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Any "Latest & Greatest" about Delta?

Old 01-24-2011, 11:38 AM
  #57921  
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Originally Posted by acl65pilot View Post
and fuel cost concerns for 2011.

Fuel Cost Concerns
So raise ticket prices a buck or two, and/or increase ancellary fees and/or progressively migrate away from ever less necessary virtual travel agency clearing houses and insource the selling of more product. In addition to all that, which we appear to be doing, we will continue to see a YOY shift away from insanely high CASM RJ's as well as the agressive parking of gas wasting 9's and significantly lower debt service payments.

We may see increased debt service payments WRT newer narrowbody aircraft later (or sooner?) but in those cases the cost of the fuel savings will more than eclpise the cost of that particular line item debt as fuel continues to soar and the cost of debt continues to remain rediculously low compared to where it should be. Add in more "stimulus" scams at home and abroad as well as overt and hidden subsidies from aircraft manufacturers and it will be a good time to modernize the fleet to realize significant cost savings.
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Old 01-24-2011, 11:43 AM
  #57922  
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Originally Posted by gloopy View Post
So raise ticket prices a buck or two, and/or increase ancellary fees and/or progressively migrate away from ever less necessary virtual travel agency clearing houses and insource the selling of more product. In addition to all that, which we appear to be doing, we will continue to see a YOY shift away from insanely high CASM RJ's as well as the agressive parking of gas wasting 9's and significantly lower debt service payments.

We may see increased debt service payments WRT newer narrowbody aircraft later (or sooner?) but in those cases the cost of the fuel savings will more than eclpise the cost of that particular line item debt as fuel continues to soar and the cost of debt continues to remain rediculously low compared to where it should be. Add in more "stimulus" scams at home and abroad as well as overt and hidden subsidies from aircraft manufacturers and it will be a good time to modernize the fleet to realize significant cost savings.

Chicken or an egg? Same Merry-go-Round huh?
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Old 01-24-2011, 12:07 PM
  #57923  
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Ok, racked my brain trying to figure this one out (didn't take that long)

Saw a trip in open time for next month, so I tried to process a swap with pot request.
I didn't get the trip, and it went to a senior pilot.
Then the next day I see the trip back in open time with a Q next to it, guessing its an OE.
However I am also seeing the same exact trip on the pilot swap board as a P/U.

I guess it's feasible the trip got picked up then was placed on an OE, but why would a pilot try to list it as a P/U on the swap board.
I mean if he gets displaced off the trip for OE doesn't he get the entire trip credit anyway?

Haven't been a REG kinda guy for long, so I'm just trying to make heads and tails of it all.
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Old 01-24-2011, 12:30 PM
  #57924  
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Originally Posted by acl65pilot View Post
Clouds Ahead For Delta In 2011

Delta Air Lines (NYSEAL), the first of the major airline carriers to report fourth quarter earnings, posted a profit compared to a loss in last year's quarter. Delta's earnings missed analyst estimates...

By Greg Sushinsky
From the Investopedia article--

"Greg Sushinsky is a passionate independent investor, who has done his own research, analysis and investing for 20 years. One of his earliest investing memories was when he first saved and bought U.S. Savings Bonds with his own money as a small child. From there, he studied investing on his own and made small stock purchases as he grew as an investor."

"Sushinsky still follows the markets, studies and reads widely in financial literature, and has written over 75 articles on investing. He is also a professional editor, whose work is published extensively in large-circulation magazines, digests and across the internet. In other pursuits, Sushinsky writes fiction and has a university degree in philosophy."

While he's made some valid points, I'm not going to take him too seriously.
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Old 01-24-2011, 12:34 PM
  #57925  
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Originally Posted by acl65pilot View Post
Clouds Ahead For Delta In 2011

Airline CFOs optimistic about profitability in 2011
January 24, 2011


Global airline chief financial officers remain cautiously optimistic about seeing profits return during the next 12 months, according to the International Air Transport Association.

In its quarterly business confidence survey of airline CFOs and heads of cargo, IATA said confidence in profitability during the next 12 months remains positive, but has declined somewhat since the October survey.

Forty-six percent of airline CFOs expect an increase in profits during the next 12 months, compared to 60% when the previous survey was conducted.

Confidence in travel and cargo demand remains strong with 77% expecting increasing passenger volumes and 60% increasing cargo volumes, the report said. However, airline CFOs now expect unit costs to increase significantly with the highest net balance expecting an increase since the July 2008 survey.

IATA said confidence in the ability to raise yields has fallen from the levels reached early last year, particularly for cargo. Only 29% of cargo chiefs now expect an increase in the freight business.

Employment intentions are rising, with 54% expecting to raise employment during the next 12 months, in response to expanding markets and capacity.

Due to higher fuel costs, IATA expects a fall in profits from $15.1 billion last year to $9.1 billion this year.
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Old 01-24-2011, 12:41 PM
  #57926  
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There will be between 0 and 80 hurricanes this season. And 0 to 80 will make landfall in the United States with somewhere between 0 and 100% of those being category 5.

Originally Posted by CVG767A View Post
While he's made some valid points, I'm not going to take him too seriously.
The problem is investment folks like this use too much canned information. When is fuel not an issue and if fuel costs were decreasing what kind of world we be living in at that moment? Fall of 2008 comes to mind.

And what if we do raise prices and cargo increases and so on? RASM exceeds CASM even while CASM increases?

Last edited by forgot to bid; 01-24-2011 at 12:51 PM.
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Old 01-24-2011, 12:55 PM
  #57927  
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And what will he say in 2013 when pilot costs go up $2Billion/year?
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Old 01-24-2011, 01:00 PM
  #57928  
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Originally Posted by DeadHead View Post
Ok, racked my brain trying to figure this one out (didn't take that long)

Saw a trip in open time for next month, so I tried to process a swap with pot request.
I didn't get the trip, and it went to a senior pilot.
Then the next day I see the trip back in open time with a Q next to it, guessing its an OE.
However I am also seeing the same exact trip on the pilot swap board as a P/U.

I guess it's feasible the trip got picked up then was placed on an OE, but why would a pilot try to list it as a P/U on the swap board.
I mean if he gets displaced off the trip for OE doesn't he get the entire trip credit anyway?

Haven't been a REG kinda guy for long, so I'm just trying to make heads and tails of it all.
You're assuming it's there because of an OE, right? Why can't the pilot just have picked it up and decided he made a mistake and doesn't want it any longer? He may have picked it up because he thought that trip looked more attractive to other guys in the category than the one he previously had on his schedule, and thus someone might pick it up freeing his schedule of all trips during that time frame. This assumes he couldn't just drop it straight out because there wasn't enough resv coverage.

Last edited by Jesse; 01-24-2011 at 01:03 PM. Reason: added text
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Old 01-24-2011, 01:05 PM
  #57929  
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Originally Posted by Columbia View Post
And what will he say in 2013 when pilot costs go up $2Billion/year?
Have your top concerns, complaints, etc. ready for when you get the survey call from area code 603.
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Old 01-24-2011, 01:55 PM
  #57930  
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Originally Posted by Jesse View Post
You're assuming it's there because of an OE, right? Why can't the pilot just have picked it up and decided he made a mistake and doesn't want it any longer? He may have picked it up because he thought that trip looked more attractive to other guys in the category than the one he previously had on his schedule, and thus someone might pick it up freeing his schedule of all trips during that time frame. This assumes he couldn't just drop it straight out because there wasn't enough resv coverage.
I see there is two columns that confuse me:
Med & Dup
Haven't been able to find there definitions anywhere.

There is a blank column with a Q in it, which I thought meant Qualification Trip. OE trip placed in open time, but assigned to a pilot who will be getting his/her check out.
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