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Old 03-22-2017, 06:36 PM
  #81  
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Originally Posted by J Dawg View Post
You are going to the other extreme by stating Amazon is trying to put UPS and FX out of business. No one ever said that. But just because Amazon might not be in the logistics and SCS business today does not mean that they are not rapidly moving in that direction. Just look who they are getting in bed with (DHL, ATSG, Atlas, etc). Getting whatever expertise they need won't be hard. I'm not sure why you mention sales cycles as if to suggest Amazon can't succeed there either. Unlike UPS which only provides a service, Amazon actually sells stuff. Soon they will provide a product and a service.

Trust me, as a UPS pilot this is very concerning to me (your "opportunist" remark is misdirected) and it should be to you as well. Again, all you gotta do is look at the size of their CVG plans and it's easy to see they want to get in the logistics and shipping business beyond their own stuff. I see no reason why they won't be successful especially considering their main competition is a trucking company using 1990's internet technology riding on 110 years of momentum, a company which has a proven track record of squandering growth opportunities and little desire to grow market share and reinvest profits in the company on the same level Amazon has been doing.
Ever notice that massive series of buildings across the street from worldport when you leave from the main gate or the training center? Ford Assembly plant in case you missed it. Ever wonder why that's there. Strange coincidence, next to UPS's main air hub? Parts, pre-fabricated components, materials, etc., all facilitated with just in time inventory served by.....a trucking company using 90s technology and yada-yada-yada. That's a multi million dollar relationship built on years of trust and personal relationships. It will be next to impossible for Bezos to steal that business but as I said twice now, if he is going to try, it will be a long, complicated, and expensive sales cycle. And that's just one example of thousands between FX and UPS.

I'm not dismissive of what you are saying, I'm arguing it's way over-hyped.

Last edited by FTFF; 03-22-2017 at 06:40 PM. Reason: Clarity
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Old 03-22-2017, 07:31 PM
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Originally Posted by FTFF View Post
Ever notice that massive series of buildings across the street from worldport when you leave from the main gate or the training center? Ford Assembly plant in case you missed it. Ever wonder why that's there. Strange coincidence, next to UPS's main air hub? Parts, pre-fabricated components, materials, etc., all facilitated with just in time inventory served by.....a trucking company using 90s technology and yada-yada-yada. That's a multi million dollar relationship built on years of trust and personal relationships. It will be next to impossible for Bezos to steal that business but as I said twice now, if he is going to try, it will be a long, complicated, and expensive sales cycle. And that's just one example of thousands between FX and UPS.

I'm not dismissive of what you are saying, I'm arguing it's way over-hyped.
Well, isn't Bezos effectively building a multi million dollar relationship with......himself? I don't see that he's trying to compete with FDX or UPS. But honestly, what do I know...
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Old 03-22-2017, 09:01 PM
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Originally Posted by brownie View Post
But the biggest difference is Fedex operating profit was 5.1 BILLION vs Amazons 857 MILLION..Don't be blindsided by market cap only .
For years Amazon was UNprofitable yet grew wildly, how is that possible? Because they REINVEST profit into grow and expansion!
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Old 03-22-2017, 09:05 PM
  #84  
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Originally Posted by FTFF View Post

I'm not dismissive of what you are saying, I'm arguing it's way over-hyped.
They used to call it, whistling past the graveyard.
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Old 03-23-2017, 03:13 AM
  #85  
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The Centennial hub and SCS facility on Outer Loop, on the approach to the 35s, serve as a "force multiplier" of sorts for Worldport.

Take their combined size with Worldport and compare with the proposed Amazon CVG plan.
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Old 03-23-2017, 08:52 AM
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OK, so who here would say no to a job at UPS because of this. Really, you would pass on UPS for what might happen to the business model in the future. If that the case you should never take a job anyplace.
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Old 03-23-2017, 11:38 AM
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Originally Posted by WhenPigsFLy View Post
OK, so who here would say no to a job at UPS because of this. Really, you would pass on UPS for what might happen to the business model in the future. If that the case you should never take a job anyplace.
Heeeeeeell no. I think most of the younger folks flying these routes would like very much to move on to brown or purple.
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Old 03-23-2017, 01:32 PM
  #88  
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Originally Posted by BoilerUP View Post
The Centennial hub and SCS facility on Outer Loop, on the approach to the 35s, serve as a "force multiplier" of sorts for Worldport.

Take their combined size with Worldport and compare with the proposed Amazon CVG plan.
That analogy is not exclusive to UPS. For an apples to apples comparison, if we are going to include off airport warehousing and distribution facilities as some sort of "force multiplier" have a look at the number of Amazon Fulfillment Centers within an hour drive of CVG. Which incidentally would include their facilities on Louisville's outer loop.

Besides, its not as if Cincinnati doesn't already have a major logistics industry, and all that goes with it, due to DHL.
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Old 03-24-2017, 06:06 AM
  #89  
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Originally Posted by J Dawg View Post
That analogy is not exclusive to UPS. For an apples to apples comparison, if we are going to include off airport warehousing and distribution facilities as some sort of "force multiplier" have a look at the number of Amazon Fulfillment Centers within an hour drive of CVG. Which incidentally would include their facilities on Louisville's outer loop.

Besides, its not as if Cincinnati doesn't already have a major logistics industry, and all that goes with it, due to DHL.
Ok,

Amazon is planning to have CVG. Cute. Ups has SDF. And ONT. And DFW. And Chicago (RFD). And PHL. And CGN. And ANC. And a seperate list of smaller air hubs. FX has MEM. And LAX. And ANC... need I go on. Also, Amazons fulfillment centers in CVG and elsewhere are for on-line retail. FX's and UPS's are SSC & B2B based. Apples and cheeseburgers. I don't think you really have a strong grasp of exactly what business FX and UPS are actually in. Package delivery from grandma and / or Amazon is just one slice of the pie. And all of this talk completely dismisses just how ruthless FX and UPS are towards competition.

Whistling past a grave yard? Let me offer a platitude: Lipstick on a pig.
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Old 03-24-2017, 07:20 AM
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Originally Posted by FTFF View Post
Ok,

Amazon is planning to have CVG. Cute. Ups has SDF. And ONT. And DFW. And Chicago (RFD). And PHL. And CGN. And ANC. And a seperate list of smaller air hubs. FX has MEM. And LAX. And ANC... need I go on. Also, Amazons fulfillment centers in CVG and elsewhere are for on-line retail. FX's and UPS's are SSC & B2B based. Apples and cheeseburgers. I don't think you really have a strong grasp of exactly what business FX and UPS are actually in. Package delivery from grandma and / or Amazon is just one slice of the pie. And all of this talk completely dismisses just how ruthless FX and UPS are towards competition.

Whistling past a grave yard? Let me offer a platitude: Lipstick on a pig.
I do not think this conversation is an Amazon vs. FedEx/UPS.

Please don't misread the conversation as gloating or excitement about Amazon as I would guess almost every single pilot affected by this Amazon deal (including myself) would love nothing more than to work for FedEx/UPS. One would be hardpressed to find any cargo pilot in the industry that doesn't envy those working for FedEx or UPS.

The point most are trying to make is that Amazon is going to make a significant attempt to compete with FedEx/UPS and they have deeper pockets than any competition in the logistics business. That is an indisputable fact. They also have a strong track record of ruthlessly achieving their business goals.

Of course, both FedEx and UPS are established companies with years of experience and they enjoy strong relationships with key customers. This fact will be a significant challenge to Amazon but over time, with enough money invested, this too could be overcome.

With all that said, one would be crazy to think that Amazon can not move into compete against FedEx and UPS. They have such deep pockets to where they can build and acquire a network over time. This move is bold and challenging but to write off the challenge would be a mistake. Just by acquiring ATSG and AAWW, which they already have a deal to aquire portions of each of those companies, Amazon will have an established fleet of 175 mostly widebody aircraft. Sure, it is not the size of the FedEx or UPS fleet, but Amazon is just getting started...and I would say, that would be a rather strong start.

With ATSG and AAWW, they immediately gain a strong market share far greater than just CVG. Atlas carriers more air freight in South America than anyone else. When flying throughout Asia, I see as many Atlas/Polar/DHL planes sitting at airports as I do for FedEx or UPS. Atlas also occupies the former Northwest Freight Hub in ANC. ATSG is also a very strong company that has a lot to offer, however, I do not work there and no much less about their network, but I do see them at airports all over.

Now, maybe, throw in DHL...that's right, let's wrap our head around Amazon buying DHL. It is possible. Amazon's CVG hub plans have them building their facility right up against the DHL facility. There is no doubt at this point that the two companies are already working closely together. They have deep enough pockets to aquire DHL and this possibility is not as far fetched as it may seem. If Amazon made this move, they would gain the largest worldwide logistics network rather quickly.

This could all be done in a matter of a few years and that just might be the start of Amazon entering the logistics business.
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