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Old 03-26-2020, 06:12 AM
  #30  
Broxis
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Joined APC: Jan 2019
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Originally Posted by drywhitetoast View Post
60,000,000 = Total Italian Population
74,386 = Total number of confirmed cases
16,865 = CV19 cases requiring hospitalization
7,503 = CV19 hospitalizations that ended in death

7503/74,386 = 0.1008657543086065‬ mortality rate.
Not exactly accurate, as the 74386 number is just confirmed cases, not resolved cases with a recovery or death. We wont know how many of that 74386 confirmed (actually 57,521, as the others have resolved) actually survive for another week or two. Italys real numbers for RESOLVED cases are 9362 recovered and and 7503 deaths. That looks way worse than it really is, because they obviously are only testing the most extreme cases.

tl;dr nobody actually knows this number and any claim by anyone to know the death rate of a disease that goes asymtomatic as often as corona does is mere conjecture.
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