A330 & a350

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06-12-2019, 07:23 PM

#21

DWC CAP10 USAF

Gets Weekends Off

Joined APC: Apr 2016

Position: Looking left

Posts: 3,251

Quote:

Originally Posted by maui vic

That's the word at indoc...8k retirements in 5 years and we should be at 20k pilots by then

I believe they have been saying 8K retirements over the next 10 years, not 5.

Never heard growing to 20K pilots...interesting!

06-12-2019, 09:13 PM

#22

saturn

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Joined APC: Dec 2012

Position: Supreme Allied Commander

Posts: 1,055

Quote:

Originally Posted by DWC CAP10 USAF

I believe they have been saying 8K retirements over the next 10 years, not 5.

Never heard growing to 20K pilots...interesting!

Fwiw it's more like 6k mandatory through 2028. At least that's what ALPA is showing. That 8k number was used by pilot recruiting with "we will need to hire 8,000 pilots over the next decade". According to my public education math that'd leave around 16k pilots. Probably less with early outs, the continued credit reduction efforts, fleet upgauging and reduction in fleet types.

06-12-2019, 10:28 PM

#23

Peoloto

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Joined APC: Sep 2015

Posts: 631

Quote:

Originally Posted by maui vic

Most new hires are planning to be 76 capt in 5 years..might wait till 6 years when they are senior...

Your jokes are getting old. I see you decided to join us here as “new audience”.

06-12-2019, 11:35 PM

#24

Big E 757

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Joined APC: Nov 2013

Position: A320 Left seat

Posts: 2,580

[QUOTE=BobZ;2835791]Ya. At my indoc they told us a lot of stories too. None came true

Deleted.........

06-13-2019, 06:53 AM

#25

gloopy

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Joined APC: Jul 2010

Position: window seat

Posts: 12,522

Quote:

Originally Posted by maui vic

That's the word at indoc...8k retirements in 5 years...

That seems extremely high. As in off by at least double, maybe triple or more.

Quote:

...and we should be at 20k pilots by then

LOL yeah OK. Zero chance of that, unless we're talking a global seniority list with all our code team partners or something.

06-13-2019, 08:28 AM

#26

tunes

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Joined APC: Nov 2011

Posts: 4,503

Quote:

Originally Posted by Peoloto

Your jokes are getting old. I see you decided to join us here as “new audience”.

But how old is your truck bro?

06-13-2019, 08:42 AM

#27

hockeypilot44

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Joined APC: Jul 2008

Posts: 4,921

Quote:

Originally Posted by maui vic

That's the word at indoc...8k retirements in 5 years and we should be at 20k pilots by then

That is a lie. Max retirements in 1 year is less than 900 pilots. Guessing more like 4000-4500 pilots in 5 years. Half your estimate.

06-13-2019, 08:49 AM

#28

GuardPolice

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Joined APC: Jul 2018

Posts: 895

Quote:

Originally Posted by tunes

But how old is your truck bro?

That’s extra bro.

GP

06-13-2019, 03:46 PM

#29

maui vic

New Hire

Joined APC: Jun 2019

Posts: 6

Most guys will go early because they have saved enough despite BK..
we are getting 25 a350s and ALOT of 330neos as well as 321s
I expect we will a order of about 300 797s in 2025 so 20 k pilots
is not unrealistic...Combine that with your 10mil 401k and PS of 75k for 30 years the future is good..When these old guys leave we can sit as widebody capt for 30 years or more..