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-   -   Climategate--The Final Chapter (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/hangar-talk/63562-climategate-final-chapter.html)

JamesNoBrakes 12-13-2011 08:13 AM

I see some posts about Michael Mann, but if this has not been posted, it's a good watch on climate change vs. those that do not accept:

TEDxPSU - Michael Mann - A Look Into Our Climate: Past To Present To Future - YouTube

Sorry if it's been posted.

jungle 12-13-2011 12:21 PM


Originally Posted by JamesNoBrakes (Post 1101057)
I see some posts about Michael Mann, but if this has not been posted, it's a good watch on climate change vs. those that do not accept:

TEDxPSU - Michael Mann - A Look Into Our Climate: Past To Present To Future - YouTube

Sorry if it's been posted.

You may want to refer to the first post in this thread. Mann is both a fraud and a flim flam artist, his "science" was discredited by actual data.

See also: Hockey Stick graph-Mann's famous blunder in the world of climate prediction, long since regarded as pure fiction and again, proven incorrect by actual data.

Believe whatever you like, but we are better served by actual science than grant grubbing and emotional causes.

FDXLAG 12-13-2011 01:53 PM

Hurricane experts admit they can?t predict hurricanes early; December forecasts too unreliable

We cant model the climate 9 months out but we can 50 years out right?

JamesNoBrakes 12-13-2011 06:27 PM


Originally Posted by FDXLAG (Post 1101218)
Hurricane experts admit they can?t predict hurricanes early; December forecasts too unreliable

We cant model the climate 9 months out but we can 50 years out right?

Climate is the same thing as hurricanes? Did you really just make that jump?

FDXLAG 12-14-2011 04:21 AM


Originally Posted by JamesNoBrakes (Post 1101340)
Climate is the same thing as hurricanes? Did you really just make that jump?

Computer models cant predict the weather 9 months out but you guys think they can predict the temperature 50 years out. Talk about leaps.

So you dont think hurricanes are part of the climate of the SE region of the US or say any Island in the Caribbean? Interesting.

DYNASTY HVY 12-14-2011 04:24 AM

slow learners
 

Originally Posted by FDXLAG (Post 1101218)
Hurricane experts admit they can?t predict hurricanes early; December forecasts too unreliable

We cant model the climate 9 months out but we can 50 years out right?

Depends on what kind of 'cooked up 'numbers are being put into the computer and it only took these guys 20 years to figure it.:eek:



Ally

alarkyokie 12-14-2011 06:36 AM

THIS JUST IN>>>


Shock as retreat of Arctic sea ice releases deadly greenhouse gas - Climate Change - Environment - The Independent
Drat you, Nature!!

FDXLAG 12-14-2011 07:30 AM


Originally Posted by alarkyokie (Post 1101511)

The important question is, how can we blame Bush?

jungle 12-14-2011 07:45 AM

The solution is obvious, we must kill Gaia before she kills us.:D

N2264J 12-15-2011 06:29 AM

Re: Climategate--The Final Chapter
 

Originally Posted by alarkyokie (Post 1101511)
THIS JUST IN>>>

Drat you, Nature!!

This is just one of the many feedback systems that is so troubling.

Depending on what article you read, methane is 20 to 25 times more efficient at trapping heat than carbon. As the environment warms, the permafrost is melted releasing more methane which warms the environment further melting more permafrost, etcetera.

If you haven't watched the "How it all Ends" series I linked to eariler, the gradual change in climate we used to believe would take place over hundreds of years isn't the concern. It is the cataclysmic and sudden shift from feedback loops becoming their own self sustaining engine that will get us.

Zoot Suit 12-15-2011 09:07 AM


Originally Posted by N2264J (Post 1102155)
This is just one of the many feedback systems that is so troubling.

Depending on what article you read, methane is 20 to 25 times more efficient at trapping heat than carbon. As the environment warms, the permafrost is melted releasing more methane which warms the environment further melting more permafrost, etcetera.

If you haven't watched the "How it all Ends" series I linked to eariler, the gradual change in climate we used to believe would take place over hundreds of years isn't the concern. It is the cataclysmic and sudden shift from feedback loops becoming their own self sustaining engine that will get us.

I'm gonna go out on a limb here and say that a nuke in the hands of Islamic "fundamentalists" is gonna get us first.

FDXLAG 12-15-2011 09:46 AM


Originally Posted by N2264J (Post 1102155)
This is just one of the many feedback systems that is so troubling.

Depending on what article you read, methane is 20 to 25 times more efficient at trapping heat than carbon. As the environment warms, the permafrost is melted releasing more methane which warms the environment further melting more permafrost, etcetera.

If you haven't watched the "How it all Ends" series I linked to eariler, the gradual change in climate we used to believe would take place over hundreds of years isn't the concern. It is the cataclysmic and sudden shift from feedback loops becoming their own self sustaining engine that will get us.

I saw that movie. We take over Mexico and live happily ever after.

Zoot Suit 12-16-2011 08:27 AM

Climategate Bombshell: Did U.S. Gov't Help Hide Climate Data? | Fox News


Climategate Bombshell: Did U.S. Gov't Help Hide Climate Data?


Are your tax dollars helping hide global warming data from the public? Internal emails leaked as part of “Climategate 2.0” indicate the answer may be "Yes."

The original Climategate emails -- correspondence stolen from servers at a research facility in the U.K. and released on the Internet in late 2009 -- shook up the field of climate research. Now a new batch posted in late November to a Russian server shows that scientists at the University of East Anglia’s Climatic Research Unit refused to share their U.S. government-funded data with anyone they thought would disagree with them.

Making that case in 2009, the then-head of the Research Unit, Dr. Phil Jones, told colleagues repeatedly that the U.S. Department of Energy was funding his data collection -- and that officials there agreed that he should not have to release the data.

“Work on the land station data has been funded by the U.S. Dept of Energy, and I have their agreement that the data needn’t be passed on. I got this [agreement] in 2007,” Jones wrote in a May 13, 2009, email to British officials, before listing reasons he did not want them to release data.

Two months later, Jones reiterated that sentiment to colleagues, saying that the data "has to be well hidden. I’ve discussed this with the main funder (U.S. Dept of Energy) in the past and they are happy about not releasing the original station data.”

A third email from Jones written in 2007 echoes the idea: "They are happy with me not passing on the station data," he wrote.

The emails have outraged climate-change skeptics who say they can't trust climate studies unless they see the raw data -- and how it has been adjusted.

"In every endeavor of science, making your work replicable by others is a basic tenet of proof,” Anthony Watts, a meteorologist and climate change blogger, told FoxNews.com. “If other scientists cannot replicate your work, it brings your work into question.”

Is the Department of Energy to blame? The Climategate emails reveal correspondence only between Jones and his colleagues -- not between him and the DoE.

"What’s missing," Watts said, "is a ... directive from DoE that they should withhold station data gathered under their grant. The email may be there, but ... still under lock and key.”

Chris Horner, a senior fellow at the Competitive Enterprise Institute, wants that key. He recently filed Freedom of Information acts with the DoE, requesting the emails they exchanged with Jones.

"So far no administration department has bothered to respond, indicating they … believe the time bought with stonewalling might just get them off the hook for disclosure," Horner told FoxNews.com.

"Not with us, it won't," he said.

The Department of Energy has until December 29 before it must legally respond to Horner's request.

When contacted by FoxNews.com, DoE spokesman Damien LaVera declined to comment.

However, climate change researcher and blogger Steve McIntyre forwarded FoxNews.com an email exchange from 2005 in which climate scientist Warwick Hughes asked an official at a DOE lab if he could get the data that the government paid Jones to collect.

"I am asking you to provide me with the following data … DoE has been funding [the data] since the 1980s," Hughes noted in his request.

But Tom Boden, of the DOE's Oak Ridge National Laboratory, told Hughes at the time that the DOE itself did not have the data, and that "you will need to contact Phil [Jones] directly. I spoke today with the DOE program manager who indicated Phil was not obligated under the conditions of past or present DOE proposal awards to provide these items."

McIntyre said he himself later had a similar exchange with the DOE, after which "I suggested that they amend this as a condition of further financing."

"I was surprised that the new emails show them actively taking the opposite approach," he added.

Asked about the connection with the Department of Energy, Simon Dunford, a spokesman for Jones’ Climatic Research Unit, told FoxNews.com that Jones has changed his tune since the emails were made public.

"Prof Jones has already accepted he should have been more open, and has since made all the station data referred to in these emails publicly available," Dunford told FoxNews.com.

Watts said that while much of the data itself is now available, the methods of adjusting it -- statistical modification meant to filter anomalies, "normalize" the data, and potentially highlight certain trends -- remain a secret.

"Much of climate science, in terms of the computer processing that goes on, remains a black box to the outside world. We see the data go in, and we see the data that come out as a finished product -- but we don’t know how they adjust it in between.”

Watts said he would like to be given the adjustment formulas to make his own determination.

"The fact that they are trying to keep people from replicating their studies -- that's the issue," Watts noted. "Replication is the most important tenet of science."

LeftWing 12-18-2011 09:43 PM


Originally Posted by jungle (Post 1100337)
Physical facts could not be ignored. In philosophy, or religion, or ethics, or politics, two and two might make five, but when one was designing a gun or an aeroplane they had to make four.
George Orwell

As if you have exclusive insight to the facts or justification to define "two" in Orwell's equation:rolleyes:....in philosophy, religion, ethics or politics.

jungle 12-19-2011 09:01 PM


Originally Posted by LeftWing (Post 1103939)
As if you have exclusive insight to the facts or justification to define "two" in Orwell's equation:rolleyes:....in philosophy, religion, ethics or politics.

It is a good thing we aren't talking about any of those subjects, but why don't you educate us on climate science?

1. Why are Mann, Jones and others hiding data, falsifying data, and presenting false conclusions?

2. What is the correct temperature for the Earth?

3. What percentage of climate change in the past was caused by man, and what percentage by natural cycles?

4.What effect would the UN proposals or cap and trade have on the climate?
What are the costs/benefits of these proposals?

Looking forward to your answers.:D

FDXLAG 12-20-2011 05:31 AM

I'll bet one of those Climate Scientists could answer the question. You know those guys who discovered a science 25 years ago and have done nothing but profit off of it for the last 24 years.

Much like the alchemy "scientists" in midieval Europe knew how to turn Iron in to gold for the right price.

N2264J 12-20-2011 08:35 AM

Re: Climategate--The Final Chapter
 

Originally Posted by jungle (Post 1104655)
...but why don't you educate us on climate science?

Looking forward to your answers.:D

LeftWing -

I don't know if you've noticed or not but jungle isn't interested in any answers that challenge his world view. Over the past few years, I've pointed to many resources on the subject and I don't believe he even clicks on the links because he keeps asking the same questions.

He's a crank who has bought into the anti intellectual perversion of politicizing physics. If jungle and his team were in charge, we'd still be living in caves and bleeding people to make them well.

Unwinding "Hide the Decline" - YouTube

Global Warming: It's Not About the Hockey Stick - YouTube

jungle 12-20-2011 08:46 AM


Originally Posted by N2264J (Post 1104888)
LeftWing -

I don't know if you've noticed or not but jungle isn't interested in any answers that challenge his world view. Over the past few years, I've pointed to many resources on the subject and I don't believe he even clicks on the links because he keeps asking the same questions.

He's a crank who has bought into the anti intellectual perversion of politicizing physics. If jungle and his team were in charge, we'd still be living in caves and bleeding people to make them well.

]


Of course, I am a crank, but I find it somewhat disturbing that you cannot answer simple questions in plain English.
Go ahead, give it a try, answer those four questions if you can. Try to be honest just this one time.:D

KC10 FATboy 12-20-2011 02:29 PM

removed

removed

removed

removed

DYNASTY HVY 12-21-2011 07:03 AM


Originally Posted by KC10 FATboy (Post 1105120)
removed

removed

removed

removed

Just how far ?:D

Winged Wheeler 12-22-2011 05:17 AM

wishful thinking
 

Originally Posted by N2264J (Post 1100120)
You and your fellow climate cranks desperately want to make this about politics but physics, biology and chemistry have no politics.

The Video Climate Deniers Tried to Ban - Climate Denial Crock of the Week - YouTube

I'd agree that it would be nice if this were true. However, it is demonstrably false. Not a bad point to argue if you can sneak it in, but very naive if that is what you actually think.

WW

Winged Wheeler 12-22-2011 05:22 AM

boys behaving badly
 

Originally Posted by LeftWing (Post 1099688)
Yes, bright shiny objects appeal to you huh? The Climategate emails are hardly representative of climate science. That wasn't even a good try.

Perhaps not representative of climate science but, like it or not, these emails are all that most people know about climate scientists. It is not a pretty picture.

WW

Winged Wheeler 12-22-2011 05:28 AM

Irony
 

Originally Posted by N2264J (Post 1100987)
Not hardly. You shouldn't assume I care what you think about me. I don't.

Let me tell you a story - I was cracking wise once about a denier of the president's birth place in the same way I give climate cranks grief for denying global climate destabilization. Jungle deleted my post and gave me forum demerits for being too political. I crossed the line!

This was after he and Wheeler were having a laugh about me being a watermelon ie green on the outside - red on the inside because, you know, implying someone is a Communist around here apparently isn't all that political.

http://www.airlinepilotforums.com/ha...tml#post810952

Accusations of editorial misconduct and cliquish slander. A list of complaints very similar to those leveled against a certain group of climate scientists.

WW

Winged Wheeler 12-22-2011 05:32 AM


Originally Posted by JamesNoBrakes (Post 1101340)
Climate is the same thing as hurricanes? Did you really just make that jump?

Al Gore made a lot of money off that same jump.

WW

Winged Wheeler 12-22-2011 05:49 AM

oversold
 

Originally Posted by N2264J (Post 1102155)
This is just one of the many feedback systems that is so troubling.

Depending on what article you read, methane is 20 to 25 times more efficient at trapping heat than carbon. As the environment warms, the permafrost is melted releasing more methane which warms the environment further melting more permafrost, etcetera.

If you haven't watched the "How it all Ends" series I linked to eariler, the gradual change in climate we used to believe would take place over hundreds of years isn't the concern. It is the cataclysmic and sudden shift from feedback loops becoming their own self sustaining engine that will get us.

It would be a bit more believable if it was written as a "sudden shift". Cataclysmic seems a bit over the top--like you're trying too hard.

Every day the temperature increase is an order of magnitude higher than that of the most pessimistic climate science projections. If the positive dynamic feedback was a simple as you've claimed we'd see runaway temperatures today.

Thus, either there is also negative feedback (attenuating the GHG effects), or the positive feedback is incompletely understood. Or both.

Off the air for a few days. best to all.

WW

Winged Wheeler 01-02-2012 02:32 AM

that's half of us
 
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpre...ng?w=640&h=442

N2264J 01-13-2012 06:44 AM

Re: Climategate--The Final Chapter
 
Global warming is a national defense issue:

Climate Denial Crock of the Week - Climate Change and National Security - YouTube

Red Forman 01-13-2012 07:59 AM

N2264J,
I see you are back to just posting links and avoiding questions, so please educate us and answer these questions that Jungle asked.

1. Why are Mann, Jones and others hiding data, falsifying data, and presenting false conclusions?

2. What is the correct temperature for the Earth?

3. What percentage of climate change in the past was caused by man, and what percentage by natural cycles?

4.What effect would the UN proposals or cap and trade have on the climate?
What are the costs/benefits of these proposals?

N2264J 01-20-2012 07:00 AM

Re: Climategate--The Final Chapter
 
James Balog at TED:

James Balog: Time-lapse proof of extreme ice loss | Video on TED.com

Zoot Suit 01-20-2012 08:44 AM


Originally Posted by N2264J (Post 1119838)


AND we're off......


So I assume it was mans fault 10,000 years ago when the ice melted over North America and receded north to form the Great Lakes?????????


en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Lakes
The Great Lakes are estimated to have been formed at the end of the last glacial period (about 10000 years ago), when the Laurentide ice sheet receded.


The earth has been here for billions of years. It heats up, it cools down. If you try to keep it at one temperature you will find that:

A: YOU CAN'T

B: If you did you would probably cause more animals to go extinct than if you left things to God(yes I said God :D)

Winged Wheeler 01-20-2012 08:49 AM

really extreme ice loss
 

Originally Posted by N2264J (Post 1119838)

http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/students...5/iceage02.jpg

DYNASTY HVY 01-21-2012 03:15 AM

More than one way to skin a cat !:)
TransCanada May Shorten Keystone XL - Bloomberg

Rama 01-21-2012 10:11 AM

Good to see they have options. The US would be foolish to give up that source of oil.

DYNASTY HVY 01-21-2012 05:01 PM


Originally Posted by Rama (Post 1120407)
Good to see they have options. The US would be foolish to give up that source of oil.

After all the hand wringing that went on about this I would,nt be surprised if the Canadians thought twice about any future ventures down here .
There are times when we are our own worst enemy and this is one of those times .

Obama’s Keystone Denial Prompts Canada to Look to China Sales - Businessweek

FDXLAG 01-27-2012 10:23 AM

Sixteen Concerned Scientists: No Need to Panic About Global Warming - WSJ.com

Awaiting the alarmist reaction to this money quote:

In September, Nobel Prize-winning physicist Ivar Giaever, a supporter of President Obama in the last election, publicly resigned from the American Physical Society (APS) with a letter that begins: "I did not renew [my membership] because I cannot live with the [APS policy] statement: 'The evidence is incontrovertible: Global warming is occurring. If no mitigating actions are taken, significant disruptions in the Earth's physical and ecological systems, social systems, security and human health are likely to occur. We must reduce emissions of greenhouse gases beginning now.' In the APS it is OK to discuss whether the mass of the proton changes over time and how a multi-universe behaves, but the evidence of global warming is incontrovertible?"

Also from he article.

"The fact is that CO2 is not a pollutant. CO2 is a colorless and odorless gas, exhaled at high concentrations by each of us, and a key component of the biosphere's life cycle. Plants do so much better with more CO2 that greenhouse operators often increase the CO2 concentrations by factors of three or four to get better growth. This is no surprise since plants and animals evolved when CO2 concentrations were about 10 times larger than they are today. Better plant varieties, chemical fertilizers and agricultural management contributed to the great increase in agricultural yields of the past century, but part of the increase almost certainly came from additional CO2 in the atmosphere."

N2264J 01-28-2012 07:44 AM

Re: Climategate--The Final Chapter
 

Originally Posted by FDXLAG (Post 1124258)
Sixteen Concerned Scientists: No Need to Panic About Global Warming - WSJ.com

Awaiting the alarmist reaction to this money quote:

So out of an organization of 48,000, you think 16 resigning from APS is significant enough to hang your
hat on? You're going to get smug about less than one tenth of one percent of one organization?

KC10 FATboy 01-28-2012 08:42 AM


Originally Posted by N2264J (Post 1124814)
So out of an organization of 48,000, you think 16 resigning from APS is significant enough to hang your
hat on? You're going to get smug about less than one tenth of one percent of one organization?

I have you beat. 31,487 scientists do not agree with you and have signed a petition here.

Global Warming Petition Project

Scientists sign petition denying man-made global warming

I guess the science isn't "settled" now is it?

iceman49 01-28-2012 08:56 AM


Originally Posted by KC10 FATboy (Post 1124833)
I have you beat. 31,487 scientists do not agree with you and have signed a petition here.

Global Warming Petition Project

Scientists sign petition denying man-made global warming

I guess the science isn't "settled" now is it?

Ten, I looked up a few from my state....a Vet, Pharmacist, radiology etc:rolleyes:

FDXLAG 01-28-2012 10:14 AM


Originally Posted by N2264J (Post 1124814)
So out of an organization of 48,000, you think 16 resigning from APS is significant enough to hang your
hat on? You're going to get smug about less than one tenth of one percent of one organization?


Not hanging my hat on the number of scientists, I am hanging my hat on the content of the article. Isnt that what a scientist would do? Or would he like you recite dogma and ignore the content of the article?

It only takes one scientist to be right. Did most of the plant and animal life evolve when CO2 levels where higher or not? Keep reciting your Dogma; CO2 is a pollutant, Man is bad. CO2 is a pollutant, Man is bad, CO2 is a pollutant, Man is bad.

2StgTurbine 01-28-2012 10:32 AM


Originally Posted by FDXLAG (Post 1124875)
It only takes one scientist to be right. Did most of the plant and animal life evolve when CO2 levels where higher or not? Keep reciting your Dogma; CO2 is a pollutant, Man is bad. CO2 is a pollutant, Man is bad, CO2 is a pollutant, Man is bad.

Why does everyone think that just because the earth once had high CO2 levels or there were ice ages in the past that this would be OK again? What matters is not the way the earth was before, but the way it is now. Our society is dependent on this current climate. Just because the Sahara used to be a rain forest, the Midwest used to be under the sea, and Europe used to be covered in ice does not mean it would not be disastrous if that happened again.

I don’t have a dog in this fight because I don’t listen to a pilot’s view on science just as I would listen to scientist’s views on landing. There are a lot on APC who like to criticize others for believing in climate change by saying they are just regurgitating reports from scientists who have an agenda, but are they not doing the same thing? There is money to be made on both sides of this debate, so there are a lot of half-truths and misconceptions on both sides.

One of my favorite APC arguments against climate change is when people find specific examples of record snow fall amounts in months or areas that don’t normally see that much snow. If anything that supports climate change because high atmospheric moisture content supports the argument that the atmosphere is warming and the climate is changing. And even if you take the examples where posters just report record cold spells in winter, then how would you explain the incredibly warm winter the Northeast is experiencing now? Normally this time of year the streets have 2-foot snow banks on the side and it is painfully cold. So far, it has only snowed 3 times (including a strange storm in October) and the snow has always melted the next day. For the majority of January, the temperatures have been in the mid 50s!


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