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fantm11 01-01-2016 11:24 AM

Looking for some rumor control (yeah, yeah...)/expectations management as someone about to start putting in apps. Heard from a couple of different places that FDX and UPS domiciles were not much longer for ANC. True? Realize the conventional wisdom is "cast the widest net"...but trying to understand the art of the possible in terms of moving to (and remaining at) a certain domicile near the Great White North that isn't MSP, DTW, ORD, etc....presuming I can get hired at all...

Waldorf 01-01-2016 01:31 PM

[QUOTE=fantm11;2038232]Looking for some rumor control (yeah, yeah...)/expectations management as someone about to start putting in apps. Heard from a couple of different places that FDX and UPS domiciles were not much longer for ANC.

Totally untrue. Nothing from FedEx about closing Anchorage. That rumor has been going around for years. There may not be any new hire postings to Anchorage but that doesn't mean the base is going to close. I don't have any info more current than FedEx Aug new hires, none went to Anchorage. FedEx has filled open positions in Anchorage on the last seat bid but it has not increased or really decreased the base in the last year. Fewer FO's though than in the past. I wouldn't count on Anchorage being an option as a new hire but you'd find that out when the seat openings are given to the class. Looks like most guys are going to Memphis with some Cologne and some Hong Kong. Supposed to be good hiring in 2016 so anything is possible.

Curby 01-01-2016 02:51 PM

Watch the housing market
 
I was an Alaskan resident for the last 23 years and recently moved out. I had a larger home, and the economic conditions in Alaska had me more than concerned about going upside down on value.

The State is wheezing financially. They cannot tap their natural resources (logging, minerals, coal) and oil is looking like a longterm bust. It is a welfare state with handouts for everyone - and those with a hand out are moving in at a steady rate. A book could be written on the downturn and all the reasons. Suffice to say - the housing market on the higher end could be risky. I have no regrets about getting out.

The State is seriously floating an income tax and capping the Dividend Fund and to use the income to stem the yearly billions in cost overruns. The future does not look bright. YMMV

Huck 01-01-2016 03:00 PM

And yet it takes ~16 years to hold captain up there.....

alaskadrifter 01-01-2016 03:37 PM


Originally Posted by Curby (Post 2038320)
The State is wheezing financially. They cannot tap their natural resources (logging, minerals, coal) and oil is looking like a longterm bust.

Suffice to say - the housing market on the higher end could be risky. I have no regrets about getting out.

The State is seriously floating an income tax and capping the Dividend Fund and to use the income to stem the yearly billions in cost overruns. The future does not look bright. YMMV

While I wouldn't entirely agree that our natural resources aren't being utilized, our dependency on oil has raked us over the coals. It remains to be seen what is going to be done to solve the problem, but even is we have some sort of income or sales tax it will likely be lower than most states. As far as the housing market goes, we never got hit in 2008 like the Lower 48 did, what will happen next is anyone's guess but I don't think a housing market collapse is likely. I'm not so pessimistic in the long run about the State's health, sure there will be some bumps but I think we will be alright.

PotatoChip 01-01-2016 05:44 PM


Originally Posted by fantm11 (Post 2038232)
Looking for some rumor control (yeah, yeah...)/expectations management as someone about to start putting in apps. Heard from a couple of different places that FDX and UPS domiciles were not much longer for ANC. True? Realize the conventional wisdom is "cast the widest net"...but trying to understand the art of the possible in terms of moving to (and remaining at) a certain domicile near the Great White North that isn't MSP, DTW, ORD, etc....presuming I can get hired at all...

FWIW I know someone who was recently hired as a NURP manager at UPS... He bought a house. Just saying.

Waldorf 01-01-2016 06:45 PM


Originally Posted by alaskadrifter (Post 2038343)
While I wouldn't entirely agree that our natural resources aren't being utilized, our dependency on oil has raked us over the coals. It remains to be seen what is going to be done to solve the problem, but even is we have some sort of income or sales tax it will likely be lower than most states. As far as the housing market goes, we never got hit in 2008 like the Lower 48 did, what will happen next is anyone's guess but I don't think a housing market collapse is likely. I'm not so pessimistic in the long run about the State's health, sure there will be some bumps but I think we will be alright.

The State will resolve its issues in some way. It may be to drain the PFD. That won't make people happy but the State isn't going to go bankrupt if its got billions in the PFD fund. But back to the OP's question of the base staying open.

I wouldn't worry as a new hire about getting Anchorage if it even comes up. Guys will still bid up to Anchorage because the bid pack contains a lot more international flying than Memphis does. And if a new hire got Anchorage, I think with the current hiring, they'd be able to bid out as soon as they would be allowed, whats that, 18 months if you take the move?

Aksleddriver 01-01-2016 09:49 PM

6 weeks
 

Originally Posted by Packrat (Post 1745431)
Second the motion about Eagle River. There will be a couple months where you will get zero direct sun.

I lived in S. Anchorage halfway up the hill. Best advice I can give you...find a place on the flats. If you live anywhere up the hill you will have an additional 6 weeks of winter. The snow falls first at the higher elevations and moves down the hill. The reverse applies in the spring. My house was at the corner of Birch and Huffman. We would have significant snow on the ground before Halloween and would still have snow in the yard on Memorial Day.

That was LONG after people on the flats had seen the snow disappear. Usually by Halloween there was so much snow where I lived the kids couldn't go trick or treating. The good news was the phone company would set up a little Halloween village in their garage so the kids could do their thing.

Try to find a place as low and sunny as possible. You'll appreciate it in the winter. The MatSu valley is an alternative if you're not going to drive to the airport more than a couple times a week. Its more small town out there. Be advised its VERY conservative politically and a LOT of religious fundamentalists live out that way.

Not that there's anything wrong with that.

You must have lived in a different hillside area, I live about as hi up as you can get, right below flat top, winter comes and goes maybe two weeks before and after

Waldorf 01-01-2016 11:53 PM

And if you are single, I think Bristol Palin is looking for a husband/father. She's daughter of our former ex governor. I know, I don't think she lives in AK anymore.

Think the OP got more than he asked for?:)

flyawayAK 01-03-2016 08:52 PM

For what it's worth; I grew up in ANC, learned to fly there, got married there, and finally returned on the FX dime, with the hope of raising our young children in the Last Frontier. My wife and I have extended family scattered from ANC to FAI, and more roots in AK than a Sitka spruce. After a gut-wrenching five month decision, we cashed-out and left, following the massive -40 ANC excess of late 2014. While the base may not close anytime soon, the trajectory over the past 5-6 years has been less than confidence inspiring, especially for someone relatively junior (2011 hire here). Local economy notwithstanding, we grew tired of wondering when the next company hammer would drop. The domicile has gone from 450ish total crews in the heyday, to 190ish now. It is an amazing place, with some of the best crews and best flying in the system and is still considered "home" to us. What does the future hold? Nobody knows. You decide, but choose carefully if the prospect of a long distance commute to MEM reserve, or a 4-5+ departure domestic line does not sound appealing. Wishing you the best of luck!


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