What will FedEx look like in 2030?
#11
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2018
Posts: 108
Ill give it a go....
Planes?
777-800 and/or 900 freighters.
By 2030, Boeing will have fully rebounded. New lines of fuel efficient aircraft, passenger and freighter. 888's ? Jet fuel produced from algae. Higher altitudes and speeds.
Sound barrier? Near space?
Potential single pilot and autonomous operation.
Driverless long haul trucks and crew busses. Automated sort and can delivery to gates.
Testing of the driverless crewbus at the AOC now. Pilot guinea pigs on board.
Predictive shipping around the world based on patterns.
Drones for last mile delivery.
Routes?
20 plus hour routes on 777 and 777X freighters.
Africa and South America routes.
Ghana, Cairo, Nairobi, Dubai and Johannesburg loop.
Major cities in South America to KMEM and Miami.
Change in US population density away from California/New York to other states will change shipping patterns.
Increase in India shipping worldwide.
Opening of Vietnam as a sort facility and/or pilot base.
Increase in Singapore usage.
Singapore - Memphis.
Alliances and/or Mergers?
Potential for either.
Walmart/Fedex agreement? Near merger.
Pay / Work Rules ?
Hope for the best but prepare for the worst.
We as a union need to get our act together very shortly and hammer out some serious goals.
No finger pointing here.
Top pay at the end of the next 6/8 year contract will be in $425,000 range.
Increase in B fund with cash over cap. 12%
A fund grandfathered locked. $130,000
Work rules will look very automated.
Think its hard to contact Crew Travel now?
Think Flt Management automated voice.
Any individual pursuing a career as a pilot needs to have a minor in contract reading.
Fedex-No better place to be as a pilot just be realistic in your expectations.
Planes?
777-800 and/or 900 freighters.
By 2030, Boeing will have fully rebounded. New lines of fuel efficient aircraft, passenger and freighter. 888's ? Jet fuel produced from algae. Higher altitudes and speeds.
Sound barrier? Near space?
Potential single pilot and autonomous operation.
Driverless long haul trucks and crew busses. Automated sort and can delivery to gates.
Testing of the driverless crewbus at the AOC now. Pilot guinea pigs on board.
Predictive shipping around the world based on patterns.
Drones for last mile delivery.
Routes?
20 plus hour routes on 777 and 777X freighters.
Africa and South America routes.
Ghana, Cairo, Nairobi, Dubai and Johannesburg loop.
Major cities in South America to KMEM and Miami.
Change in US population density away from California/New York to other states will change shipping patterns.
Increase in India shipping worldwide.
Opening of Vietnam as a sort facility and/or pilot base.
Increase in Singapore usage.
Singapore - Memphis.
Alliances and/or Mergers?
Potential for either.
Walmart/Fedex agreement? Near merger.
Pay / Work Rules ?
Hope for the best but prepare for the worst.
We as a union need to get our act together very shortly and hammer out some serious goals.
No finger pointing here.
Top pay at the end of the next 6/8 year contract will be in $425,000 range.
Increase in B fund with cash over cap. 12%
A fund grandfathered locked. $130,000
Work rules will look very automated.
Think its hard to contact Crew Travel now?
Think Flt Management automated voice.
Any individual pursuing a career as a pilot needs to have a minor in contract reading.
Fedex-No better place to be as a pilot just be realistic in your expectations.
I’m all for a Vietnam base.
#13
If there were single-pilot airliners, my guess is that they would have crew variants to allow for training, or perhaps the SP version would have a station and controls for a second pilot (same as SP corporate jets today), with all the important switches being accessible from the PIC seat.... IOE would probably be quite a bit longer.
I still don't see the single pilot airliner stuff happening all that soon. To me, the entrance of the first unmanned cargo airliners would be more plausible in the next few(ish) decades. The benefits of getting rid of all the equipment a human being needs to operate an aircraft are obviously compelling enough; that is if cutting out the highly paid employee were not sufficient.
Single pilot ops would necessitate the airline industry to abandon the concept of CRM, require the FAA to invest in significant R&D in regulating 121 single pilot ops, wouldn't get rid of all that cockpit equipment and human interface stuff, and (in my opinion) would further exacerbate the current problem of over-engineered design e.g., (convoluted layers of nested automation, an inability of the pilot to diagnose a problem with confidence, an inability to assume 'full' manual control of the aircraft, and the possibility of very confusing malfunctions that result from unknown interrelationships between seemingly unrelated systems). It isn't just imperfect automation/software, it's the concept of engineering the pilot out of the plane while still needing the pilot. When compared to today's WB jets-- SP corporate jets are less complex, have a much narrower operational regime, and typically don't involve crewforces of thousands flying at all times of the day/night.
I don't mean to argue that it won't happen, I'm by no means an expert on what SP proponents intend to do. And many of my complaints extend to current-day aircraft (A330).
I just have a difficult time viewing it as a near-term step in the progression towards a UAV.
#14
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,227
The biggest obstacle to SP ops: every single country we operate through would have to agree to it. If one country doesn't approve, and that's certainly a possibility, then the billions spent on the program will be wasted.
I got my start flying copilot in King airs and Citations - most of them were SP certified. Most of them were flown with two pilots. I don't know of a single SP jet operator in my hometown, though many of the planes are legal to do it. Insurance, owner preference, chief pilot preference - it's just not a popular idea. And these are 1 million dollar aircraft with 7 seats in the back.....
I got my start flying copilot in King airs and Citations - most of them were SP certified. Most of them were flown with two pilots. I don't know of a single SP jet operator in my hometown, though many of the planes are legal to do it. Insurance, owner preference, chief pilot preference - it's just not a popular idea. And these are 1 million dollar aircraft with 7 seats in the back.....
#15
#16
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2013
Posts: 1,339
A few years ago several aviation universities were given grants to research the CRM concept of two pilots working together but not out of the same cockpit. One of them being in the actual cockpit and the other in a simulator linked to the aircraft but based on the ground. Not sure how that research is going and how advanced the technology has become but I’d imagine we still have a few decades left before this new era of single-pilot captains dawns on us.
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