July 2018 Big 6 10 yr retirement percentages
#1
Gets Weekends Off
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Joined APC: Dec 2007
Position: Window seat
Posts: 5,157
July 2018 Big 6 10 yr retirement percentages
Source - apc airline profile data. Took half of 2018 and half of 2028 to estimate the 10 yr forecast.
AA - 59% (57% using AA data vs apc data)
DL - 44%
UPS - 43% (has 2013 data so it might be outdated)
UA - 42%
FDX - 40%
SW - 27%
AA - 59% (57% using AA data vs apc data)
DL - 44%
UPS - 43% (has 2013 data so it might be outdated)
UA - 42%
FDX - 40%
SW - 27%
#2
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2017
Position: Retired NJA & AA
Posts: 1,907
#3
Every time I see the numbers it takes my breath away! If you think the regionals are having difficulty recruiting today. . .
And remember some of that tail will kick up with the pilots getting back into flying as a second career.
Oh, to be 21 again!
And remember some of that tail will kick up with the pilots getting back into flying as a second career.
Oh, to be 21 again!
#4
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Joined APC: Dec 2007
Position: Window seat
Posts: 5,157
Remember the old days when the F/A's didn't want to wear their five year wings because they were gold? "You're still not married??"
At the current rate, except for the super senior who aren't going anywhere, will the majority of regional Captains have less than five years LOS? That will be a huge change from 5-10 years ago. Will it become a rare sighting to see a younger Captain with a five year pin? If it comes to be that will be a great bump for the younger generation.
#5
#7
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Joined APC: Jul 2015
Position: systems analyst
Posts: 757
There are so many errors caught by either pilot I just can’t realistically see this happen. Maybe it will, but in the first 6 months there would be a crash and then back we go to 2 person ops. Plus you’d have to find a bunch of politicians that would stake their name to the safety of single pilot ops, and since they can’t even agree to disagree on anything......I highly doubt anything will change anytime soon.
#10
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Joined APC: Jan 2018
Posts: 114
It’d be interesting to see a comparison of % retirements to % hired in last 5 years.
I would guess a new hire today would have greater relative seniority after 10 years at AA vs DL or FDX due to the amount of hiring they have done last couple years, not solely because of the amount of retirements alone. Any thoughts or numbers to that logic? Am I looking at incorrectly at all?
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