Mandatory Retirement Numbers
#13
Runs with scissors
Joined APC: Dec 2009
Position: Going to hell in a bucket, but enjoying the ride .
Posts: 7,722
That's because between 1985-1991, both Delta and North West hired a whole bunch of pilots, nearly 5,000 at Delta alone, not sure how many NW hired in that time frame, but 90% of them were about age 28-32, plus or minus 4 years. The pilots from that hiring spree will be turning age 65 in 2019-26.
#14
Line Holder
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Joined APC: Jul 2006
Posts: 690
Sorry guys. I should've said... These are conservative numbers. These numbers assume that every pilot retires on his/her 65th birthday. These are minimum numbers. You'll have higher numbers due to medical out, and those who are ready to RUN!!
About delta numbers: On Apc central airline pages they had two different postings for delta's numbers and then got edited with lower numbers. All these numbers on this spreadsheet have been pulled from APC.com. I just compiled them into one source so I could compare them side-by-side and see how many per year are retiring.
About delta numbers: On Apc central airline pages they had two different postings for delta's numbers and then got edited with lower numbers. All these numbers on this spreadsheet have been pulled from APC.com. I just compiled them into one source so I could compare them side-by-side and see how many per year are retiring.
#15
Sorry guys. I should've said... These are conservative numbers. These numbers assume that every pilot retires on his/her 65th birthday. These are minimum numbers. You'll have higher numbers due to medical out, and those who are ready to RUN!!
About delta numbers: On Apc central airline pages they had two different postings for delta's numbers and then got edited with lower numbers. All these numbers on this spreadsheet have been pulled from APC.com. I just compiled them into one source so I could compare them side-by-side and see how many per year are retiring.
About delta numbers: On Apc central airline pages they had two different postings for delta's numbers and then got edited with lower numbers. All these numbers on this spreadsheet have been pulled from APC.com. I just compiled them into one source so I could compare them side-by-side and see how many per year are retiring.
What DLpilot posted is correct- I can PM you the full numbers all the way out to 2048 or 49 whenever the now youngest guy or gal will retire.
#16
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2008
Position: Left,Right, Left, Right,Right,Left, Right, Left
Posts: 3,150
Can you believe the leading voice in the U.S. for the great "American Pilot Shortage" movement took a leap of faith across a Arizona Mesa and plunged to his untimely demise? December 21st too! At 13:22 to the second. I used to commute to my internship, in 2000, on the Boston Green Line "T" and read all of the articles in Flying Magazine about the great pilot shortage. In 2009, when I needed a job, I couldn't get one. What do these numbers really mean? Delta has been doing a really good job of making a ton of dough and not hiring many pilots. Maybe 80 since 2008? I hope all of the unhappy, well qualified, mid-seniority Jblue FO's leap at the chance to fly heavy metal for Delta and United. If that other leap possibility actually becomes reality.
Also I'm pretty sure it has little to do with "heavy metal"... but you believe what you want.
Hope you get your wish.
#17
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2011
Posts: 403
Bgmann, if you have already typed them into a spreadsheet, any chance you could divide them by the current number of pilots to show rough percentages? That would be more meaningful as folks care about seniority progression. Thanks!
#18
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Thread Starter
Joined APC: Jul 2006
Posts: 690
I am headed on a two-day without my laptop (thanks TSA). So I will do it when I get back.
I've been getting some PM's with retirement numbers for other airlines and will make another spreadsheet. Airlines like Skywest, American Eagle, Cathay Pacific, Pinnacolba. Some are less interesting for us, but will be fun to look at for the big picture of the numbers across the board.
Anyone have Allegiant, Hawaiian numbers?
Last edited by bgmann; 12-29-2012 at 09:09 AM.
#19
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Joined APC: Jul 2006
Posts: 690
Cathay Pacific numbers given to me:
2012-5
2013-8
2014-11
2015-12
2016-20
2017-27
2018-20
2019-24
2020-44
2021-58
2022-53
2023-51
2024-58
2025-57
2026-58
2027-47
2028-70
2029-62
2030-73
2031-76
2032-81
2033-101
TOTAL IN 21 YEARS=1016
TOTAL GROUP=2700
37.6% OF GROUP RETIRING BY 2033
Pinnacle (P/M/C) numbers given to me:
2012-1
2013-3
2014-9
2015-6
2016-7
2017-6
2018-13
2019-13
2020-17
2021-18
2022-11
2023-14
2024-16
2025-38
2026-34
2027-39
2028-43
TOTAL IN 16 YEARS=288
TOTAL GROUP=2741
10.5% OF GROUP RETIRING BY 2028
Skywest numbers given to me:
2012-1
2013-5
2014-6
2015-9
2016-7
2017-12
2018-8
2019-13
2020-20
2021-21
TOTAL IN 9 YEARS=102
TOTAL GROUP=3263
5.0% OF GROUP RETIRING BY 2021
Attrition to majors will be the factor of course at Skywest and Pinnacle, not retirements.
American Eagle numbers will be compiled soon. They have a senior group.
2012-5
2013-8
2014-11
2015-12
2016-20
2017-27
2018-20
2019-24
2020-44
2021-58
2022-53
2023-51
2024-58
2025-57
2026-58
2027-47
2028-70
2029-62
2030-73
2031-76
2032-81
2033-101
TOTAL IN 21 YEARS=1016
TOTAL GROUP=2700
37.6% OF GROUP RETIRING BY 2033
Pinnacle (P/M/C) numbers given to me:
2012-1
2013-3
2014-9
2015-6
2016-7
2017-6
2018-13
2019-13
2020-17
2021-18
2022-11
2023-14
2024-16
2025-38
2026-34
2027-39
2028-43
TOTAL IN 16 YEARS=288
TOTAL GROUP=2741
10.5% OF GROUP RETIRING BY 2028
Skywest numbers given to me:
2012-1
2013-5
2014-6
2015-9
2016-7
2017-12
2018-8
2019-13
2020-20
2021-21
TOTAL IN 9 YEARS=102
TOTAL GROUP=3263
5.0% OF GROUP RETIRING BY 2021
Attrition to majors will be the factor of course at Skywest and Pinnacle, not retirements.
American Eagle numbers will be compiled soon. They have a senior group.
Last edited by bgmann; 12-29-2012 at 09:20 AM.
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