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Old 05-25-2017, 03:31 PM
  #21  
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Originally Posted by Bizkit View Post
Currently an O-5, 21 months from starting terminal leave. I've heard if you're close to an active retirement and get out, that'll be a red flag for hiring as they expect you to instantly drop mil leave for active orders. Anyone lately run into this situation? I probably won't do it and just wait for 20 yrs, but damn, leaving right now is sure tempting.
No personal experience but AlbieF the guy that runs ECIC has said during a recent webinar that hiring has cooled off somewhat for mil pilots that are between 15-19 years. Apparently the airlines are tired of guys getting on a seniority list and immediately dropping mil leave.
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Old 05-25-2017, 04:15 PM
  #22  
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Originally Posted by KC10 FATboy View Post
While he attempts a very detailed examination of career earnings, the situation is much more complex as there are so many variables and paths to consider.

One thing he does not consider is a Retired Reserve retirement or an Actuve Duty retirement attained while in the Guard/Reserves. I know three people in my small reserve unit who recently received an active duty retirement while gaining seniority at the airline. Yuge!

More so, he automatically assumes a Guard/Reserve retirement starts at 60 years of age. On paper yes. However the reduced retirement option for those on active duty orders greater than 90 days reduces your retirement date. Everyone in my unit has had their retirement date reduced -- some of them as early as age 55. Mine is age 58 and I've been a slacker in the unit.

Another thing he can't model, you can use 1000 X pay rate to get a realistic airline salary. However he can't forecast windfalls. For example, last year through hard work and using the contract to my advantage, I nearly doubled my previous airline W2 and still made $30k in the reserve. That's not going to happen if you stay on active duty. There is no incentive for working harder in the military as it all pays the same.

In one year I paid off the house and put a nice chunk into mutual funds all while maxing out the 401k.

Get out now. Go to a Guard/Reserve unit near you and enjoy the best of both worlds.
I agree 100% but think he was making the point of being really conservative to avoid those on the other side of the fence yelling about silly assumptions. Even by being that conservative and not taking the higher airline pay (what will the next contract cycle raises be???), profit sharing, active duty retirement from the reserves, or reduced retirement age for reserve retirement the airlines still win. That is the point.

I've done some of my own calculations as an add on to his and assuming a modest raise on the next cycle, reasonable upgrade times based on CURRENT upgrade cycles (we all know time to CA will come way down soon if you want to bid it. Look at the last Delta drop), no reduced reserve retirement age, and NO further raises after the next contract cycle I get a difference of closer to $3-5 mil when getting out after 14 years active duty. However there are a fair number of assumptions there and YMMV.
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Old 05-25-2017, 07:57 PM
  #23  
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Originally Posted by FlyingHercs;
I've done some of my own calculations as an add on to his and assuming a modest raise on the next cycle, reasonable upgrade times based on CURRENT upgrade cycles (we all know time to CA will come way down soon if you want to bid it. Look at the last Delta drop), no reduced reserve retirement age, and NO further raises after the next contract cycle I get a difference of closer to $3-5 mil when getting out after 14 years active duty.
That's based on getting out now? I'd like to see your math if you wouldn't mind sharing. PM if you want.
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Old 05-25-2017, 09:22 PM
  #24  
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Originally Posted by HuggyU2 View Post
That might be the norm in Fighter Command, but that was not my experience, whatsoever.
It's the norm in mobility too, hence why I tell the younger guys to never show their cards about getting out until they put in for separation (you know things are bad when you have LTs talking about the airlines.)
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Old 05-26-2017, 02:10 AM
  #25  
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Originally Posted by C130driver View Post
It's the norm in mobility too,
Sorry to hear that. And what a shame. Those squadrons are losing out on a tremendous resource, in many cases.
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Old 05-26-2017, 05:56 AM
  #26  
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Originally Posted by C130driver View Post
It's the norm in mobility too, hence why I tell the younger guys to never show their cards about getting out until they put in for separation (you know things are bad when you have LTs talking about the airlines.)
Showing your cards used to be a one way ticket to the readiness shop, but it has lost a lot of its taboo. There are so many people bailing that if the boss sidelined anyone showing interest in guard/reserves/airlines there would be 60-70% of the squadron doing nothing.
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Old 05-26-2017, 07:39 AM
  #27  
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Originally Posted by HuggyU2 View Post
That might be the norm in Fighter Command, but that was not my experience, whatsoever.
Wasnt mine in mobility. Actually its kind of eye of the beholder thing, not being shiny. I got asked if I "wanted" to do projects and I said no and end of story. Really got to focus on what I wanted to focus on (led in flight hours) as I didnt have to waste time on silly stuff to get promoted.

Being a crusty instructor who wanted to fly/teach was seen as good for everyone.

Dont get me wrong, rather have retired as an O5. But my last several years were much more enjoyable as a passed over O4.
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Old 05-26-2017, 07:49 AM
  #28  
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To the original poster, financially, getting out and hired seems like a no brainer. With the option of getting O5 in reserve/guard tossed....kinda wonder why would anyone stay?

As Mike said, unless there was an obvious error, almost no one makes above the zone. The system is not set up for it.

So staying in, you'd really have to want it. I did and have no regrets. But I had some enlisted time so the finish line was closer. And the airlines werent hiring like they are now.
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Old 05-26-2017, 08:08 AM
  #29  
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Originally Posted by Sputnik View Post
As Mike said, unless there was an obvious error, almost no one makes above the zone. The system is not set up for it.
This. How will the final six years play out for the OP's bud, the passed-over Major? 365s and 179s into oblivion. And while watching all his buds get hired @ airlines of their choosing. Staying in after the system is SCREAMING that you are a have-not would be the worst of both worlds.

Get those interview skills sharpened up for the ARC & major airline interview!

**If this dude/dudette is on staff, the ARC can help regain currency. We don't give a **** what you used to fly, as long as you're not a douchebag, we'll pay to get you trained up. It's more a question of "Do we want to go TDY with you for the next 10-20 yrs?" Then current & qualfied is no problem when that major airline calls.
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Old 05-26-2017, 04:55 PM
  #30  
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Originally Posted by Sputnik View Post
To the original poster, financially, getting out and hired seems like a no brainer. With the option of getting O5 in reserve/guard tossed....kinda wonder why would anyone stay?

As Mike said, unless there was an obvious error, almost no one makes above the zone. The system is not set up for it.

So staying in, you'd really have to want it. I did and have no regrets. But I had some enlisted time so the finish line was closer. And the airlines werent hiring like they are now.
If you're an O-5, it's not quite that easy to get hired in a reserve squadron. That new O-5 will take the Lt Col slot thereby making it difficult for established guys in the squadron to get promoted.

I recently hired an O-5, but it was a very rare exception. Of course, I can't speak for other MWS squadrons.
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