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Junior 500 age at DOH

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Old 06-06-2018, 02:39 PM
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Default Junior 500 age at DOH

Not perfect because I didn't verify birthday vs DOH date. Just used birth year so there's some built-in inaccuracy. But close enough.

Covers September 2017 through May 2018. Junior 500(missed two, actually 498). No way to separate out flows vs OTS.

62 2
61 1
60 0

59 1
58 0
57 2
56 3
55 8
54 5
53 8
52 4
51 9
50 10

49 7
48 13
47 12
46 23
45 14
44 26
43 23
42 24
41 27
40 23

39 35
38 41
37 42
36 34
35 35
34 21
33 24
32 5
31 5
30 6

29 2
28 1
27 2
26 2

Median age is 39. Down from 42 in 2014-2015.

Youngest 5% is 33 and younger.
Youngest 10% is 34.
Youngest 20% is 35.
Youngest 1/3 is 37.

Oldest 5% is 53.
Oldest 10% is 51.
Oldest 20% is 46.
Oldest 1/3 is 43.

Obviously each class is different but this should give you a rough estimate of where you'd slot into your class based on your age.
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Old 06-07-2018, 06:39 AM
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Great stuff. Any idea what seniority a 34-35 year old hired today could expect to be at when they reached 65 (approximately 2048)? Standard disclaimer of Black/white/purple/non-denominational/gender-neutral swans, etc notwithstanding.
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Old 06-07-2018, 06:47 AM
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Originally Posted by thrust View Post
Great stuff. Any idea what seniority a 34-35 year old hired today could expect to be at when they reached 65 (approximately 2048)? Standard disclaimer of Black/white/purple/non-denominational/gender-neutral swans, etc notwithstanding.
Hired today you’d retire around #267. That’s based on there being 266 people currently on the list aged 34 or younger. And like Slice above, I’m just doing it roughly with years, not actual birthdates.
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Old 06-08-2018, 07:08 AM
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Getting on to AA at 26 is a great career especially with current retirements hitting!

That's about 40 years to retirement age. Should be a comfortable retirement.
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Old 06-08-2018, 07:34 AM
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Originally Posted by dynap09 View Post
Getting on to AA at 26 is a great career especially with current retirements hitting!

That's about 40 years to retirement age. Should be a comfortable retirement.
40 years to retirement you should be worried about single pilot or no pilot.
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Old 06-08-2018, 08:32 PM
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Originally Posted by Saabs View Post
40 years to retirement you should be worried about single pilot or no pilot.
I have been using software since MS-DOS 3.2 and have not seen any PC, MAC (Apple), Os/2, or Android software that does not crash, freezes or reboots. Airbus OS (if you can call it that way) is pretty old, but after 4500 hours on type I have seen plenty things that make you wonder. I also wonder about older software on older machines, something "weird" is happening there.

Wanna get scared? Read up Tesla's X crash on autopilot in CA. That car accelerated right before it impacted a divider.
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Old 06-09-2018, 02:23 PM
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Originally Posted by Arado 234 View Post
I have been using software since MS-DOS 3.2 and have not seen any PC, MAC (Apple), Os/2, or Android software that does not crash, freezes or reboots. Airbus OS (if you can call it that way) is pretty old, but after 4500 hours on type I have seen plenty things that make you wonder. I also wonder about older software on older machines, something "weird" is happening there.

Wanna get scared? Read up Tesla's X crash on autopilot in CA. That car accelerated right before it impacted a divider.
The Tesla crash operated as designed. It's a driver assistance feature. It was set to drive at 75 mph, however the car in front was driving slower so the Tesla was driving slower. The car ahead left thus the Tesla sped up. The driver failed to monitor and react. I have about 7000 flight hours and roughly 3000 Tesla autopilot hours. Autopilot is a horrible name for the Tesla driver assistance functions. I've driven from DFW to Orlando and back and used the autopilot feature 90% of the time. It makes for a more relaxed driving experience. The issue is misuse.
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Old 06-09-2018, 03:33 PM
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Originally Posted by Arado 234 View Post
I have been using software since MS-DOS 3.2 and have not seen any PC, MAC (Apple), Os/2, or Android software that does not crash, freezes or reboots. Airbus OS (if you can call it that way) is pretty old, but after 4500 hours on type I have seen plenty things that make you wonder. I also wonder about older software on older machines, something "weird" is happening there.

Wanna get scared? Read up Tesla's X crash on autopilot in CA. That car accelerated right before it impacted a divider.
My computers, with SSDs, never crash, I have left them on for weeks.
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Old 06-09-2018, 04:12 PM
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SSDs are not the issue, software is. Never had an ipad or other Os freeze up on you or (not) doing what it is supposed do? And I not not talking third party apps.
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Old 06-09-2018, 04:35 PM
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Tesla and Elon Musk are overrated.

I will never understand the human desire to automate themselves out of a job. Single-pilot commercial passenger jetliners is just stupid. As for the cars, most people can't drive worth a damn here. Driving standards (written tests, exams) are an absolute joke. And putting these safety features helps a little bit, but again shows you just how careless people are. An overwhelming majority of car accidents are human error - the driver. It's beyond pathetic.

Oh - people want flying cars
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