Old business models may require revising...
10-25-2021, 07:29 PM
#181
Speed, Power, Accuracy
Joined APC: Sep 2007
Position: PIC
Posts: 1,699
Good grief. If the airports get any busier, the system will completely break down.
This past week has convinced me that the transportation infrastructure is at a tipping point. Airport delays are growing rapidly. 40 minute EDCT yesterday and almost 30 minutes on the ramp after first call just to taxi today. FBOs are woefully understaffed and basic services like fuel take an hour or more. Ground transport to and from hotels is increasingly difficult. Catering is delayed or doesn't arrive at all. Messages to the Operations Center go unanswered for 20, 30, 40 minutes or more. Charter operators can't handle any more demand and our flight load is 20%-30% higher than before Covid.
Don't get me started on riding the airlines to and from the jet.
In two words, it's a poo show.
Throw in some misguided mandates and the holiday travel season is going to be EPIC.
This past week has convinced me that the transportation infrastructure is at a tipping point. Airport delays are growing rapidly. 40 minute EDCT yesterday and almost 30 minutes on the ramp after first call just to taxi today. FBOs are woefully understaffed and basic services like fuel take an hour or more. Ground transport to and from hotels is increasingly difficult. Catering is delayed or doesn't arrive at all. Messages to the Operations Center go unanswered for 20, 30, 40 minutes or more. Charter operators can't handle any more demand and our flight load is 20%-30% higher than before Covid.
Don't get me started on riding the airlines to and from the jet.
In two words, it's a poo show.
Throw in some misguided mandates and the holiday travel season is going to be EPIC.
10-25-2021, 08:27 PM
#182
Gets Everyday Off
Joined APC: Aug 2016
Position: Relaxed
Posts: 6,938
Sounds like supply change management issues. The system has to be kicked in the rear to get it into gear. Domestic is a bit below 2019. International is still way off.
As Covid goes into distant memory, the airline industry will continue to grow. Think about where we were before it. Draw a positively sloping line to the next couple of years.
Plane orders headed that way. Mainline piilot staffing headed that way. Airport capacities and TSA screening capacity will have to grow. Projects put on hold will have to be dusted off and implemented.
If you have seen the international projections by Boeing (particularly China, Latin America, and Africa) later in the decade and into the 2030s, the problems in the US truly will be small.
Even if we have a recession or another black swan event, all it will do is delay what will happen in the future. It is inevitable.
As Covid goes into distant memory, the airline industry will continue to grow. Think about where we were before it. Draw a positively sloping line to the next couple of years.
Plane orders headed that way. Mainline piilot staffing headed that way. Airport capacities and TSA screening capacity will have to grow. Projects put on hold will have to be dusted off and implemented.
If you have seen the international projections by Boeing (particularly China, Latin America, and Africa) later in the decade and into the 2030s, the problems in the US truly will be small.
Even if we have a recession or another black swan event, all it will do is delay what will happen in the future. It is inevitable.
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