Originally Posted by
WhenPigsFLy
The future is not good for ups and fedex with trade wars and amazon. Better stay at swa, more secure. I know guts who are regretting leaving legacy plus swa now that the above threats are real.
To ethereal and not practical advise.
Historically, goods are produced wherever most cost effectively produced.
If costs to high for Chinese goods, manufacturers and the markets move rapidly to other countries. Mexico, Vietnam, Malayasia, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, and even many European and South American countries will start producing these goods over a short order of time. Cargo jets will simply move to new airports around the world.
Amazon is low yield volume. FedEx and UPS don't trip over themselves to fly just any volume, they pursue high yield non residential volume to make more money without buying jets to move very low profit volume. Amazon will not be able to cover their own volumes for a long time and wont have a real capability to compete with the business to business high yield volume IMO.
So at a pilot employment level, pax or freighter, as much theoretical risk for another 911 as the Amazon threat and trade wars impact.