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Old 10-08-2020, 08:59 AM
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Default Using clinical tests for screening pax...

... probably won’t work very well. Baye’s theorem tends to bite you in the butt.


https://youtu.be/VuskwsIW02M


of course, if it gives the governor of Hawaii cover to step back from his insane restrictions, it may help the airline industry.
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Old 10-08-2020, 09:52 AM
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That's it, as long as it makes people feel good.
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Old 10-08-2020, 11:44 AM
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Making people "feel good" is the purpose of the vaccine effort. The placebo effect will make many people think all is well and they can return to normalcy even if the efficacy of the vaccine is questionable and, if given enough time for the natural burnout of a virus, unnecessary.

Ironic that the public at large that thinks and acts with a herd mentality will ultimately be saved by herd immunity...
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Old 10-08-2020, 12:30 PM
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Right. It's only the third leading cause of death in the country.
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Old 10-08-2020, 12:40 PM
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Originally Posted by Lou Reed View Post
Right. It's only the third leading cause of death in the country.
which still doesn’t change Bates’ theorem and the inappropriateness of using clinical tests for general screening.
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Old 10-08-2020, 02:27 PM
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Originally Posted by Lou Reed View Post
Right. It's only the third leading cause of death in the country.
I see. And did America do anything about the first two leading causes of death, cancer and heart disease?

Heart disease is genetic, sure, but there's also diet and lifestyle aspects of it. Did we ever change what we eat or how much we exercise? Nope. We eat garbage. We're fat as eff and sedentary as hell. And when someone dies of heart disease, it's typically over 70, so we say "Aw sucks. Poor grandma/pa. At least they had a good long life."


Now I FULLY understand cancer and heart disease are NOT infectious. That said, every year heart disease kills 600k+ and cancer kills 600k+. That's 1.2 million dead Americans from these two things, and no one even bats an eye at cancer and heart disease. We write it off as death from a natural cause and say "aw shucks."

Yes, I understand Covid IS infectious. But deaths are still deaths. 215k dead Americans so far, and people panicked and lost their mind. The reality is the death rate is < 0.8%. Just looking at numbers f you're under age 60, you're going to be fine. The huge majority will get sick and recover.
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Old 10-08-2020, 02:47 PM
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Originally Posted by ShyGuy View Post
I see. And did America do anything about the first two leading causes of death, cancer and heart disease?

Heart disease is genetic, sure, but there's also diet and lifestyle aspects of it. Did we ever change what we eat or how much we exercise? Nope. We eat garbage. We're fat as eff and sedentary as hell. And when someone dies of heart disease, it's typically over 70, so we say "Aw sucks. Poor grandma/pa. At least they had a good long life."


Now I FULLY understand cancer and heart disease are NOT infectious. That said, every year heart disease kills 600k+ and cancer kills 600k+. That's 1.2 million dead Americans from these two things, and no one even bats an eye at cancer and heart disease. We write it off as death from a natural cause and say "aw shucks."

Yes, I understand Covid IS infectious. But deaths are still deaths. 215k dead Americans so far, and people panicked and lost their mind. The reality is the death rate is < 0.8%. Just looking at numbers f you're under age 60, you're going to be fine. The huge majority will get sick and recover.
uh..., whoever told you cancer and heart disease weren’t infectious? Many kinds of them are.


https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/myocarditis/symptoms-causes/syc-20352539

https://www.mdanderson.org/publications/focused-on-health/7-viruses-that-cause-cancer.h17-1592202.html
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