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What will Buffet buy?

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Old 03-28-2020, 02:27 PM
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Buffet would likely provide DIP in a chapter 11 in order to take control after. I don't see him buying anyone beforehand.
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Old 03-28-2020, 03:43 PM
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Originally Posted by Mesabah View Post
Buffet would likely provide DIP in a chapter 11 in order to take control after. I don't see him buying anyone beforehand.

Does he do DIP financing? Wasn’t aware of that, and that is not what he did with BofA as I recall. Tend to lose best management in those times? And he’s a believer in talent. Doesn’t seem his style, bankruptcy is so...unseemly.
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Old 03-28-2020, 03:46 PM
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Originally Posted by majorpilot View Post
Does he do DIP financing? Wasn’t aware of that, and that is not what he did with BofA as I recall. Tend to lose best management in those times? And he’s a believer in talent. Doesn’t seem his style, bankruptcy is so...unseemly.
Agreed. He offered financing to BAC, GE, GS during the last crisis. I could easily see him offer more attractive financing than the government offered to the airlines during this pandemic.
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Old 03-28-2020, 03:48 PM
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Originally Posted by Flyby1206 View Post
Agreed. He offered financing to BAC, GE, GS during the last crisis and I could easily see him offer more attractive financing to the airlines during this pandemic.

And he certainly saved BofA, especially after they bought the Countrywide house of cards. But l didn’t remember that GE was in BK.
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Old 03-28-2020, 03:55 PM
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Buffett is up to his eyeballs in coke
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Old 03-28-2020, 04:02 PM
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Originally Posted by Mesabah View Post
Buffet would likely provide DIP in a chapter 11 in order to take control after. I don't see him buying anyone beforehand.
Originally Posted by majorpilot View Post
Does he do DIP financing? Wasn’t aware of that, and that is not what he did with BofA as I recall. Tend to lose best management in those times? And he’s a believer in talent. Doesn’t seem his style, bankruptcy is so...unseemly.
I would agree, not really his style.

On one hand, if you come in during BK, costs will be lower and ungainly obligations shed.

On the other hand a guy like WB can get some pretty good concessions from various creditors simply by re-negotiating contracts as a condition of purchase... most creditors would go along to avoid BK, where they'll get pennies on the dollar at best.
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Old 03-28-2020, 04:08 PM
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Originally Posted by rickair7777 View Post
I would agree, not really his style.

On one hand, if you come in during BK, costs will be lower and ungainly obligations shed.

On the other hand a guy like WB can get some pretty good concessions from various creditors simply by re-negotiating contracts as a condition of purchase... most creditors would go along to avoid BK, where they'll get pennies on the dollar at best.

A lifetime of success and proven integrity speak for themselves. I would bet creditors would do almost anything to have him involved, that’s the best assurance they’ll get what’s owed them back.
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Old 03-28-2020, 04:26 PM
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Originally Posted by majorpilot View Post
And he certainly saved BofA, especially after they bought the Countrywide house of cards. But l didn’t remember that GE was in BK.
No, they weren't in BK but still received financing from Buffett. I think it would be preferable for everyone to avoid BK in the first place.
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Old 03-28-2020, 04:57 PM
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Originally Posted by majorpilot View Post
Does he do DIP financing? Wasn’t aware of that, and that is not what he did with BofA as I recall. Tend to lose best management in those times? And he’s a believer in talent. Doesn’t seem his style, bankruptcy is so...unseemly.
The bank bailouts are an apples to oranges comparison. Banks were borrowing at the discount window at ZIRP, and then parking the money in bonds. Buffet never provided money to backstop those portfolio losses. He had zero risk in those investments, while yielding double digit returns. The airline situation right now is a completely different ballgame. I bet he doesn't touch any airlines this year, without the government backing the entire investment.
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Old 03-28-2020, 05:03 PM
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Originally Posted by Mesabah View Post
The bank bailouts are an apples to oranges comparison. Banks were borrowing at the discount window at ZIRP, and then parking the money in bonds. Buffet never provided money to backstop those portfolio losses. He had zero risk in those investments, while yielding double digit returns. The airline situation right now is a completely different ballgame. I bet he doesn't touch any airlines this year, without the government backing the entire investment.
I personally don't touch airline stocks with a ten-foot pole, but that's because my job is just as potentially volatile as the stocks.

But a professional like Buffet could probably see a way to make money out of a carefully structured deal. Price will be right, and he could be in the driver's seat for the structure.

Of course there's always some risk, and I have no idea if WB or anyone like him would have the remotest interest in going there.
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