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-   -   Interesting read regarding Allegiant saftey (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/allegiant/113144-interesting-read-regarding-allegiant-saftey.html)

disco inferno 04-22-2018 05:53 AM

Interesting read regarding Allegiant saftey
 
Is Allegiant a Safe Airline? ? Using Data to Review 60 Minutes? Conclusions ? Visual Appraoch

ecam 04-22-2018 07:49 AM

I'll go ahead and pull this out since most people are too lazy to actually read the report.


In short, yes, 60 minutes is technically correct: Allegiant did have 3.5 times the serious incident rate of other airlines, but only if you selectively choose which you count as the “other airlines.” When viewed in context, however, you see that not only is Allegiant not 3.5 times higher than all other airlines, they never even saw close to the highest serious incident rate. Further, since a peak in 2014, the serious incident rate has been steadily falling at Allegiant, making it one of the safest airlines in Q1 2018.
And this:


Looking at the serious incident rate per departure rather than per flight hour shows a similar trend. Because of the longer flights, Allegiant has fewer departures per hour which inflates their incident rate. However they still were always eclipsed by airlines with a higher rate. In fact, as of April, 2018, there were a total of 16 airlines with a higher serious incident rate than Allegiant.

The implication of this is important. If 60 Minutes would not put their family on an Allegiant flight due to their safety record, what would they do with the 16 other airlines with worse record
One must wonder how many of those 16 anonymous airlines with worse records are regional affiliates of a legacy carrier whose passengers bought a ticket from the legacy.

FreshWater 04-22-2018 12:19 PM

This reflects what we’ve been saying. Does anyone think the enthusiasm for more investigations into Allegiant is rapidly decompressing?


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