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-   -   How are you guarding against inflation? (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/money-talk/133704-how-you-guarding-against-inflation.html)

SonicFlyer 04-25-2021 05:50 AM

How are you guarding against inflation?
 
Inflation is here, despite what the government says.

What are you doing to protect yourself against it?

zerozero 04-25-2021 07:27 AM


Originally Posted by SonicFlyer (Post 3226355)
Inflation is here, despite what the government says.

What are you doing to protect yourself against it?

Just gotta look for commodities that are still relatively cheap.

I like Platinum right now.
:)

oldrebel 04-25-2021 11:32 AM

Gold, silver, and ammo

rickair7777 04-26-2021 05:57 AM

Maybe inflation is the incarnation of the long-awaited correction.

I'll deal with it the way I usually do... long-term equity positions (bonds are no better than cash right now). Somewhat hedged with investment real-estate.

reandld 04-27-2021 10:18 AM

Stocks and real estate like usual. I'm normally a debt free guy but having a low interest mortgage right now sounds like a great idea.

Av8tr1 04-27-2021 10:45 AM


Originally Posted by oldrebel (Post 3226515)
Gold, silver, and ammo

This is the way

PerfInit 05-01-2021 08:10 PM

Very optimistic about QFS. Until we get there, precious metals
most definitely. Anyone using crypto as a hedge? I noticed that
PayPal, Tesla and others are now accepting Bitcoin.

dera 05-04-2021 09:37 AM

Dogecoin. Obviously.

Excargodog 05-04-2021 10:40 AM

Only two rational investment strategies:
1. For optimists - a broadly diversified stock portfolio or - better yet - a low expense index 500 mutual fund.
2. For pessimists - guns, ammo, and freeze dried food.

:D

rickair7777 05-04-2021 02:08 PM

I'd recommend NATO 7.62... good utility for hunting medium/large game.


https://gun.deals/sites/default/file...0317e0e68b.jpg

TransWorld 05-04-2021 04:54 PM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 3230571)
Only two rational investment strategies:
1. For optimists - a broadly diversified stock portfolio or - better yet - a low expense index 500 mutual fund.
2. For pessimists - guns, ammo, and freeze dried food.

:D

My investment manager consistently beats the indexes (500 and others) by 3-5%. Pretty rare, top couple of percent of money managers.

Excargodog 05-04-2021 06:22 PM


Originally Posted by TransWorld (Post 3230732)
My investment manager consistently beats the indexes (500 and others) by 3-5%. Pretty rare, top couple of percent of money managers.

Yep. And he/she will do that until he/she doesn’t for a mere 1-2% off the top. And by actively trading he/she will realize capital gains that would have compounded tax free if you’d just let them ride.

oh, you CAN consistently beat the market - with insider trading - and then write a book about your experiences like Martha Stewart did. And probably disqualify you from guns and ammo investing...

TransWorld 05-04-2021 07:59 PM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 3230792)
Yep. And he/she will do that until he/she doesn’t for a mere 1-2% off the top. And by actively trading he/she will realize capital gains that would have compounded tax free if you’d just let them ride.

oh, you CAN consistently beat the market - with insider trading - and then write a book about your experiences like Martha Stewart did. And probably disqualify you from guns and ammo investing...

Nope. You are mistaken.

The fee is for in depth analysis and positioning. It is not based on insider trading. Months go by with no trades. Everything is internal. I only have to pay taxes when I take cash out. They do not churn investments. (It is a 401K converted to an IRA.) The returns are after expenses.

They only make money when I make money. Their fee is a certain percentage of my assets. They make no income from buying or selling. They do not sell commission investment vehicles. They don’t even have their hands on my money. They direct my custodian (unaffiliated major brokerage house) to buy and sell. This is a major investment manager. They manage hundreds of billions of investments. Returns are better than market averages by a few percent, rather consistently over decades of existence.

I trust this dispels a lot of your misconceptions.

LAXtoDEN 05-04-2021 08:06 PM

You could always go full bear and throw it all on $SQQQ like my dum ass friend. I hedged about 10% on SQQQ this morning when Janet Yellen open her big fat mouth. Luckily I’m in an investment group chat so I was alerted in time before the market initially pulled back.

TransWorld 05-04-2021 08:15 PM

One thing I like about my investment management firm is lower down side volatility. They have higher returns on the upside. They have lower losses on the downside. That is hard for most firms to do, consistently. They do it.

LAXtoDEN 05-04-2021 08:21 PM


Originally Posted by TransWorld (Post 3230836)
One thing I like about my investment management firm is lower down side volatility. They have higher returns on the upside. They have lower losses on the downside. That is hard for most firms to do, consistently. They do it.

What’s exactly in the fund to mitigate downside? Personally being younger I don’t care about downside volatility as I’m long. My favorite pick so far has been ETF $PBW. I don’t think I’ll ever stop adding to it.

TransWorld 05-04-2021 10:35 PM


Originally Posted by LAXtoDEN (Post 3230839)
What’s exactly in the fund to mitigate downside? Personally being younger I don’t care about downside volatility as I’m long. My favorite pick so far has been ETF $PBW. I don’t think I’ll ever stop adding to it.

They have over a thousand specialists looking at markets, industries, companies, counties, economies. They are able to understand when a stock downturn has started as the economy heads into a recession. They do not catch the very beginning, they don’t have to. If they can avoid taking a big hit in half to two thirds of a downturn, and then switch back into value stocks as they come out of the recession, they can avoid much of the one third to one half lose of your portfolio value. And then, the beginning of the bull market has some big returns. What do they do? Much of it is to move your cyclical stocks into cash, then prepare to move into value stocks near the bottom.

How they predict this and take action is proprietary research which is explained to their clients, but not divulged in a public forum. It is good, solid level headed technical research. It is not smoke and mirrors.

Do not confuse recessions with sharp sudden corrections down and sharp recoveries back up. They are not recessions. They have their portfolios ride those out. Usually full recovery is in a couple of months. They do not make big portfolio moves. Too many people sell low and buy high as a result of their sharp emotional responses in a correction. They do damage to their portfolio due to their emotions.

My portfolio contains about 60 stocks.

If you want to know my portfolio manager, I will be happy to share it on a PM. I get nothing out of it. No referral, no nothing.

ockham 12-27-2021 04:51 PM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 3226762)
Maybe inflation is the incarnation of the long-awaited correction.

I'll deal with it the way I usually do... long-term equity positions (bonds are no better than cash right now). Somewhat hedged with investment real-estate.

large revenue producing real estate is my choice, have some profits to move that is where they are going. 300 plus acres is the way to go

rickair7777 12-28-2021 07:33 AM


Originally Posted by ockham (Post 3342890)
large revenue producing real estate is my choice, have some profits to move that is where they are going. 300 plus acres is the way to go

Careful with commercial office facilities... might be a correction after it all settles out vis a vis permanent telework.

ockham 12-28-2021 12:33 PM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 3343096)
Careful with commercial office facilities... might be a correction after it all settles out vis a vis permanent telework.


Looking at Farmland, large enough to rent fields and have a bugout place after the liberals finish destroying our country

Excargodog 12-29-2021 12:37 PM

https://i.ibb.co/F4548q6/E01-D9758-C...-E2-E72622.jpg
Great for retention

SonicFlyer 12-30-2021 07:01 AM

Things are about to get worse:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gycgEsHXIc


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