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Old 11-30-2020, 12:43 AM
  #81  
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Originally Posted by ELAC321 View Post
No extra stimulus = AA chapter 7 liquidation/ possibly chapter 11 if vaccine causes strong travel rebound

Cares 2.0 stimulus = AA scrapes by/ still possibly enters chapter 11 depending on travel demand

There's a reason AAL stock is down relative to pre-covid evaluations VS any other carrier. It's no question the first airline to fail is going to be AA if things continue.
Let me guess, you get all your brilliance from Yahoo Finance and RapidRatings. The first off by billions on liquidity numbers and the second not even SEC approved. All the majors are at risk, even your precious LLC. Doesn’t really matter to me, I’m already out the door early, but...... If you’re going to post crap predictions though, at least try and research when which major airline has debt obligations coming due in 2021 vs 2022/23.
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Old 11-30-2020, 01:22 AM
  #82  
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Originally Posted by ELAC321 View Post
No extra stimulus = AA chapter 7 liquidation/ possibly chapter 11 if vaccine causes strong travel rebound

Cares 2.0 stimulus = AA scrapes by/ still possibly enters chapter 11 depending on travel demand

There's a reason AAL stock is down relative to pre-covid evaluations VS any other carrier. It's no question the first airline to fail is going to be AA if things continue.
Not sure where you’re getting the idea of liquidation from. Bankruptcy is definitely a possibility. I’d lay odds at 30%. Even if your carrier is able to avoid bankruptcy, sorry to say the paycuts we’d see would probably put downward pressure on your benefits. Hopefully none of the major carriers legacy or non are forced into it.
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Old 11-30-2020, 04:48 AM
  #83  
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Originally Posted by beancounter View Post
Not sure where you’re getting the idea of liquidation from. Bankruptcy is definitely a possibility. I’d lay odds at 30%. Even if your carrier is able to avoid bankruptcy, sorry to say the paycuts we’d see would probably put downward pressure on your benefits. Hopefully none of the major carriers legacy or non are forced into it.
USAir being the perpetual sick man of the Airline industry, whose conniving to save themselves drives down pilot wages and career progression?

I mean, who could that one coming?

“Magnum? Le Tigre? Blue Steel? It’s the same look!”

I’ll be honest...legacy Airways and Native American pilots are a match made in heaven.
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Old 11-30-2020, 08:24 AM
  #84  
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Originally Posted by acecrackshot View Post
USAir being the perpetual sick man of the Airline industry, whose conniving to save themselves drives down pilot wages and career progression?

I mean, who could that one coming?

“Magnum? Le Tigre? Blue Steel? It’s the same look!”

I’ll be honest...legacy Airways and Native American pilots are a match made in heaven.
Well, it's a good thing you didn't add America West in there. They never put downward pressure on pilot wages
Either you're a Deltapilot, FedEx pilot or a hypocrite. Which one is it?
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Old 11-30-2020, 10:52 AM
  #85  
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You guys do understand that when all the debt and liabilities are added up only $2 billion separates Delta and American. The difference being Delta has about $5 billion more in cash and a lower daily cash burn. That’s strongest to weakest airline. They will outlast us, but we’re all, every airline, really f*%}ed right now. Delta like American ****ed away billions in stock buybacks. United has considerably less debt, but a significant chunk starts coming due about 2 years prior to American’s. At least if American survives this we’ll have a new fleet to show for some of the debt. Delta and United still have to replace the majority of their fleets. You guys crack me up. It’s like standing on a flood plain about to fill up with 20’ deep of water and the 6’3” guy laughing at the guy 6’0”.
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Old 11-30-2020, 11:38 AM
  #86  
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Originally Posted by acecrackshot View Post
USAir being the perpetual sick man of the Airline industry, whose conniving to save themselves drives down pilot wages and career progression?

I mean, who could that one coming?

“Magnum? Le Tigre? Blue Steel? It’s the same look!”

I’ll be honest...legacy Airways and Native American pilots are a match made in heaven.
Many pilots became millionaires at US Air, how are you doing?
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Old 11-30-2020, 11:44 AM
  #87  
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Originally Posted by A330FoodCritic View Post
Many pilots became millionaires at US Air, how are you doing?
Obviously ****ed. Probably ****ed n’ poor. Next he’ll claim to make $220k a year as a 4th yr FO and we’re all clueless.
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Old 11-30-2020, 12:53 PM
  #88  
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Originally Posted by NorthwestAA View Post
You guys do understand that when all the debt and liabilities are added up only $2 billion separates Delta and American. The difference being Delta has about $5 billion more in cash and a lower daily cash burn. That’s strongest to weakest airline. They will outlast us, but we’re all, every airline, really f*%}ed right now. Delta like American ****ed away billions in stock buybacks. United has considerably less debt, but a significant chunk starts coming due about 2 years prior to American’s. At least if American survives this we’ll have a new fleet to show for some of the debt. Delta and United still have to replace the majority of their fleets. You guys crack me up. It’s like standing on a flood plain about to fill up with 20’ deep of water and the 6’3” guy laughing at the guy 6’0”.
But pi$$!ng on each other is fun! {sarcasm}
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Old 11-30-2020, 01:17 PM
  #89  
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Originally Posted by NorthwestAA View Post
You guys do understand that when all the debt and liabilities are added up only $2 billion separates Delta and American. The difference being Delta has about $5 billion more in cash and a lower daily cash burn. That’s strongest to weakest airline. They will outlast us, but we’re all, every airline, really f*%}ed right now. Delta like American ****ed away billions in stock buybacks. United has considerably less debt, but a significant chunk starts coming due about 2 years prior to American’s. At least if American survives this we’ll have a new fleet to show for some of the debt. Delta and United still have to replace the majority of their fleets. You guys crack me up. It’s like standing on a flood plain about to fill up with 20’ deep of water and the 6’3” guy laughing at the guy 6’0”.
Nice, you spent the time to articulate with added humor. I'm usually just like, "You guys are morons." Probably why you have a yacht and I have a paddle board
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Old 11-30-2020, 03:25 PM
  #90  
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Originally Posted by beancounter View Post
Well, it's a good thing you didn't add America West in there. They never put downward pressure on pilot wages
Either you're a Deltapilot, FedEx pilot or a hypocrite. Which one is it?
Delta gave us the permanent regional G scale.

USAir, that group never met a whipsaw they hated as long as it lined their pockets. When the WOs at Airways tried a single seniority list and a single carrier suit, the Airways MEC said they would side with the company. Then, 3 years later came up with Jets for Jobs, and the concept of super seniority.

Otherwise quite the sterling defense of the “Me, First!” style of trade unionism from our APA and USAir brothers are rightfully known.

When the current legacies under bussed the Pan Am, TWA, Braniff and Eastern guys for their career progression, and rejected a national seniority list, the AWs of the world never had a chance. There is a reason F9 went with their own union, and it was bitter experience.

My turn to guess, you were called “Colonel” in your last job?
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