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Old 02-16-2021, 07:50 AM
  #111  
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Originally Posted by ny797 View Post
Some people just like to see the world burn
It's his way. Positivity is not his thing. He reminds me of the old grumpy donkey (Eeyore) in Whinny the Poo.

IATA's actual forecast statement, current as of today. the 16th:
  • IATA’s baseline forecast for 2021 is for a 50.4% improvement on 2020 demand that would bring the industry to 50.6% of 2019 levels. While this view remains unchanged, there is a severe downside risk if more severe travel restrictions in response to new variants persist. Should such a scenario materialize, demand improvement could be limited to just 13% over 2020 levels, leaving the industry at 38% of 2019 levels.

Last edited by 450knotOffice; 02-16-2021 at 08:15 AM.
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Old 02-16-2021, 09:05 AM
  #112  
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Originally Posted by 450knotOffice View Post
It's his way. Positivity is not his thing. He reminds me of the old grumpy donkey (Eeyore) in Whinny the Poo.

IATA's actual forecast statement, current as of today. the 16th:
  • IATA’s baseline forecast for 2021 is for a 50.4% improvement on 2020 demand that would bring the industry to 50.6% of 2019 levels. While this view remains unchanged, there is a severe downside risk if more severe travel restrictions in response to new variants persist. Should such a scenario materialize, demand improvement could be limited to just 13% over 2020 levels, leaving the industry at 38% of 2019 levels.
I have been accused of being an a donkey before
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Old 02-16-2021, 11:00 AM
  #113  
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Originally Posted by chrisreedrules View Post
What travel rebound? IATA just revised its recovery numbers for 2021 down to just 13% of 2020’s numbers compared to the last prediction of an increase of 50%. There are more travel restrictions now than there were in 2020.
Just 13% of 2020 numbers? So a reduction of 87% of 2020 numbers for 2021? Guess aviation is dead. Maybe I should become a truck driver. Mav, you have the number of that truck driving school we saw on TV? Truck Master I think it is. I might need that.
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Old 02-16-2021, 11:57 AM
  #114  
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I guess I’d be pessimistic too if I didn’t know what I was looking at.
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Old 02-16-2021, 04:38 PM
  #115  
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Originally Posted by Pebbles View Post
It’s on AAPilots... looks like 25 folks were furloughed December 2. Not a very big recall class! At 25 a month, it would take a long time to get everybody back.

My guess is more information and larger recall groups announced once PSP3 signed into law. It seems it’s a done deal already since it’s in the bill language now, but I’m sure the company will wait until it’s officially official before committing to anything and releasing more information to the pilot group.

It sure would be nice to hear something other than “be glad you’re at home with pay, don’t worry about it...” some of us would greatly appreciate a little more certainty with regard to our future. But, not complaining, things could be way worse. I don’t fault the company at all, as this is a truly unprecedented situation. I just hope we are staffed and ready for the rebound.
Thanks.

25 instead of 60. ...great....
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Old 02-16-2021, 05:32 PM
  #116  
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Keep in mind, IATA is global.

US domestic travel is on better shape, with a likely better trajectory than foreign and international.
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Old 02-18-2021, 02:40 PM
  #117  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777 View Post
Keep in mind, IATA is global.

US domestic travel is on better shape, with a likely better trajectory than foreign and international.
This. Air travel within Europe will likely lag domestic recovery in the US just due the fact that they've been on actual lockdowns and the vast majority of flights there are considered international there. For what its worth, domestic travel within China recovered relatively fast after government restrictions were lifted.
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Old 02-25-2021, 05:38 PM
  #118  
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Originally Posted by doubles View Post
Thanks.

25 instead of 60. ...great....
I heard the 3/2 “class” is only 11 now, not even 25.
Arrgh!
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Old 02-25-2021, 06:42 PM
  #119  
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Originally Posted by doubles View Post
I heard the 3/2 “class” is only 11 now, not even 25.
Arrgh!
What is the training footprint for the people coming back to the same equipment?
They’ve only been out a few months.
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Old 02-25-2021, 07:44 PM
  #120  
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Originally Posted by But seriously View Post
What is the training footprint for the people coming back to the same equipment?
They’ve only been out a few months.

I think about 5 days.
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