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Forecast for AA pilot retirements to 2025

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Forecast for AA pilot retirements to 2025

Old 04-20-2010, 03:28 PM
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Default Forecast for AA pilot retirements to 2025

American Airlines pilots turning 65 in each year through 2025

Retirements by year

Year # Retirements
2012 5
2013 138
2014 220
2015 277
2016 273
2017 300
2018 377
2019 477
2020 575
2021 650
2022 699
2023 754
2024 759
2025 779
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Old 04-20-2010, 03:43 PM
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Ha, what about for the next year and a half? Or... you could say it a different way:

5 over the next 2.5 years. Or:

1 every 6 months or so. Or:

Nevermind, just gets more of depressing the more you think about it...

Thanks for the good news.
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Old 04-20-2010, 03:47 PM
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Originally Posted by FlyAK View Post
Ha, what about for the next year and a half? Or... you could say it a different way:

5 over the next 2.5 years. Or:

1 every 6 months or so. Or:

Nevermind, just gets more of depressing the more you think about it...

Thanks for the good news.
I didnt publish this, our union did. I also wish it had numbers for recent future. (apparently not many if its five 2 years from now)
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Old 04-20-2010, 06:09 PM
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Hey I was depressed at our numbers, but man, you need to merge with LLC-East to up em numbers. I keed I keed.
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Old 04-20-2010, 06:22 PM
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How many pilots does AA have on furlough? Simple math dictates they won't be hiring for a long time. Hang in there everybody, that shortage will be here someday. Just seven or more eight years.
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Old 04-20-2010, 06:26 PM
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Originally Posted by acl65pilot View Post
Hey I was depressed at our numbers, but man, you need to merge with LLC-East to up em numbers. I keed I keed.
I thought with the merger you guys were suppose to have a steady stream of retirements? First nwa and then delta.
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Old 04-20-2010, 06:41 PM
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Originally Posted by CANAM View Post
How many pilots does AA have on furlough? Simple math dictates they won't be hiring for a long time. Hang in there everybody, that shortage will be here someday. Just seven or more eight years.
You assume everyone will go to 65 which is very unlikely. Avg will be 62.5ish

Originally Posted by Eric Stratton View Post
I thought with the merger you guys were suppose to have a steady stream of retirements? First nwa and then delta.
We're already seeing a constant stream of retirements. It will only increase from this point forward. We're 2 1/2 years into the age 65 change so most airlines should start seeing the retirements start. More so at the airlines that still have pensions.
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Old 04-20-2010, 07:05 PM
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Eric. As Super says we do. I will move up 8%+ a year starting in a few years, it is just getting there that hurts. I and super will go from mid level FO's to Widebody Captains in a period of five years.
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Old 04-20-2010, 07:12 PM
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Originally Posted by bgmann View Post
American Airlines pilots turning 65 in each year through 2025

Retirements by year

Year # Retirements
2012 5
2013 138
2014 220
2015 277
2016 273
2017 300
2018 377
2019 477
2020 575
2021 650
2022 699
2023 754
2024 759
2025 779
Whats the B fund at now? I bet if the market keeps going up we will see the rats leave the ship.
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Old 04-20-2010, 07:19 PM
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Originally Posted by AceOnTheRiver View Post
Whats the B fund at now? I bet if the market keeps going up we will see the rats leave the ship.
Isn't part of their retirement based upon their highest pay in the last five years? Is it the highest or the average of the highest?

If it's the highest, it would seem to be better to wait for the new contract since I'm sure it will involve a healthy pay raise. I'm sure some of those guys are getting a little anxious since they are now into year four(?) of negotiations.
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