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Old 10-17-2020, 11:14 AM   #1061  
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Originally Posted by pangolin View Post
Southwest says they are seeing an unexpected increase in business travel. USA Today highlighted study on airline safety from Covid. Cleaner than an operating room was the headline but it was misleading. Still clean though.
Agree they're doing well on the aircraft itself but passengers need to feel the whole process from check in to baggage claim has got it together. My biggest concern at this point is how will the system handle the increase in numbers needed for profitability at places like the TSA checkpoint.
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Old 10-17-2020, 01:18 PM   #1062  
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This is need to safe process under expert and follow Gov rule to work or test .

Borat, is that you?


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Old 10-17-2020, 01:38 PM   #1063  
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Anecdotal, a good friend is in a corporate sales department... They started traveling this month, couldn't hold off any longer to make some deals close.

Separate from that a friend, a doctor, refuses to travel unless it's by car. He had the vid in March/April.
Heís had the vid and wonít travel...

If thatís because traveling right now is a pain and wearing a mask on vacation isnít a vacation, I get it.

If thatís because heís afraid of giving or getting the vid, Iíd assume he got his med school diploma in a CrackerJack box.
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Old 10-17-2020, 02:47 PM   #1064  
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Heís had the vid and wonít travel...

If thatís because traveling right now is a pain and wearing a mask on vacation isnít a vacation, I get it.

If thatís because heís afraid of giving or getting the vid, Iíd assume he got his med school diploma in a CrackerJack box.
Maybe he knows the futility of a vaccine and that you can get it again.
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Old 10-17-2020, 03:52 PM   #1065  
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Borat, is that you?


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Haha. I needed that!
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Old 10-17-2020, 04:03 PM   #1066  
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Maybe he knows the futility of a vaccine and that you can get it again.

5 confirmed reinfection cases IN THE ENTIRE WORLD!

We donít actually know if reinfection will be common. So far it seems that it isnít common at all.


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Old 10-17-2020, 04:17 PM   #1067  
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Six digit accuracy? Thatís an awful lot for a SWAG. Clearly you never had my chemistry instructorís lecture on significant figures LOL.

Significant Figure Rules
My chances of ever getting any money out of DAL...00000001. A significant figure.
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Old 10-18-2020, 04:40 AM   #1068  
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788K. Up 19k wow. Up from 37.1 to 38.5 on % yoy from last week.

Sunday and Saturdays as of now both sit at 38.5%. Pushing both weekend days consistently over 40% should not be too far away.
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Old 10-18-2020, 07:05 AM   #1069  
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5 confirmed reinfection cases IN THE ENTIRE WORLD!

We don’t actually know if reinfection will be common. So far it seems that it isn’t common at all.


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There are four human coronaviruses that merely cause colds that have been with us for a long time.


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Common human coronaviruses

  1. 229E (alpha coronavirus)
  2. NL63 (alpha coronavirus)
  3. OC43 (beta coronavirus)
  4. HKU1 (beta coronavirus)
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/types.html


https://jcm.asm.org/content/48/8/2940


These have been extensively studied. Typically, it takes at least six months for immunity to fade enough for someone to get a second infection with any of these coronaviruses.

Quote:
In a few cases, reinfections occurred as early as 6 months (twice with HCoV-229E and once with HCoV-OC43) and 9 months (once with HCoV-NL63), but reinfections were frequently observed at 12 months (Fig. 1b). For reinfections occurring as early as 6 months, we observed no intermediate reduction in antibodies between infections (Fig. 1b, white circles), but reinfection intervals of more than 6 months did show intermediate reductions between infections (visible as peaks in Fig. 1aand Supplementary Fig. 1). The ability to detect short-term reinfections in this study was limited by the sampling interval, which was, at minimum, 3 months. However, no signs of reinfection were observed at the first subsequent follow-up visit after a 3-month interval (Fig. 1b), as only decreases in antibody levels (optical density (OD) fold changes <1.0) were found (Fig. 1c). We, therefore, concluded that, in our data, the earliest time point for reinfection by seasonal coronaviruses was 6 months.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-1083-1

Since the first known case of COVID-19 in the world was in November, and the numbers really didn’t start to skyrocket until April, nobody really expected to see all that many...yet.
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Old 10-18-2020, 07:40 AM   #1070  
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788K. Up 19k wow. Up from 37.1 to 38.5 on % yoy from last week.

Sunday and Saturdays as of now both sit at 38.5%. Pushing both weekend days consistently over 40% should not be too far away.
Uniform WoW # gain would see today at 1mil. Iím skeptical of it happening today, but it would be nice to punch over that hurdle. Logically this weekend or next we have to hit 1m or it will have seriously stalled out. Weíre give or take a little over a month from possibly the first vaccine reviews and soon EUAs which I think will have a positive mental effect on travel. Europe and Canada are doing rolling studies as we speak, I wouldnít be shocked if they give a vaccine a thumbs up before we do.

Hopefully AA comes back shortly with updated projections, Iím a visual type!
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