What do you think?

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01-03-2009, 09:55 AM

coryk

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What do you think?

A question based soley off of speculation and opinion. With furloughs at the regional/major level, staus of the economy, fuel prices, downsizing, age 65, etc etc. What year to you see hiring picking up? Mininimal hiring and large-scale hiring?

I think a few regionals will start emtying their pools in a year or so, while furloughs will be called back around the same time and end 2 years from now. Small-scale hiring will start in 1.5 to 2 years for attrition only, and when age 65 picks up in 3-5 years I see hiring all accross the boards from the regional level to the major/national level. Will we see a 1.5 year upgrade then, possibly. Who knows. Just my guess...

I'm just curious what everyone thinks?

01-03-2009, 11:39 AM

joethepilot

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Why do you insist on torturing yourself with this guessing? Its time to realize that you're strapped into the roller coaster, your along for the ride, and you can't do much about it. Pick your battles as they come to you, not before.

01-03-2009, 03:33 PM

Flyby1206

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Quote:

Originally Posted by coryk

I think a few regionals will start emtying their pools in a year or so, while furloughs will be called back around the same time and end 2 years from now. Small-scale hiring will start in 1.5 to 2 years for attrition only, and when age 65 picks up in 3-5 years I see hiring all accross the boards from the regional level to the major/national level. Will we see a 1.5 year upgrade then, possibly. Who knows. Just my guess...

I'm just curious what everyone thinks?

I agree for the most part, but I dont think there will be as much hiring at the major level in 3-5 yrs. I expect lots of mergers, further capacity reduction, and stronger alliances with foreign carriers(maybe even mergers). Hiring will be small scale but steady at the regional level mostly to cover attrition as opposed to expansion. I think there will be a shift away from fragmenting regional flying, and instead bringing it together either to wholly owned affiliates or a small number of large regional carriers doing most of the flying (Skywest, RAH/CHQ, Expressjet). I dont think youll see a 1.5 yr upgrade at any carrier in the next 5 years.

01-03-2009, 03:50 PM

Confused

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As long as there arent anymore idiots that think they can jump into the domestic market and make money by selling 15 dollar tickets there shouldnt need to be too much more shrinking in the domestic side of things for the big guys........ hopefully

01-04-2009, 01:56 PM

madman moe

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Quote:

Originally Posted by coryk

...in 3-5 years I see hiring all accross the boards from the regional level to the major/national level...

This is my prediction as well...maybe stretch that out to 5-10 years though.

01-04-2009, 07:49 PM

BURflyer

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Quote:

Originally Posted by joethepilot

Its time to realize that you're strapped into the roller coaster, your along for the ride, and you can't do much about it..

Yea there is, quit flying for money and try a real career. I predict there will be steady hiring at the regional level starting at the end of the year. I think we can forget the majors for a while though.

01-05-2009, 12:10 AM

On Autopilot

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Quote:

Originally Posted by coryk

I will feed your question into the bat computer and see what it comes up with.............lemme see, Joker is robing Gotham Bank, Two Face has asked for butt implants.............still working..........Super man just found out Lois lane has fallen in love with clark Kent..............O.K.!!! I got something it says...............HELL IF I KNOW.