Originally Posted by skytrekker

There are new captains that have spent 18+ months on reserve, that would likely increase with PBS rules on reserve..

With the fleet growth stopping at @180 ac, sans a new order, you need to be at seniority @1450 or less to upgrade when the last ac is delivered in 2021. There are now @2160 on property.

You bid LC or SC, so seniority.

There is minimal attrition and retirement..

There are a ton of 30 to 40 year old Captains and FO’s. Unless you are in your 20’s it will be hard to see better than say 50% on captain seniority, absent a huge growth in the fleet..

JMO