #4,000, it’ll take a while to get to that percentage range of being able to upgrade with as few retirements as there are. Maybe in 6 years someone hired today could hold the plug of the A220? Maybe less if the 190 stays longer. Maybe a lot longer if there is a downturn, more deferrals, earlier returns/sales/parking of 320s, etc. It’s a fool’s errand to really speculate in that much detail though. If I were planning on going to JB this year I would plan on not upgrading for 10 years. If it happened sooner great.
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