Originally Posted by
Chris25
How many jets are on property currently and with the current orders? Would someone who got hired today realistically see upgrade in the 7-10 year range? or sooner..
We're getting 16 more 747-8, a dozen more new 767s, and five dry leased 767s as growth aircraft from today through end of 2021.
Our retirement wave does not start in earnest until 2024, when we'll mandatory retire 100+ every year (from a pilot group of currently about 2900) for a decade. Oh by the way, actual retirements have been more than double mandatory retirements and if anything the trend of early retirements is only going to accelerate.
TL;DR - yes, 7-10 years to junior available upgrade for a 2019 hire is realistic IMO barring some black swan event.