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-   -   LUV stock drop (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/major/21862-luv-stock-drop.html)

kalymnos 02-03-2008 09:14 AM

LUV stock drop
 
looking for some informative advice on why the stock has dropped over 30% in the past year, LUV is still making money and looks to be weathering the oil debacle, just curious, did the street lump in LUV with all the other transports because of the model becoming the norm and lose faith in the company or was the price inflated and this is where it will stay..please no contemptful post I own stock in the company and are really looking for some info.

ToiletDuck 02-03-2008 09:16 AM

fuel hedge concerns coupled with general fear of the market. I sold all my shares and bought boeing. No reason to sit on sinking money when BA is on the rise. At 83 predicted to be 103 in a year. I'll sell at 95 just to be safe.

27 driver 02-03-2008 09:19 AM

I haven't really folowed LUV stock that much, but it seems not to change much. Very stagnant. Airline stocks are a loser almost every time. Get out of all airline stocks. Way to many variables.

Riddler 02-03-2008 10:44 AM


Originally Posted by 27 driver (Post 313265)
I haven't really folowed LUV stock that much, but it seems not to change much. Very stagnant. Airline stocks are a loser almost every time. Get out of all airline stocks. Way to many variables.

There's one guaranteed way to make millions in airline stock--start with billions.:D

27 driver 02-03-2008 10:49 AM


Originally Posted by Riddler (Post 313348)
There's one guaranteed way to make millions in airline stock--start with billions.:D

you know it dude

ClipperJet 02-03-2008 11:00 AM

Even a great house in a crappy neighborhood still has a hard time getting a good price.

Murano 02-04-2008 11:28 AM


Originally Posted by ToiletDuck (Post 313261)
fuel hedge concerns coupled with general fear of the market. I sold all my shares and bought boeing. No reason to sit on sinking money when BA is on the rise. At 83 predicted to be 103 in a year. I'll sell at 95 just to be safe.

The art of selling low and buying high. You got it down! :D

SWAjet 02-04-2008 11:43 AM

If you have a long time horizon, today is a good time to be loading up on LUV.

aerospacepilot 02-04-2008 01:33 PM


Originally Posted by SWAjet (Post 313877)
If you have a long time horizon, today is a good time to be loading up on LUV.


I thought that in the beginning of 2003 (5 years ago) when the stock market was at the very bottom from the last recession. I was wrong! Currently Southwest's stock is slightly lower than it was at the beginning of 2003. Boeing, however, was at $32 a share and is now at about $90. Southwest has just kind of stood there.

I personally would not tie my money up in Southwest stock. I think they are a good company that will continue to be successful, but for some reason, that does not always translate into rising stock prices. (Southwest has made well over 1 BILLION dollars since 2003, has been the most successful airline, and future prospects look good, yet their stock is still flat)

Oldfreightdawg 02-04-2008 01:45 PM


Originally Posted by aerospacepilot (Post 313934)
I thought that in the beginning of 2003 (5 years ago) when the stock market was at the very bottom from the last recession. I was wrong! Currently Southwest's stock is slightly lower than it was at the beginning of 2003. Boeing, however, was at $32 a share and is now at about $90. Southwest has just kind of stood there.

I personally would not tie my money up in Southwest stock. I think they are a good company that will continue to be successful, but for some reason, that does not always translate into rising stock prices. (Southwest has made well over 1 BILLION dollars since 2003, has been the most successful airline, and future prospects look good, yet their stock is still flat)

That's because the market is flooded with LUV common shares; about 750 million. The closest sized airline AMR has about one third that amount: 250 million. UAL and CAL have even less at about 100 million each. Stocks move on volume as much as earnings. So all those earnings LUV are reporting are being divided among 3-6 times the number of shareholders than their competitors, which keeps the price low.

On the other hand, SWA has announced a stock buy back plan which should help the situation.


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