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The airlines are creating the Pilot Shortage

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Old 06-24-2012, 10:38 AM
  #11  
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And for those naive pilots that think they can impress a girl when they say "I'm an airline pilot". I had a girl tell me she heard airline pilots dont make alot, it was hard to argue with her, she obviously did her research.
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Old 06-24-2012, 10:58 AM
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And for those naive pilots that think they can impress a girl when they say "I'm an airline pilot". I had a girl tell me she heard airline pilots dont make alot, it was hard to argue with her, she obviously did her research.
This was just after you told her that you were a pilot?
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Old 06-24-2012, 11:00 AM
  #13  
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Bro, you're not suppose to drop " I'm a pilot" line to an FA.
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Old 06-24-2012, 11:07 AM
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Originally Posted by DeltaBravo View Post
No Shortage is on the horizon...IMHO...I think the airlines will get relief from the Aug 2013 deadline. Business is business...the gov't will not let an artificial shortage happen in one of our most important forms of transportation. Low pay has never stopped pilots from applying and accepting low ball offers. Management has long figured out that pilots love to fly and will accept just about any working conditions and abuse in order to their SJS fix.
Funny you mention accepting low pay to be an airline pilot. Hows the application for Silver coming along?
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Old 06-24-2012, 11:11 AM
  #15  
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Originally Posted by DashGirl View Post
I think some of the properties are going to have major issues once all their F/O's get their ATPs. I know at PDT a year from now they are going to have a very serious staffing problem. Once ATP'd they will leave in droves for the legacies, cargo and fractionals.
Uh, not likely. I know a lot of airline pilots think that everybody outside the airline industry will be falling over themselves to nab them, but that's just not the case. It will help, no doubt. But having your ATP is very insignificant compared to having good connections, time in type, previous charter/corporate experience, etc.
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Old 06-24-2012, 11:25 AM
  #16  
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Originally Posted by Tempest View Post
It seems like everyday I get more proof that the Regional airlines are creating their own Pilot shortage. With FO pay so low nobody can justify becoming an airline pilot anymore.

Just the other day my buddy told me he has no motivation to become an airline pilot since it would require him to take a pay cut possibly for the next 6-10 years before he starts making the money he's making now $72,000+ a year. It would also take time away from his side business of fixing up old cars and selling them.

What makes this even more mind blowing to me is that it won't cost him any money for flight training since he has Post 9/11 VA benefits that pay 100% of the flight training to become a Commercial pilot.

He can become a commercial pilot for free and still won't touch it with a ten foot pole.

I have a couple of other friends and former coworkers that have quit the business altogether, but I guess the bright side to that is 3 less resumes on the hiring manger's desk that I have to compete against.
It's a simple matter of supply and demand.

If, at some point, the supply of available and qualified pilots becomes less than the demand, pay will have to increase, period. It's the only way to attract more pilots to the airlines.

The ATP requirement reduces the number of qualified pilots.
The economy and lack of available credit for training has decreased the number of qualified pilots.

The new rest time regs will increase the demand.
The upcoming retirements will increase demand.
An improving economy and/or increase in overall air travel will increase demand.

This is all well and good, but of course many factors could change the equation. A faltering economy, for one. Relief from new rules. Another increase in retirement age. Another terrorist incident. A wave of new TA's reducing overall airframes and therefore demand for pilots...

So who knows? The hope is that at some point, the equation reaches a tipping point where the only feasible option for the airlines will be, for the first time EVER, to ACTUALLY COMPETE for skilled labor through pay and benefits, just like every other non-governmental company on the planet. Wouldn't that be something?
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Old 06-24-2012, 12:03 PM
  #17  
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The regionals compete for talent NOW, what changes is the pool will be smaller, not larger, than the demand. Prices for pilots are like any prices--the oversupply is the problem!

GF
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Old 06-24-2012, 12:29 PM
  #18  
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Originally Posted by Tempest View Post
It seems like everyday I get more proof that the Regional airlines are creating their own Pilot shortage. With FO pay so low nobody can justify becoming an airline pilot anymore.
That sounds like the restaurant Yogi Berra described: "It got so crowded that nobody goes there anymore."
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Old 06-24-2012, 01:04 PM
  #19  
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ATP means squat. You have to be a captain and sign for the aircraft in order to log PIC. This industry is a total bust.
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Old 06-24-2012, 01:05 PM
  #20  
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Its a pretty messed up situation. In the past 135 companies had a tough time keeping people around and now I feel its reversed. After 3.5 years at my company I cleared almost 50K for the year and still get small raises every 6 months. I usually only work 5-6 hour days and I"m home every day with weekends and holidays off. I can't fathom going to a regional for a substantial paycut with a drastic change in QOL and not seeing more than what I'm making now until a captian upgrade which looks like 5-10 years at a lot of places.

The big downfall where I"m at is we don't have turbine equipment which makes taking a big step up a lot harder. For now I enjoy going to work and respect who I work for and work with. I'm ok taking 50K flying a Navaho vs. 25K for an E175 or CRJ-700. Unless I saw fast upgrades or massive pay raises I can't justify leaving home for 18-20 days a month just to commute and fly a shiny jet.

I got tired of putting my life on hold for an aviaion career so I bought a house and I"m starting a family. If better options don't present themselves when I"m lacking the turbine time I'll probably leave the industry. For now I'm happy where I"m at and even small 135 outfits have competitive job security with the airlines. Remember to make your job what you do and not who you are.
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