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Nevermind......
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Deleted !!
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Originally Posted by Carl Spackler
(Post 1213080)
OK great. Where in the TA does it say Delta is obligated by our TA to acquire 30 MD-90's and/or 88 717's? Because remember you said:
We have an agreement that will add 1,000 new mainline jobs, but somehow that is a bad thing. Go figure. Carl |
Originally Posted by alfaromeo
(Post 1213113)
The agreement removes a massive amount of DCI capacity that allows these aircraft to be added. The 88 717's are mandated by the TA. Got it yet?
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Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg
(Post 1213093)
Just like you thinking management will come back with more, or soon. Wishful thinking, at best. A bird in the hand is worth 19.7% and 200 fewer 50 seaters. All you got is.....a hunch. And they don't get any 76 seaters without 88 717s. It's in there, take a look.
I found it in the NNP, but no such luck in the TA. |
Originally Posted by forgot to bid
(Post 1213116)
And how many MD-88s are mandated to remain in the fleet?
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Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp
(Post 1213118)
annnd there's the crux. Sure would have been nice if there wasn't so much downflux allowed in the ratio...
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Originally Posted by Ferd149
(Post 1213098)
Deleted !!
My point was that basing their longevity on the fact that mgmt installed AVOD and other mods is proven to be a wildly unreliable source. Enjoy your evening! |
under construction....
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Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp
(Post 1213121)
What I stated had nothing to do with a swipe at the longevity of the whales. :) Personally, I think they are around to stay because they are a great machine.
My point was that basing their longevity on the fact that mgmt installed AVOD and other mods is proven to be a wildly unreliable source. Enjoy your evening! I hate this deviation from deadhead stuff.....sure hope it states in the TA:eek: PS. I met sinca3 today commuting in...what a good $hit!! Ferd. |
Pink is for the all growth 717 scenario using the extra 717s that DALPA is mentioning in email. Which I thought would be fair game along with the 65 MD-90 number (minus the 3 operational spares crew planning said we'd be using this year knocking 48 down to 45).
http://i938.photobucket.com/albums/a...d/Temp5-33.png In the pink, we have to grow ASMs. It's a wonderful scenario and would be great for us in terms of hiring and total mainline size fleet. It's great. Could happen. But it doesn't have to happen. They can remove the 88s for 717s, save money on pilot costs btw, and still meet the ratio and keep ASMs on their current trajectory of profit over market share. |
Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp
(Post 1213117)
Bill, slow, or anyone: Chapter and verse in the TA for the 88 717s arriving before the 76 seaters are allowed, please!
I found it in the NNP, but no such luck in the TA. 1.B.28 “Fleet” means aircraft in service, undergoing maintenance, and operational spares. Under the language they could "establish a fleet" at VCV...I take the company and ALPA at their word that the 717 will be delivered painted and with Delta blue leather seats, and it will be weeks from delivery to service entry, not months-years as is the case with the MD90s. Cheers George |
Originally Posted by georgetg
(Post 1213129)
1.B.46.f Exception one: If the Company establishes a fleet of new small narrowbody aircraft, the number of permitted 76-seat aircraft may increase on a one 76-seat aircraft for each one and one quarter new small narrowbody aircraft (1:1.25) ratio (rounded to the closest integer) up to a total of 223 76-seat aircraft.
1.B.28 “Fleet” means aircraft in service, undergoing maintenance, and operational spares. The way I read that (and I'm very tired... so I could very well be wrong) is that there is no number of small narrowbodies required except the ratio. Is this NNP misstating that all 88 have to be on property prior to the acquisition of the first? I'm intrigued as to where the 88 number comes from as a trigger... (cleaned up your quote to take the line numbers out) |
Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg
(Post 1213091)
They have to get 88 717s or they won't get any of the 70 76 seaters. It states that in the TA. Most of the 30 MD90s are already here in the States. Since you fly your 744s to Manilla and don't go to Greensboro or Indianapolis much, you wouldn't know about that. A bunch of them are sitting, waiting to get mods right now.
Again the relationship is specifically descibed in 1.B.46.f I had a nice conversation with Tim O. Yesterday and we discussed that very point. 1.B.46.f ...the number of permitted 76-seat aircraft may increase on a one 76-seat aircraft for each one and one quarter new small narrowbody aircraft (1:1.25) ratio (rounded to the closest integer) up to a total of 223 76-seat aircraft. The delivery schedule for 717s starts in late 2013 and varies depending on who you talk to, from 4/36/36/12 to 16/36/36, at any rate it's 3/month... With 16 717s in service on January 1, 2014 the ratios in 1.B.46.f are triggered for the first time. 16 717 = 12 76-seaters 12 76-seaters = removal of 32 50-seaters On January 1, 2015 we measure the second time 16+36=52 717 in the fleet =add 42 76-seaters (195 total) 195 76-seaters = removal of 27+27+28+29+3+3=117-32=must remove 85 50-seaters (117 total removed so far) On January 1 2016 we measure again 16+36+36=88 88 717 = 70 76-seaters 70 76-seaters = 125 hard cap on 50-seaters It's only the last 76-seater that establishes the hard cap of 125, in 2016 or 2017 depending on the 717 delivery schedule... Since you mention the MD90s sitting, waiting to get the mods, you can probably interpret this language in context: 1.B.28 “Fleet” means aircraft in service, undergoing maintenance, and operational spares. Cheers George |
Originally Posted by georgetg
(Post 1213148)
That's not what it says at all...
Again the relationship is specifically descibed in 1.B.46.f I had a nice conversation with Tim O. Yesterday and we discussed that very point. 1.B.46.f ...the number of permitted 76-seat aircraft may increase on a one 76-seat aircraft for each one and one quarter new small narrowbody aircraft (1:1.25) ratio (rounded to the closest integer) up to a total of 223 76-seat aircraft. The delivery schedule for 717s starts in late 2013 and varies depending on who you talk to, from 4/36/36/12 to 16/36/36, at any rate it's 3/month... With 16 717s in service on January 1, 2014 the ratios in 1.B.46.f are triggered for the first time. 16 717 = 12 76-seaters 12 76-seaters = removal of 32 50-seaters On January 1, 2015 we measure the second time 16+36=52 717 in the fleet =add 42 76-seaters (195 total) 195 76-seaters = removal of 27+27+28+29+3+3=117-32=must remove 85 50-seaters (117 total removed so far) On January 1 2016 we measure again 16+36+36=88 88 717 = 70 76-seaters 70 76-seaters = 125 hard cap on 50-seaters It's only the last 76-seater that establishes the hard cap of 125, in 2016 or 2017 depending on the 717 delivery schedule... Since you mention the MD90s sitting, waiting to get the mods, you can probably interpret this language in context: 1.B.28 “Fleet” means aircraft in service, undergoing maintenance, and operational spares. Cheers George Theses are important points. The "narrow body floor" that was part of the NWA BQ langange failed to trigger because of something very similar. Management took one or two RJs less than the cap, but it was at the cap where the floor language got triggered. They got almost all the benefit, but none of the restrictions. Language matters a lot in those cases...look at the settlement of the 153 large RJ grievance. Nu |
Originally Posted by georgetg
(Post 1213148)
That's not what it says at all...
Again the relationship is specifically descibed in 1.B.46.f I had a nice conversation with Tim O. Yesterday and we discussed that very point. 1.B.46.f ...the number of permitted 76-seat aircraft may increase on a one 76-seat aircraft for each one and one quarter new small narrowbody aircraft (1:1.25) ratio (rounded to the closest integer) up to a total of 223 76-seat aircraft. The delivery schedule for 717s starts in late 2013 and varies depending on who you talk to, from 4/36/36/12 to 16/36/36, at any rate it's 3/month... With 16 717s in service on January 1, 2014 the ratios in 1.B.46.f are triggered for the first time. 16 717 = 12 76-seaters 12 76-seaters = removal of 32 50-seaters On January 1, 2015 we measure the second time 16+36=52 717 in the fleet =add 42 76-seaters (195 total) 195 76-seaters = removal of 27+27+28+29+3+3=117-32=must remove 85 50-seaters (117 total removed so far) On January 1 2016 we measure again 16+36+36=88 88 717 = 70 76-seaters 70 76-seaters = 125 hard cap on 50-seaters It's only the last 76-seater that establishes the hard cap of 125, in 2016 or 2017 depending on the 717 delivery schedule... Since you mention the MD90s sitting, waiting to get the mods, you can probably interpret this language in context: 1.B.28 “Fleet” means aircraft in service, undergoing maintenance, and operational spares. Cheers George |
Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg
(Post 1212710)
George doesn't take into account any hiring and training with regard to staffing or minimum 50 hours per month. Just think about how much training, sims, waiting for IOE, etc with 88 717s, more MD90s, and 3 737-900s coming per month. I have a feeling 60 hours will be broken, and the reserve manning will have to be increased per the TA. Then throw in retirements in a few years, for a decade. If you are a reserve then, when 700 guys retire per year, then that will be by your own choice.
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Originally Posted by georgetg
(Post 1213148)
...With 16 717s in service on January 1, 2014 the ratios in 1.B.46.f are triggered for the first time.
16 717 = 12 76-seaters 12 76-seaters = removal of 32 50-seaters... Does Bastian get a deal if he orders CRJ parts two years early? |
Originally Posted by Boomer
(Post 1213309)
If the first 50 seaters will not be removed until sometime in 2014, why the urgency to re-engine them now?
Does Bastian get a deal if he orders CRJ parts two years early? |
Thanks for the data, george. Either Bill and I were reading that line from the NNP wrong, or they were speaking out of turn in their wording.
The NNP states that 88 717's must come on property before any 76 seaters are allowed... and that is definitely incorrect. |
80, which nnp is it?
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Originally Posted by forgot to bid
(Post 1213349)
80, which nnp is it?
Page 2, paragraph 1, line 1: "The tentative agreement allows Delta earlier access to an additional 70 76-seat aircraft, but only if they first add to the mainline fleet 88 SNB aircraft (recently identified by the Company as B-717s)." That sure doesn't look truthful... |
Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp
(Post 1213338)
Thanks for the data, george. Either Bill and I were reading that line from the NNP wrong, or they were speaking out of turn in their wording.
The NNP states that 88 717's must come on property before any 76 seaters are allowed... and that is definitely incorrect. This is directly from the NNP...... The tentative agreement allows Delta earlier access to an additional 70 76-seat aircraft, but only if they first add to the mainline fleet 88 SNB aircraft (recently identified by the Company as B-717s).* I don't see where it says ALL 88 SNB aircraft must be delivered before ANY 76 seaters are allowed. It says the company must first add 88 SNB aircraft before they may have access to ALL 70 76 seat aircraft. That is a true statement. In order for the company to have ALL 70 76 seaters, they must first take delivery of ALL 88 SNB aircraft. I'm sorry for the all caps words. I just feel they're key. Are you seeing different? |
Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp
(Post 1213352)
Scope.
Page 2, paragraph 1, line 1: "The tentative agreement allows Delta earlier access to an additional 70 76-seat aircraft, but only if they first add to the mainline fleet 88 SNB aircraft (recently identified by the Company as B-717s)." That sure doesn't look truthful... https://dl.dropbox.com/u/39382899/Gr...Reductions.JPG https://dl.dropbox.com/u/39382899/Te...Reductions.JPG |
I agree- and I'm not the one that was duped by it, Lumberg was.
Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg
(Post 1213091)
They have to get 88 717s or they won't get any of the 70 76 seaters. It states that in the TA. Most of the 30 MD90s are already here in the States. Since you fly your 744s to Manilla and don't go to Greensboro or Indianapolis much, you wouldn't know about that. A bunch of them are sitting, waiting to get mods right now.
That's what started all this- trying to figure out a. where he got that statement and b. what the truth is. |
Originally Posted by johnso29
(Post 1213271)
So if they took delivery of all 88 B717's and 69 more 76 seat RJ's, how many 50 seaters are we left at?
Once they hit 214 76 seat airframes the 1:1.56 MBH radio engages, so 222 76's will still trigger the 1:1.56. Wrt removal provisions: 1.B.46.f.7 4.6 50 seat aircraft for each 76 seat aircraft added. So in your "69 aircraft purchase scenario" the rounded number would be 5, therefore the 50 seat cap would be 130. |
Originally Posted by shiznit
(Post 1213506)
1.D.9.b
Once they hit 214 76 seat airframes the 1:1.56 MBH radio engages, so 222 76's will still trigger the 1:1.56. Wrt removal provisions: 1.B.46.f.7 4.6 50 seat aircraft for each 76 seat aircraft added. So in your "69 aircraft purchase scenario" the rounded number would be 5, therefore the 50 seat cap would be 130. |
Just voted yes, end of discussion.
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The small and large end Scope is just not enough. I voted "No".
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Originally Posted by finis72
(Post 1213838)
Just voted yes, end of discussion.
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What language in the TA reverses that trajectory? I get there will be caps, but we have a cap right now and we're tossing it. So I am learning that caps are not to be taken seriously. So what language reverses the trajectory of an increasing number of large Lumberg jet hulls? |
Originally Posted by More Bacon
(Post 1214023)
Fortunately, should you have a change of heart, you are allowed to change your vote until the window closes.
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Originally Posted by forgot to bid
(Post 1214032)
I just can't help but notice the part about the unwanted jets that are no longer economical decreasing while the wanted jets that are more economical (or in Bill's words profitable) increasing.
What language in the TA reverses that trajectory? I get there will be caps, but we have a cap right now and we're tossing it. So I am learning that caps are not to be taken seriously. So what language reverses the trajectory of an increasing number of large Lumberg jet hulls? |
Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp
(Post 1214037)
It's so sad that this TA just plays toward the hate of 50 seaters (engendered hate of comair and the 50 seaters they started with) and not the real long term problem of outsourcing.
http://blog.lib.umn.edu/hutch213/myblog/angry-mob.jpg Here's a question, if I wanted 70 new 76-seaters tomorrow, how long would it take until Bombardier was able to fulfill that order? 2015? |
Originally Posted by forgot to bid
(Post 1214032)
I just can't help but notice the part about the unwanted jets that are no longer economical decreasing while the wanted jets that are more economical (or in Bill's words profitable) increasing.
What language in the TA reverses that trajectory? I get there will be caps, but we have a cap right now and we're tossing it. So I am learning that caps are not to be taken seriously. So what language reverses the trajectory of an increasing number of large Lumberg jet hulls? So you're telling me you don't want to work for a profitable company? Are you sure you don't work for Southwest? |
Originally Posted by Columbia
(Post 1214092)
Filling in for Lumberg:
So you're telling me you don't want to work for a profitable company? Are you sure you don't work for Southwest? Some areas have already been outsourced, and it really would be cost prohibitive to recapture it. Routes to smaller cities, just won't make money with a 717. There is no way to compete with the whipsawed regionals to the smaller cities. So, cap 'em, ratio it, and concentrate on reducing outsourcing as best you can. But, if a route has to have an RJ, put one on there that does make money. Have a great day! |
Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg
(Post 1214097)
It's sad some of you guys dream about getting the Beech 1900 market back.
Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg
(Post 1214097)
Why stop at RJs? Every darn pilot should work for mainline, including the traffic watch guy in the C152! Especially that guy, he would look great in the hat and jacket.....
Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg
(Post 1214097)
Some areas have already been outsourced, and it really would be cost prohibitive to recapture it.
Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg
(Post 1214097)
Routes to smaller cities, just won't make money with a 717.
Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg
(Post 1214097)
There is no way to compete with the whipsawed regionals to the smaller cities.
Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg
(Post 1214097)
So, cap 'em,
Caps mean nothing if people just continue to Lumberg them. Carl |
Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg
(Post 1214097)
It's sad some of you guys dream about getting the Beech 1900 market back. Why stop at RJs?
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Originally Posted by alfaromeo
(Post 1213113)
The agreement removes a massive amount of DCI capacity that allows these aircraft to be added. The 88 717's are mandated by the TA. Got it yet?
It removes aircraft from DCI It provides a block-hour ratio Neither of those two are measures of capacity. Our AFKLM/AZ JV measures capacity expressed in EASK and has no block-hour provisions, yet we "win" on the block-hour side becasue we fly smaller jets. Cheers George |
Originally Posted by alfaromeo
(Post 1213113)
The agreement removes a massive amount of DCI capacity that allows these aircraft to be added. The 88 717's are mandated by the TA. Got it yet?
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