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Laughing_Jakal 10-02-2015 08:49 PM

Another Yes vote ---begrudgingly
 
I was furious when I read the TA after I spoke to a block rep that described it as "Fedex brought real money to the table....except for improving the A plan."

The invective filled texts I sent to my close friends were populated by 65% of the words starting with the 6th letter of the alphabet.

I stepped away....and now a week or two later, I scan the posts here and on FB. With the emotion now drained....I am still not happy with this TA....however, I look at what was achieved and what we give back.

My estimation of a break-even point EVEN IF WE GET WHAT WE WANT, AND unknowns break in our favor....will be somewhat North of 10 years. I have 15 years left on property. My crystal ball gets fuzzy beyond about 8.

I am ****ed about the age 54 thing.

I do not see the "Staggering give-backs" that most proclaim to see....and yes I have read the TA until my eyes clouded over. When I pay more money for a product, like the company I expect more for the increased price I am paying. Those give-backs don't seem unreasonable.

Before I read Albie's Post and BR's summation, I regretfully had come to the same conclusion they published. Interestingly enough, in all the debates I've seen about things in the last 12-15 years, it turns out that I have always come to similar conclusions as AH and BR. I even decided not to run as Block Rep when BR did after I threw my hat in the ring, mostly because he and I had almost the same positions and he was more likely to be successful as a rep than I was.

So when I read their posts, even though I was hoping I was just being fooled by the dark side, there was the sickening feeling that I was right in slowly morphing to a "Yes".

I used to be a conservative hard-core Republican.....I now consider myself to be a conservative libertarian, primarily because I noticed that the Republican party doesn't know how to win....even when they win. They bypass hard earned gains on principal to gain even more and eventually lose the game. The Democrats on the other hand win, even when they lose, because they never admit defeat even when they are defeated, and take any small win....and move the ball forward. Even when they are outnumbered and out argued, they NEVER EVER give ground.

I am not by any means saying I advocate an unprincipled approach, but even though this TA is not near what we deserve or close to what I wanted.....it moves the ball forward. While I don't like the small efficiencies we are allowing, the ball has been moved forward. Whether it be bidding for training, proffering trips, joining the trip enroute and undeviating, rolling banks, while not as much as I would like or think we deserve, the ball has been moved forward. We haven't yielded on the showstoppers like Vacation (I always considered VTO's to be PBS anyway) While I don't like the age 54 carve out, and other unpalatable aspects, I don't have a choice of having it or not. I don't have a line item veto.

I AM first and foremost a FOR PROFIT entity. And while it does not provide the profit I KNOW we deserve, it largely addressed a majority of our polled cornerstones. Before I get labeled a "FYIGM" guy, I believe our support of the Negotiating Committee was my contribution to our collective good.

I believe the Negotiating Committee did the best they could....not the best anyone could, but the best they could.....evidenced by the fact that they came back with this TA. If they could have done better, I think they'd still be at the table. I believe a "notional dream team" NC could have done better, but we had a real team of individuals that made a good faith effort to look out for the good of the whole pilot group to the best of their ability. That was their responsibility. Ours was to support them. Our job now is an individual action, up until the vote is tallied, then we must abide by the collective will.

I do not believe a "Dream Team" MEC and NC will come out of the woodwork now. If they exist, I'm still not impressed because we needed them two years ago. I just don't think they're out there.

But now I have an Individual vote, that vote is purely my responsibility. I need to vote my best interest. I expect you vote yours...whichever way that may be. I'm waiting until the last minute to vote either yes or no, in order to make sure I don't do something out of fear or anger. I made the mistake of putting Mad before Money after the last two elections thinking the sky was falling and lost a lot of potential gains in the stock market (going to cash) thinking the economy was about to fail....I will not make these kinds of decisions under the influence of emotion again.

In the end, this TA moves the ball forward for me. Though I do not like some of the language that will become memorialized in this TA that will effect the rest of my career....I will not let that FEAR bully me into a "NO", Nor will I let some short term cash cajole me into a "YES".

I don't fly extra purely because it's not lucrative enough for me to do so under current book. I don't foresee that changing if this TA passes as there is still not enough compensation to warrant sacrificing my time off.

Bottom-line, I will be paid more money for essentially doing the same thing as I am doing now. Not enough, but more money will be in my pocket for the next 10 years than if we press TOGA. There are too many unknowns outside that timeframe to not secure these gains....hell...I might even be dead before that.

Remember in "Dumb and Dumber" when they guy asks the girl "what are my chances of going out with you?"....she answers "1 in a 1000"...he replies "Soooo I STILL have a chance". I think my possibility of hitting a home run given the current real situation we are in is much like that....and my initial strident NO vote was a lot like thinking I have a chance with the hottie.

It's not my low-self esteem that badgers me into accepting less....but it is important that we know the critical difference between accepting less because of a low self-image.... and pragmatism. Just as there is a critical difference between the real possibility to achieve greater success and HUBRIS.

So I will vote "YES"...and bite my tongue and hold my breath. I used to think I would vote "NO" and that it wouldn't matter because I figured the pilot group would probably vote "Yes" and I could continue to be a member of the 32%. Now I am voting "Yes" for the first thing in a long time....and I believe that probably won't matter as I believe there is a good possibility of it being defeated. Either way I am bound by the collective decision. But right now is the only time I am given the opportunity to vote with respect to purely my own self-interest.

I believe, with regret, that it's in my best interest to take the gain, move the ball forward, and not give ground. Sometime in the next 10 years, the company will need something from us. What we do with it then will be biased by a higher baseline if we accept the TA.

I'm not trying to convince anyone, and I am not interested in a point by point debate of my position..I'm just airing my thought process. Those who are fence sitting, might want to know that there are some who may not like the TA, but don't view a "YES" vote a capitulation, but a pragmatic approach to moving the ball. Even with a YES vote, we can still empower a much more aggressive MEC culture and continue to move the ball forward.

Think of it like working out, fixing your teeth, getting a new wardrobe, and haircut...having a good time with the 6/10.....then when you have the nerve and a good chance of success.....dating the "hot chick"

(as a side note, I have found that the "hot chick" was never quite as "hot" as you expected and rather a disappointment considering all the effort taken to achieve "Success".)

You can throw spears now.....signing off.....

I can't believe I agree with FDXLAG on this one.

Jakal

USMCFDX 10-03-2015 07:20 AM


Originally Posted by Laughing_Jakal (Post 1984395)
I was furious when I read the TA after I spoke to a block rep that described it as "Fedex brought real money to the table....except for improving the A plan."

The invective filled texts I sent to my close friends were populated by 65% of the words starting with the 6th letter of the alphabet.

I stepped away....and now a week or two later, I scan the posts here and on FB. With the emotion now drained....I am still not happy with this TA....however, I look at what was achieved and what we give back.

My estimation of a break-even point EVEN IF WE GET WHAT WE WANT, AND unknowns break in our favor....will be somewhat North of 10 years. I have 15 years left on property. My crystal ball gets fuzzy beyond about 8.

I am ****ed about the age 54 thing.

I do not see the "Staggering give-backs" that most proclaim to see....and yes I have read the TA until my eyes clouded over. When I pay more money for a product, like the company I expect more for the increased price I am paying. Those give-backs don't seem unreasonable.

Before I read Albie's Post and BR's summation, I regretfully had come to the same conclusion they published. Interestingly enough, in all the debates I've seen about things in the last 12-15 years, it turns out that I have always come to similar conclusions as AH and BR. I even decided not to run as Block Rep when BR did after I threw my hat in the ring, mostly because he and I had almost the same positions and he was more likely to be successful as a rep than I was.

So when I read their posts, even though I was hoping I was just being fooled by the dark side, there was the sickening feeling that I was right in slowly morphing to a "Yes".

I used to be a conservative hard-core Republican.....I now consider myself to be a conservative libertarian, primarily because I noticed that the Republican party doesn't know how to win....even when they win. They bypass hard earned gains on principal to gain even more and eventually lose the game. The Democrats on the other hand win, even when they lose, because they never admit defeat even when they are defeated, and take any small win....and move the ball forward. Even when they are outnumbered and out argued, they NEVER EVER give ground.

I am not by any means saying I advocate an unprincipled approach, but even though this TA is not near what we deserve or close to what I wanted.....it moves the ball forward. While I don't like the small efficiencies we are allowing, the ball has been moved forward. Whether it be bidding for training, proffering trips, joining the trip enroute and undeviating, rolling banks, while not as much as I would like or think we deserve, the ball has been moved forward. We haven't yielded on the showstoppers like Vacation (I always considered VTO's to be PBS anyway) While I don't like the age 54 carve out, and other unpalatable aspects, I don't have a choice of having it or not. I don't have a line item veto.

I AM first and foremost a FOR PROFIT entity. And while it does not provide the profit I KNOW we deserve, it largely addressed a majority of our polled cornerstones. Before I get labeled a "FYIGM" guy, I believe our support of the Negotiating Committee was my contribution to our collective good.

I believe the Negotiating Committee did the best they could....not the best anyone could, but the best they could.....evidenced by the fact that they came back with this TA. If they could have done better, I think they'd still be at the table. I believe a "notional dream team" NC could have done better, but we had a real team of individuals that made a good faith effort to look out for the good of the whole pilot group to the best of their ability. That was their responsibility. Ours was to support them. Our job now is an individual action, up until the vote is tallied, then we must abide by the collective will.

I do not believe a "Dream Team" MEC and NC will come out of the woodwork now. If they exist, I'm still not impressed because we needed them two years ago. I just don't think they're out there.

But now I have an Individual vote, that vote is purely my responsibility. I need to vote my best interest. I expect you vote yours...whichever way that may be. I'm waiting until the last minute to vote either yes or no, in order to make sure I don't do something out of fear or anger. I made the mistake of putting Mad before Money after the last two elections thinking the sky was falling and lost a lot of potential gains in the stock market (going to cash) thinking the economy was about to fail....I will not make these kinds of decisions under the influence of emotion again.

In the end, this TA moves the ball forward for me. Though I do not like some of the language that will become memorialized in this TA that will effect the rest of my career....I will not let that FEAR bully me into a "NO", Nor will I let some short term cash cajole me into a "YES".

I don't fly extra purely because it's not lucrative enough for me to do so under current book. I don't foresee that changing if this TA passes as there is still not enough compensation to warrant sacrificing my time off.

Bottom-line, I will be paid more money for essentially doing the same thing as I am doing now. Not enough, but more money will be in my pocket for the next 10 years than if we press TOGA. There are too many unknowns outside that timeframe to not secure these gains....hell...I might even be dead before that.

Remember in "Dumb and Dumber" when they guy asks the girl "what are my chances of going out with you?"....she answers "1 in a 1000"...he replies "Soooo I STILL have a chance". I think my possibility of hitting a home run given the current real situation we are in is much like that....and my initial strident NO vote was a lot like thinking I have a chance with the hottie.

It's not my low-self esteem that badgers me into accepting less....but it is important that we know the critical difference between accepting less because of a low self-image.... and pragmatism. Just as there is a critical difference between the real possibility to achieve greater success and HUBRIS.

So I will vote "YES"...and bite my tongue and hold my breath. I used to think I would vote "NO" and that it wouldn't matter because I figured the pilot group would probably vote "Yes" and I could continue to be a member of the 32%. Now I am voting "Yes" for the first thing in a long time....and I believe that probably won't matter as I believe there is a good possibility of it being defeated. Either way I am bound by the collective decision. But right now is the only time I am given the opportunity to vote with respect to purely my own self-interest.

I believe, with regret, that it's in my best interest to take the gain, move the ball forward, and not give ground. Sometime in the next 10 years, the company will need something from us. What we do with it then will be biased by a higher baseline if we accept the TA.

I'm not trying to convince anyone, and I am not interested in a point by point debate of my position..I'm just airing my thought process. Those who are fence sitting, might want to know that there are some who may not like the TA, but don't view a "YES" vote a capitulation, but a pragmatic approach to moving the ball. Even with a YES vote, we can still empower a much more aggressive MEC culture and continue to move the ball forward.

Think of it like working out, fixing your teeth, getting a new wardrobe, and haircut...having a good time with the 6/10.....then when you have the nerve and a good chance of success.....dating the "hot chick"

(as a side note, I have found that the "hot chick" was never quite as "hot" as you expected and rather a disappointment considering all the effort taken to achieve "Success".)

You can throw spears now.....signing off.....

I can't believe I agree with FDXLAG on this one.

Jakal

Jakal everything you typed convinces me to vote no.

busdriver12 10-03-2015 07:22 AM


Originally Posted by USMCFDX (Post 1984564)
Jakal everything you typed convinces me to vote no.

Because you were on the fence before, this just pushed you to the no side, right?:rolleyes:

Laughing_Jakal 10-03-2015 07:27 AM


Originally Posted by USMCFDX (Post 1984564)
Jakal everything you typed convinces me to vote no.

Well then, I'll take that as a compliment. The best thing we can have in life is no regrets.

USMCFDX 10-03-2015 07:44 AM


Originally Posted by busdriver12 (Post 1984567)
Because you were on the fence before, this just pushed you to the no side, right?:rolleyes:

I actually have moved more to 50/50 but reading Jakal's well thought out post moves me closer to no while it is his reason to vote yes.

busdriver12 10-03-2015 07:54 AM


Originally Posted by USMCFDX (Post 1984579)
I actually have moved more to 50/50 but reading Jakal's well thought out post moves me closer to no while it is his reason to vote yes.

Really, or are you messing with us? Maybe I have mistaken you for another poster, as I thought you were a hell no voter. Hard to keep track.

DLax85 10-03-2015 07:54 AM

Jackal -

Thanks for such a detailed post

I think gaining many perspectives is very valuable to either side

While I understood 90% of your post, some seemed a bit conflicted and was confusing for me

Regardless, I'm trying to decipher how you predict the vote will turn out.

Majority "yes" or majority "no"?

...Or maybe even 50/50, and thus your ballot is the decisive one?

cgflier 10-03-2015 08:02 AM

"I do not see the "Staggering give-backs" that most proclaim to see....and yes I have read the TA until my eyes clouded over. When I pay more money for a product, like the company I expect more for the increased price I am paying. Those give-backs don't seem unreasonable."

So now our concessions are in exchange for the COLA we got? What did FedEx customers get for the 5+% increase in shipping rates for each of the past many years; what do we get for a doubling in the price of a gallon of milk? It's embarrassing to be associated with people that think we have to pay the company back just to get a "raise" so we can break even in this economy.

Laughing_Jakal 10-03-2015 08:56 AM


Originally Posted by cgflier (Post 1984595)
"I do not see the "Staggering give-backs" that most proclaim to see....and yes I have read the TA until my eyes clouded over. When I pay more money for a product, like the company I expect more for the increased price I am paying. Those give-backs don't seem unreasonable."

So now our concessions are in exchange for the COLA we got? What did FedEx customers get for the 5+% increase in shipping rates for each of the past many years; what do we get for a doubling in the price of a gallon of milk? It's embarrassing to be associated with people that think we have to pay the company back just to get a "raise" so we can break even in this economy.

CGflier....only in the military will you see a COLA....I don't like it, but thats what our NC committee did. Unlike the free market, FDX is the only people we negotiate with and we are the only people they can negotiate with for labor. This is the deal we got. Now, we only have two choices....to accept or decline. If the kid who mows your lawn raises his price to cut your lawn...you're gonna ask him edge around the tree for that price. That's all I'm saying...

Some have an idea on what would happen when we say "no"....other's don't. I thought I had an idea.....

the bottom line is this. If your plan for the future starts with "Well, I think THEY ought to ......" then you're plan is wishful thinking. There's too much of that, and that attitude toward the MEC and the NC got us where we are today. If your plan is "Well, WE ought to...." it might have a chance, but sadly, I fear we have too many "Theys" out there.

Unless your plan for TOGA includes more than pushing the button, then it's also wishful thinking. If your TOGA plan involves some "What I will do is....." then I am all ears.

If you're going to say four...you need to do four......but the go around doesn't stop there. You still have to fly the airplane, and you have better programmed the FMS if you are going to let the autopilot fly it. I haven't heard anyone brief a missed approach. Most of the TOGA talk I hear involves...."we'll do a visual go around"......that ain't gonna work. The guy urging you to TOGA better not be planning on getting vectors from ATC, he (or she) better be ready to take the airplane if necessary.

What I have heard from some is "press TOGA and I'll have your back. We don't have a plan, but we really, really want it to come to a good end."

I feel like we're barely stable, but stable.....we don't have to go around, but we could, there's a little bit of extra gas in the tank, but not a whole lot, there's a 25 mile conga line, and the weather is not getting any better. There's a decision to make. Either one could work out if it is well executed....I fear some will be the guy that is surprised by the go-around and quits flying the airplane....momentarily quits responding to checklists and doesn't initiate reconfiguration. Unless YOU (or in my case I) am prepared to take the airplane, it won't work out well.

CGFlier, I understand very well your position...because I held it to a large extent. I'm not saying you're going to fail us.....I just haven't seen a viable TOGA plan yet.

Laughing_Jakal 10-03-2015 09:06 AM

DLAx,

To be honest, I have no earthly idea what the over/under is. I used to think it would pass 68/32. It was easy to vote "No" and beat my chest because my vote would essentially not matter under those circumstances.

Now I see that there is a pretty good chance of the TA getting voted down....."Whoa" I think....man if it's 50/50 and I cast the deciding vote, I sure hope to heck I make the right decision. It caused me to re-evaluate and look with a more dispassionate eye. I can handle it if "I get screwed by the man...or ALPA....or the "dumb sheep in the crew force" (whoever that is). I know...because I've been the hole in the donut on every weird deal around here.

What I will have a hard time with is if this thing goes 50/50 and I am the 51%. I better be right. whichever way I vote.


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