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Old 06-16-2019, 06:53 PM
  #51  
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Originally Posted by Av8er1550 View Post
What about the more junior fleets? What are the upgrade times for those for prospective new hires today?
Looks like about 4 years for 220 or 717 Captain, 5-6 years for 320 and 737 all in NYC. Other than that, more like 10-15 years on most fleets/based.

Who knows what will happen if the retirement wave ever actually shows up.
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Old 06-17-2019, 03:46 AM
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Originally Posted by Bergman View Post
Looks like about 4 years for 220 or 717 Captain, 5-6 years for 320 and 737 all in NYC. Other than that, more like 10-15 years on most fleets/based.



Who knows what will happen if the retirement wave ever actually shows up.


Thanks for the response. Yeah retirement in the future will definitely change things up.


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Old 06-17-2019, 07:00 AM
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Originally Posted by Bergman View Post
Who knows what will happen if the retirement wave ever actually shows up.
You mean that wave everybody's been riding for the last few years? I mean, we do know that over 500 of our pilots turn 65 next year. What exactly were you hoping for?
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Old 06-17-2019, 01:04 PM
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Originally Posted by Bluto View Post
You mean that wave everybody's been riding for the last few years? I mean, we do know that over 500 of our pilots turn 65 next year. What exactly were you hoping for?
I wondered the same thing. We are seeing record advancement and guys are still not happy.
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Old 06-17-2019, 01:10 PM
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I dont care if the breakfast is complimentary.....i want my crew discount.
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Old 06-17-2019, 01:26 PM
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With mandatory retirements, it's pretty easy to calculate your ballpark seniority over the coming years. NB captain can be held at nearly all bases/fleets at around 55-60% (8k-8.5k) system seniority level, with many jr CA spots up into the 70% range (10.5k). What that'd mean to a newbie is you'll need 4k-6k retirements. At the rate of mandatory retirements, 70% will be reached in 2025, 60% in 2028. With unplanned retirements, maybe a year earlier. This assumes the pilot group size stays static at 14.5k.

Stop listening to how many years it took for a current CA. That's what it was for their DOH, not yours.
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Old 06-17-2019, 01:41 PM
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Originally Posted by sailingfun View Post
I wondered the same thing. We are seeing record advancement and guys are still not happy.
Look Sailing....I have just as much right to be unhappy and complain even though I made captain at the 2 year point.....as you do to be happy......how dare you question my unhappiness!!!!!
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Old 06-17-2019, 06:35 PM
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Originally Posted by sailingfun View Post
I wondered the same thing. We are seeing record advancement and guys are still not happy.
Not sure what in my post made you think I’m not happy. Perhaps you were meaning “guys” in a general sense.

I fly with plenty of captains who have been here 20ish years and they can barely hold a decent line in ATL. There have been retirements, but it seems like the top of the seniority list has been pretty static. It does look like that’s finally changing, with over 500 777/350/330/765 CAs currently 62 or older.
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Old 06-18-2019, 10:29 AM
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The plot thickens...

https://www.marketwatch.com/press-re...18?siteid=nbkh

Pacific Renaissance???
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Old 06-18-2019, 10:37 AM
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And speaking of 330-900s...

https://www.marketwatch.com/press-re...18?siteid=nbkh

Who’s orders were these really?
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