Swimming in the pool
#11
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Aug 2019
Posts: 266
On 12/17 CJO holders got an email stating that their original 18 month CJO was extended 6 months to make it 24 months (end of 1Q 2022). Hypothetically speaking, if management’s forecasted recovery ends up not being correct and that they don’t need additional pilots until AFTER summer 2022 at the earliest, any clue what would happen to the ~120 guys in the pool? Anyone know how post 9/11 and 2009 CJOs were handled?
#12
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Apr 2016
Position: Looking left
Posts: 3,251
He said same thing during NYC virtual, but I believe the context was recalling 600-800 of the affected pilots, not off the street hiring.
#13
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Apr 2020
Posts: 2,187
How many additional retirements between now and summer 22? There’s still a good number of 65ers not caught by VEOP. 600-800 to summer of 22 seems a little low, especially with 20-04 ending in Jan 22 and I’d think by then they won’t choose to furlough especially if we’ve made it this far without doing it.
#14
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2019
Posts: 391
#15
#16
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2019
Posts: 391
Its not a stretch to assume that staffing for summer ‘22 will need to be significantly greater than summer ‘21. Unfortunately, I think it will probably be a stretch to need to bring back all of The Affected and then some in that time frame. And if it were in the realm of necessary based on demand recovery, can the training pipeline support it? I have lost track of number of active airframes to pilots, but I have an uneducated hunch that it may take new airframes on property to require new hires.
#17
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2018
Posts: 260
That 600-800 number was just to stay at the current staffing level from VEOP/Retirements/Lower TLV. It includes no aircraft growth. I still think all of us will have been offered the chance to recall by Q1 2022 and everyone on property today will be needed for Summer 2022. My personal prediction is possibly a small batch of hiring for Summer 2022 and hiring begins to really ramp back up for Summer 2023. I don't think anyone back in May actually thought we would have vaccines as quickly as we do. We just need to get through these few critical months and hopefully things start coming back in a meaningful way.
#18
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Apr 2020
Posts: 2,187
Its not a stretch to assume that staffing for summer ‘22 will need to be significantly greater than summer ‘21. Unfortunately, I think it will probably be a stretch to need to bring back all of The Affected and then some in that time frame. And if it were in the realm of necessary based on demand recovery, can the training pipeline support it? I have lost track of number of active airframes to pilots, but I have an uneducated hunch that it may take new airframes on property to require new hires.
#19
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2018
Posts: 260
#20
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2008
Posts: 19,273
This is not how things have been handled in the past. CJO’s were brought in first for a mini interview basically rechecking everything making sure no major changes like terminations or criminal convictions. They were head of the line for class dates. Not even sure many had to come in, just sign any required disclosure forms to redo the background stuff.
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post