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Old 03-16-2019, 08:58 AM
  #781  
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Originally Posted by Mesabah View Post
We do have some facts, it was not a deliberate act, the aircraft pitched over 45 degrees nose down, both engines had an increase in power, and the aircraft was leveling prior to impact. The unintentional mismanagement of the automation, and failure to recover manually is probably the primary cause. There might be an equipment failure as a contributing secondary cause. What happened can be deduced with high confidence, we certainly don't have enough facts to determine why it happened.
I fly a different Boeing product, but still scratching my head trying to figure out how automation would do this violent a maneuver without a failure. Maybe selecting verticle speed? But man, I can't see scrolling that much down that quickly.
My only reason for speculating or reading the posts that speculate is trying to make sure I don't do the same thing or something that others postulate could cause such an issue. At this point, nothing seems obvious to me outside an initial failure of some sort.
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Old 03-16-2019, 09:07 AM
  #782  
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And now we are on the microburst theory🙄🙄🙄🙄.
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Old 03-16-2019, 09:25 AM
  #783  
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Originally Posted by F4E Mx View Post
Actually there are quite a few similarities but with your arrogant and condescending dismissal there is no point in even trying to discuss those points with you.
Actually, you should probably stick to talking about F4 maintenance. You clearly have no idea what LLWS is, that’s for sure.
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Old 03-16-2019, 09:43 AM
  #784  
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Originally Posted by ICUROOK View Post
get over yourself. Did you get enough "atta boys!" for this post to your satisfaction?
"I think it is pretty disrespectful to the families of those who died that you continue to bicker on this board about every single point."

I like that quote...
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Old 03-16-2019, 09:50 AM
  #785  
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Originally Posted by Blackhawk View Post
I fly a different Boeing product, but still scratching my head trying to figure out how automation would do this violent a maneuver without a failure. Maybe selecting verticle speed? But man, I can't see scrolling that much down that quickly.
My only reason for speculating or reading the posts that speculate is trying to make sure I don't do the same thing or something that others postulate could cause such an issue. At this point, nothing seems obvious to me outside an initial failure of some sort.
I can't see how ANY transport category automation could do this, without failure or manual input. At least not so rapidly that the crew could not intervene and recover.

I've had automation do glitchy things, but it always did it relatively smoothly.
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Old 03-16-2019, 09:51 AM
  #786  
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Originally Posted by The Dominican View Post
Well, thank you!

The whole ridiculous speculation of people that claim to be even instructors on the 76 was getting just plain stupid.
Tunes legitimately is a 76 instructor, and Andy Paztor is one of the few journalists that routinely gets things correct.

There has been some dumb things posted here for sure, but you’re barking up the wrong tree here.
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Old 03-16-2019, 10:03 AM
  #787  
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This NTSB update and latest WSJ article doesn’t make sense to me. Fair amount of 121 flying some in this model. Never have I seen anything this dramatic, whether inadvertent or not, with regards to pitch input. Never. Actually it takes some effort to get 121 guys to get this aggressive with a big airplane. Engines never spool up so quickly to catch me off guard and I’m no ace of the base. Seems implausible.

And as far as automation doing this...still makes absolutely no sense.
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Old 03-16-2019, 10:14 AM
  #788  
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Just going to throw this out as a idea...what if they thought based on erroneous information that they were in a nose up up unusual attitude in IMC...they added thrust and pushed to bring the attitude indication to level flight. Obviously this raises questions about crosscheck or what else was going on, but it would provide an explanation of advancing thrust and aggressively pitching down.
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Old 03-16-2019, 10:15 AM
  #789  
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Originally Posted by veewan View Post
Just going to throw this out as a idea...what if they thought based on erroneous information that they were in a nose up up unusual attitude in IMC...they added thrust and pushed to bring the attitude indication to level flight. Obviously this raises questions about crosscheck or what else was going on, but it would provide an explanation of advancing thrust and aggressively pitching down.
They weren’t IMC and didn’t even get to the cell called out by ATC.
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Old 03-16-2019, 10:41 AM
  #790  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777 View Post
The real kicker in the microburst is the sudden headwind, subsequent pilot/automation reaction, followed by altitude loss in the downdraft, followed by a rapid shear to a tailwind (with power at idle and nose down inputs/trim).

Flying through the downdraft alone would not cause that chain of events.
Some studies show the core downburst can reach 6,000 - 7000 fpm. The aircraft was more or less stabilized at 1,500 fpm descent before entering (if it, indeed was a downburst) which would be a 7,500 to 8,500 rate of descent right there. Just a point of discussion.
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