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TSA Numbers

Old 10-17-2020, 06:28 AM
  #1051  
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Anecdotal: ran into a friend of the family a few days ago (older lady who is a militant mask wearer). She began to tell me about an article she read recently about the airlines filtration system (packs) and how effective it is on Covid. I politely nodded in agreement and assured her that the plane’s interior is also sanitized before and after every flight. She said she is going to start flying again. This is someone who wouldn’t go near an airliner in July. I can’t help but think this sentiment is growing. Imagine what a vaccine will do for public confidence. I’m starting to feel bullish on airline recovery. I truly believe we’ll be at a steady 1.5 by spring...barring an economic meltdown.
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Old 10-17-2020, 06:51 AM
  #1052  
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Thread Drift alert.

Mask talk, stats out of Sweden, what your local day care is doing, etc, please move it elsewhere. This thread is for TSA related and passenger load related talk

At 5+% growth a month, we should hit 1M by mid November, if not sooner.

just be aware we want consistent, repeated numbers, not a one day growth spurt then flat-line again
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Old 10-17-2020, 06:59 AM
  #1053  
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Originally Posted by senecacaptain View Post
Thread Drift alert.

Mask talk, stats out of Sweden, what your local day care is doing, etc, please move it elsewhere. This thread is for TSA related and passenger load related talk

At 5+% growth a month, we should hit 1M by mid November, if not sooner.

just be aware we want consistent, repeated numbers, not a one day growth spurt then flat-line again

A discussion about the factors that influence the numbers as they are reported is not thread drift.

This is thread drift.
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Old 10-17-2020, 07:05 AM
  #1054  
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There appeared to be very close correlation with the last big increase in new cases through July and August with a discouraging flattening of passenger number growth. That hasn’t been reflected YET with the current upward trend in new cases. If it happens, the growth rate will stall this week and then it’s anybody’s guess when growth resumes. If it doesn’t happen, we’ll reach 1M well before Thanksgiving based on the current trend.

Its just really hard to tell. Many of you thought we would be slumming it at 350-550k right now because of the confluence of no leisure in October and no business travel. The assumptions backing that scenario proved to be faulty. We’ll see what happens. It is certainly interesting to watch, and I enjoy this thread when it’s not hobbled by sidebars.

I
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Old 10-17-2020, 07:38 AM
  #1055  
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Originally Posted by flyinthrew View Post
There appeared to be very close correlation with the last big increase in new cases through July and August with a discouraging flattening of passenger number growth. That hasn’t been reflected YET with the current upward trend in new cases. If it happens, the growth rate will stall this week and then it’s anybody’s guess when growth resumes. If it doesn’t happen, we’ll reach 1M well before Thanksgiving based on the current trend.

Its just really hard to tell. Many of you thought we would be slumming it at 350-550k right now because of the confluence of no leisure in October and no business travel. The assumptions backing that scenario proved to be faulty. We’ll see what happens. It is certainly interesting to watch, and I enjoy this thread when it’s not hobbled by sidebars.

I
Southwest says they are seeing an unexpected increase in business travel. USA Today highlighted study on airline safety from Covid. Cleaner than an operating room was the headline but it was misleading. Still clean though.
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Old 10-17-2020, 08:30 AM
  #1056  
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Originally Posted by pangolin View Post
Southwest says they are seeing an unexpected increase in business travel. USA Today highlighted study on airline safety from Covid. Cleaner than an operating room was the headline but it was misleading. Still clean though.
Anecdotal, a good friend is in a corporate sales department... They started traveling this month, couldn't hold off any longer to make some deals close.

Separate from that a friend, a doctor, refuses to travel unless it's by car. He had the vid in March/April.
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Old 10-17-2020, 09:11 AM
  #1057  
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Originally Posted by Wrinke View Post
This is need to safe process under expert and follow Gov rule to work or test .
Huh?

Filler
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Old 10-17-2020, 09:23 AM
  #1058  
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Originally Posted by Seneca Pilot View Post
A discussion about the factors that influence the numbers as they are reported is not thread drift.

This is thread drift.
I agree. Factors that will impact TSA numbers positively and negatively should be fair game.
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Old 10-17-2020, 09:30 AM
  #1059  
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Originally Posted by flyinthrew View Post
There appeared to be very close correlation with the last big increase in new cases through July and August with a discouraging flattening of passenger number growth. That hasn’t been reflected YET with the current upward trend in new cases. If it happens, the growth rate will stall this week and then it’s anybody’s guess when growth resumes. If it doesn’t happen, we’ll reach 1M well before Thanksgiving based on the current trend.

Its just really hard to tell. Many of you thought we would be slumming it at 350-550k right now because of the confluence of no leisure in October and no business travel. The assumptions backing that scenario proved to be faulty. We’ll see what happens. It is certainly interesting to watch, and I enjoy this thread when it’s not hobbled by sidebars.

I
3 months ago people wee a little more Covid retarded and city blocks were burning.
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Old 10-17-2020, 11:14 AM
  #1060  
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Originally Posted by pangolin View Post
Southwest says they are seeing an unexpected increase in business travel. USA Today highlighted study on airline safety from Covid. Cleaner than an operating room was the headline but it was misleading. Still clean though.
Agree they're doing well on the aircraft itself but passengers need to feel the whole process from check in to baggage claim has got it together. My biggest concern at this point is how will the system handle the increase in numbers needed for profitability at places like the TSA checkpoint.
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