2014-2015 outlook
#12
I know. If I had a dime for each time people said "The days of sub 1500 hour hiring days are over"... I could maybe afford a Slurpee. Anyways, the point is Colgan is at 600/50, Eagle is at 800/100 and Lakes is at 750/50. All 121 operators. Yes there are a few with ATP reqs already but they are just hiring a few pilots (~50) while the ones who need to hire more, have the lower mins. Supply/demand. Demand is high (or increasing, your choice) and supply is actually dwindling, not just people with commercial pilots certs but as the saying goes "Supply of people willing to work for 20k/year"
#14
Retirements dictate that there will be upward movement, but that all depends on oil. If it keeps going up, airlines will park airplanes without replacing them. If it gets really bad, tanking the economy again the majors will re-enter bankruptcy and start terminating regional contracts, which will put regionals out of business since there doesn't appear to be much new flying to be had in that sector. Going forward you either keep what you have, or die.
If you can rationalize a way to ignore the whole oil issue, the hiring picture looks good.
If you can rationalize a way to ignore the whole oil issue, the hiring picture looks good.
#15
I honestly don't think any ATP/1500 rule is worth the paper it's written on.
I expect any number of the following to continue bid-nes as usual:
1. College training exemptions, lead by ERAU, UND, et al.
2. Military trained exemptions
3. Airline sponsored training exemptions
4. Ab initio program exemptions
5. Multi-Pilot License exemptions
6. "Emergency" exemptions when airlines scream they have to cancel flights since they can't find any more kids who are qualified and want to work for $20k.
I expect any number of the following to continue bid-nes as usual:
1. College training exemptions, lead by ERAU, UND, et al.
2. Military trained exemptions
3. Airline sponsored training exemptions
4. Ab initio program exemptions
5. Multi-Pilot License exemptions
6. "Emergency" exemptions when airlines scream they have to cancel flights since they can't find any more kids who are qualified and want to work for $20k.
#16
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2007
Posts: 607
When the nation's infrastructure is compromised, Congress can and will act with breathtaking speed. In my opinion, it's a near certainty that age 65 will be extended, which is probably still better than the alternative solution, the Multi-Crew Pilot License (MPL).
#17
Reserve Trash
Joined APC: Jul 2008
Position: CA
Posts: 94
I honestly don't think any ATP/1500 rule is worth the paper it's written on.
I expect any number of the following to continue bid-nes as usual:
1. College training exemptions, lead by ERAU, UND, et al.
2. Military trained exemptions
3. Airline sponsored training exemptions
4. Ab initio program exemptions
5. Multi-Pilot License exemptions
6. "Emergency" exemptions when airlines scream they have to cancel flights since they can't find any more kids who are qualified and want to work for $20k.
I expect any number of the following to continue bid-nes as usual:
1. College training exemptions, lead by ERAU, UND, et al.
2. Military trained exemptions
3. Airline sponsored training exemptions
4. Ab initio program exemptions
5. Multi-Pilot License exemptions
6. "Emergency" exemptions when airlines scream they have to cancel flights since they can't find any more kids who are qualified and want to work for $20k.
#18
Eats shoots and leaves...
Joined APC: Apr 2007
Position: Didactic Synthetic Aviation Experience Provider
Posts: 849
It seems that this would satisfy nearly everyone. Enhances the pilot supply pool, provides upward movement for those currently trapped at regionals, gives the seasoned citizen crowd a chance to work longer.
#19
I haven't heard even as much as a peep regarding this. Seems like 65 is about it. There comes a point at which skills diminish and reaction time slows. Sorry to say but until I see congress discussing this on the hill seriously, no truth to it.
#20
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2007
Posts: 607
http://www.airlinepilotforums.com/av...-age-70-a.html
Age 70 for international pilots? - PPRuNe Forums
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