Old 03-31-2020, 07:46 AM
  #31  
Grumpyaviator
Gets Weekends Off
 
Grumpyaviator's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Nov 2012
Posts: 2,030
Default

Originally Posted by AntiPeter View Post
Extrapolating these numbers, it is possible the outer boroughs of NYC have already come close to herd immunity:

https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/down...9-data-map.pdf

And if you don't want to buy the herd immunity concept in NYC that's fine. But, extrapolating these numbers to the population it's quite possible most people in NYC have already been infected.

Herd immunity is going to happen naturally, just as it has with all widespread viruses. But look how the NYC healthcare system has been overwhelmed. The plan to flatten the curve will eventually lead to herd immunity without the short-term overload.

The question is which method would be less catastrophic. We won’t know until later because without 100% testing the data is inaccurate now.
Grumpyaviator is offline