new IATA report out, 62% load=breakeven point
#11
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#12
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Did you even open the report? That's not at all what the report says. 62% is NOT the BELF (breakeven load factor); it is the assumed average load factor with social distancing in effect. And the chart you posted basically said that only four airlines could make money at 62% LF, based on 2019 yields.
#13
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#14
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Big disclaimer...Based on yields from last year.
You could have 90% loads right now and not even break even because tickets are so cheap.
There is a lot of excess capacity in the system that needs to be reduced before airlines can return to profitability. I keep reminding people that even if miraculously a vaccine was released today, somehow manufactured for 8 billion people overnight, and magically distributed to everyone tomorrow, we would still be in an economic recession with tens of millions of jobless in the US alone.
COVID-19 was the tipping point. The economic recession (or depression if it gets there) is now what the airlines must fight.
You could have 90% loads right now and not even break even because tickets are so cheap.
There is a lot of excess capacity in the system that needs to be reduced before airlines can return to profitability. I keep reminding people that even if miraculously a vaccine was released today, somehow manufactured for 8 billion people overnight, and magically distributed to everyone tomorrow, we would still be in an economic recession with tens of millions of jobless in the US alone.
COVID-19 was the tipping point. The economic recession (or depression if it gets there) is now what the airlines must fight.
#15
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What I said is that Covid-19 was the tipping point that pushed the US into an economic recession.
What is important is even if miraculously a vaccine was released today, somehow manufactured for 8 billion people overnight, and magically distributed to everyone tomorrow, we would still be in an economic recession with tens of millions of jobless in the US alone.
So if the virus disappears overnight, the airline industry is still over capacity and furloughs will happen.
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