Future pilot movement at the majors.
01-09-2018, 11:57 AM
#1
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Future pilot movement at the majors.
Ok so it's clear there's lots of movement within the airlines, as major pilots are retiring and allowing regional guys to move on and what not. But what happens when those large number of retiring pilots slows way down as the majors will then be occupied largely by slightly "younger guys" in their 40's and 50's? Will movement and hiring slow way down and get more competitive to get into the big 3? Then once on board if one is lucky how long could it take to upgrade to captain?
01-09-2018, 12:17 PM
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Originally Posted by 100LL
Ok so it's clear there's lots of movement within the airlines, as major pilots are retiring and allowing regional guys to move on and what not. But what happens when those large number of retiring pilots slows way down as the majors will then be occupied largely by slightly "younger guys" in their 40's and 50's? Will movement and hiring slow way down and get more competitive to get into the big 3? Then once on board if one is lucky how long could it take to upgrade to captain?
01-09-2018, 12:53 PM
#3
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Originally Posted by 100LL
Ok so it's clear there's lots of movement within the airlines, as major pilots are retiring and allowing regional guys to move on and what not. But what happens when those large number of retiring pilots slows way down as the majors will then be occupied largely by slightly "younger guys" in their 40's and 50's? Will movement and hiring slow way down and get more competitive to get into the big 3? Then once on board if one is lucky how long could it take to upgrade to captain?
This wave of large scale retirements will last approximately 10 more years before it (and thus hiring) slows down.
01-09-2018, 01:37 PM
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Every boom is the next decade’s stagnation. It’s the nature of a seniority based system. With the new hire age range not as compressed as in prior booms, it may be lessened. Delta has hired over 3,500 pilots that’s most of their top paying captains for the next 10-20 years.
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01-09-2018, 05:18 PM
#6
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The industry is and has always been cyclical. Enjoy it while the good lasts, the next downturn is coming as it always does. This time though the retirement numbers are astoundingly high and hopefully mitigates any chance of furloughs.
01-10-2018, 05:32 AM
#8
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Originally Posted by Aero1900
This will probably be the biggest and longest lasting hiring period. The number old guys going bye bye is huge. No need to worry for at least 10 years.
Which is why the retirement age should be raised to 70.
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