Old 04-02-2020, 06:28 PM
  #39  
Grumpyaviator
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Originally Posted by TransWorld View Post
It appears to me this is saying some areas have 60-80% of the tests coming back positive. That does not mean that percentage of people would test positive. Those many have had a much more restrictive number of test.

The inner areas that are 10-20% positives may have a much greater, more broad testing.

As an example, if you have a population of 100 and you test 10 people, with 8 positives, you would have 80% of tests positive.

On the other hand, if you have a population of 100 and you test 80 people, with 8 positives, you would have 10% of tests positive.

Neither of these examples would lead to a conclusion of herd immunity. Without the percentage of the population being tested, this data is meaningless.
testing is mostly being done to those who are symptomatic, which skews the odds to the positive.
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