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Old 02-23-2021, 04:59 AM
  #81  
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Originally Posted by BoilerUP View Post
Infections don't matter.

There, I said it - now let me qualify it.

Infections don't matter when virulence is such that disease doesn't overwhelm health system capacity or cause significant mortality. This is reflected in outcomes with common colds and seasonal influenza.

Which demographics have seen the highest hospitalization rates, longest hospital stays, highest ICU admissions, and most deaths from SARS-CoV-2? The 65+ age demographic. The 65+ age demographic represents about 16.5% of the US population but 81% of COVID deaths.

What is more difficult to achieve and causes more social and economic harm for nonmedical intervention of a virus with a estimated IFR of less than 0.4% - isolating 16.5% of the population, or 100% of the population sans "essential workers"?

That isn't to say the 14-64 demographic wouldn't experience some severe disease and death...but the incidence of it would be such to not overwhelm health system capacity (which was the entire point of "flattening the curve")because you don't have a bunch of seniors filling your hospital beds for WEEKS at a time.

But to the point of "protecting the most vulnerable" and allowing the the other 83.5% of population to basically do our normal thing and circulate disease...that ship sailed a LONG time ago and ain't coming back. Instead, we've lengthened the period of the pandemic by "flattening the curve" to buy time toward vaccines, and are now vaccinating these higher age demographics first in an effort to harm reduce while vaccine supply is scarce.

We can argue the merit of 'lockdowns' over the last year until the cows come home but that won't change what happened - we need to be eyes forward as to what's happening and what's coming. Kids need to get back in schools ASAP, economic restrictions need to be further eased, and many younger people (say, those in the 18-55 range especially) need to stop being completely irrational about their individual risk from this virus.
Trouble is, as we are eyes forward I see more of that last year put on repeat as if we've learned nothing from the last 12 months. And thats by the "experts" own words.
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Old 02-23-2021, 05:13 AM
  #82  
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Originally Posted by block30 View Post
Trouble is, as we are eyes forward I see more of that last year put on repeat as if we've learned nothing from the last 12 months. And thats by the "experts" own words.
I disagree.

I don't see mass lockdowns, businesses across most industries shuttered, etc. I do see schools starting to return to in-person instruction (some MUCH slower and obstinate than others), easing of restrictions even in places like NY/CA/MI.

Being asked to wear a mask in public as vaccinations continue, TO ME, does not constitute "last year".

Of course we're being told "You shouldn't do X or Y, even if vaccinated" and I personally feel that messaging sucks...but slowly over the last few weeks there has been a perceptible shift in media stories on this topic from telling us what there is NO PROOF the vaccine will do, to cautious optimism still speckled with "we don't knows".

Objectively, we as a country are nearing the post-pandemic phase but we aren't there yet...though better messaging and a cessation of irrational fears would certainly speed that along as much as doubling the vaccine supply.
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Old 02-23-2021, 06:34 AM
  #83  
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Originally Posted by Regularguy View Post
So what point are you trying to make?

Fauci is worth millions and the prize is about his tv appearances. Maybe he should get an Emmy!

https://www.celebritynetworth.com/ar...th-and-salary/

If the article is somewhat correct his annual income is near $1 million. “When you combine his annual dividends, $400k salary salary and book royalties, Fauci likely earned over $1 million in 2019, and perhaps as much in recent years.”
Fauci with an Emmy? Could be like Gov. Cuomo with an Emmy. Since he got one, Cuomo’s approval has declined.
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Old 02-23-2021, 06:48 AM
  #84  
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Now the good Doctor expects the CDC to ease restrictions for vaccinated people??? Makes sense, but man can that guy change his tune on a dime...


https://www.reuters.com/article/us-h...-idUSKBN2AN17G
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Old 02-23-2021, 06:56 AM
  #85  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777 View Post
Now the good Doctor expects the CDC to ease restrictions for vaccinated people??? Makes sense, but man can that guy change his tune on a dime...


https://www.reuters.com/article/us-h...-idUSKBN2AN17G
He is a brainless mouthpiece and the only people listening to him are the brainless.
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Old 02-23-2021, 07:22 AM
  #86  
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Fox piece highlighting the inconsistency and contradictions...

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fau...under-scrutiny
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Old 02-23-2021, 07:47 AM
  #87  
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Originally Posted by BoilerUP View Post
Infections don't matter.

There, I said it - now let me qualify it.

Infections don't matter when virulence is such that disease doesn't overwhelm health system capacity or cause significant mortality. This is reflected in outcomes with common colds and seasonal influenza.

Which demographics have seen the highest hospitalization rates, longest hospital stays, highest ICU admissions, and most deaths from SARS-CoV-2? The 65+ age demographic. The 65+ age demographic represents about 16.5% of the US population but 81% of COVID deaths.

What is more difficult to achieve and causes more social and economic harm for nonmedical intervention of a virus with a estimated IFR of less than 0.4% - isolating 16.5% of the population, or 100% of the population sans "essential workers"?

That isn't to say the 14-64 demographic wouldn't experience some severe disease and death...but the incidence of it would be such to not overwhelm health system capacity (which was the entire point of "flattening the curve")because you don't have a bunch of seniors filling your hospital beds for WEEKS at a time.

But to the point of "protecting the most vulnerable" and allowing the the other 83.5% of population to basically do our normal thing and circulate disease...that ship sailed a LONG time ago and ain't coming back. Instead, we've lengthened the period of the pandemic by "flattening the curve" to buy time toward vaccines, and are now vaccinating these higher age demographics first in an effort to harm reduce while vaccine supply is scarce.

We can argue the merit of 'lockdowns' over the last year until the cows come home but that won't change what happened - we need to be eyes forward as to what's happening and what's coming. Kids need to get back in schools ASAP, economic restrictions need to be further eased, and many younger people (say, those in the 18-55 range especially) need to stop being completely irrational about their individual risk from this virus.
Boiler states the case more eloquently than I. Spot on, too.
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Old 02-23-2021, 07:55 AM
  #88  
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Originally Posted by BoilerUP View Post
I disagree.

I don't see mass lockdowns, businesses across most industries shuttered, etc. I do see schools starting to return to in-person instruction (some MUCH slower and obstinate than others), easing of restrictions even in places like NY/CA/MI.

Being asked to wear a mask in public as vaccinations continue, TO ME, does not constitute "last year".

Of course we're being told "You shouldn't do X or Y, even if vaccinated" and I personally feel that messaging sucks...but slowly over the last few weeks there has been a perceptible shift in media stories on this topic from telling us what there is NO PROOF the vaccine will do, to cautious optimism still speckled with "we don't knows".

Objectively, we as a country are nearing the post-pandemic phase but we aren't there yet...though better messaging and a cessation of irrational fears would certainly speed that along as much as doubling the vaccine supply.
Its last year-lite even with the vaccine. And we are being told you shouldnt do X Y or Z from the people at the top, not at the bottom, and thats a huge difference. The chicken littles are listening too and behaving in a lockdown manner, including with their wallets. And the "top men" have not been true to their word all along.
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Old 02-23-2021, 10:53 AM
  #89  
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Admitting that it was wrong would admit the fallibility of big government, which would require self-reflection and a willingness to change dogmatic beliefs in the power and righteousness of a necessary evil. Good luck getting that long look in the mirror to happen.
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Old 02-23-2021, 11:01 AM
  #90  
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Originally Posted by Seneca Pilot View Post
We killed our economy and millions of jobs and our children lost a year of education for no good reason. It is ok to admit that. It is ok to look at other countries that didn't do those same stupid things and admit that it was wrong.
No we killed half a million people. And if we had listened to the libertarians of the world we probably would've killed 10 million. Personally I would prefer the New Zealand approach
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